Category Archives: Heavy Rain

Mid Week Storms…

Screen Shot 2016-06-13 at 8.15.56 AMHighlights:

  • Less humid open to the week
  • Mid week storms
  • Drier weekend

Warm, But Less Humid…As Sunday afternoon progressed into evening, notably drier air moved into central IN.  That less humid feel will be with us as we open the work week, but will still warm quickly (upper 80s this afternoon).

An increasingly moist air mass will return Tuesday into Wednesday and will promote locally heavy rainfall within thunderstorms that develop.  We expect isolated to widely scattered storm coverage Tuesday and scattered coverage Wednesday.  While uniform significant rainfall isn’t likely, localized torrential downpours will be possible as precipitable water values (PWATs) increase.  Additionally, strong to severe storms will be possible.

A drier air mass will return to close the week and head into the weekend.  At one time, models suggested we’d deal with a slow-moving “cut off” low pressure system, but recent trends continue the drier theme.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″-0.75″ (locally heavier amounts)
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Heavy Rain, T-storms

Wet Saturday On Deck…

It’s been a nice Friday across central IN, including filtered sunshine and lower humidity levels.  Unfortunately, the pleasant weather won’t last as we welcome in the weekend.

A warm front will lift north late tonight and should help moisten things up enough to allow rain to reach the surface across most of central IN during the overnight into the predawn Saturday.

hrrr_ref_indy_15Steady rain and embedded thunderstorms will continue through the morning hours and into the afternoon.

hires_ref_indy_23

hires_ref_indy_26Eventually, a cold front will sweep through the state Saturday night and help “slosh” the widespread rain shield east of the region.  By the time this happens, we expect widespread rainfall totals between 0.50″ and 1.00″ across central IN (with locally heavier totals).

gfs_tprecip_indy_11

KIND_2016060309_tqpfCooler weather will push in this weekend and continue into early and middle parts of next week.  While the widespread rain will come to an end, upper level energy will remain and could help ignite scattered showers at times (particularly during the afternoon and evening hours) into early next week.

No Comments Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Drier Close To The Work Week; Unsettled, Cooler Weekend…

Screen Shot 2016-06-01 at 5.37.43 PMHighlights:

  • Drier close to the work week
  • Strong storm chance Saturday PM
  • Unsettled and cooler early next week

Turning Cooler Over The Weekend…A cold front tapped into available moisture and resulted in locally heavy rain Wednesday afternoon and evening.  In some spots, as much as 2″ of rain fell in a very short period of time.  We’ll begin to dry things out to wrap up the work week, along with partly cloudy and less humid conditions.

An upper trough will dig into the Ohio Valley Saturday and could help spark strong to potentially severe thunderstorms for portions of the region Saturday afternoon and evening.  We’ll keep a close eye on things over the next day or two.

We’ll turn significantly cooler over the weekend into early next week.  With plenty of upper level energy around the region, we’ll have to mention the chance of a scattered shower into early next week. Dry conditions return by the middle of next week.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″
No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Heavy Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Scattered PM Strong Storms…

A cold front will slice into a warm and very humid air mass this afternoon.  Accordingly, we anticipate scattered strong storms to develop after the lunchtime hour, continuing into the early evening.

1

2As precipitable water values climb to around 2″, locally heavy rainfall will accompany any storms that develop.

3We caution that the key word here is “scattered.”  There will be “haves and have nots” when it comes to rainfall totals by tonight.  Some neighborhoods may receive less than 0.10″ while others receive over 1″.

As we look ahead, active times continue going into the weekend, with the potential of strong thunderstorms Saturday as an anomalous trough digs southeast into the Ohio Valley.

D4Unseasonably cool air will follow for the mid range.

gfs-ens_T2maMean_us_4A fresh 7-day will be up later today!  Have a nice Wednesday, friends.

No Comments Heavy Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather