Category Archives: Heavy Rain

“Soupy” Now, But Changes Loom…

Highlights:

  • Scattered storms remain
  • Oppressive feel
  • Cooler times next week

Locally Heavy Storms…We’ll remain locked into a very warm and moist air mass through the remainder of the week, but there’s light at the end of the tunnel.  If you’re not a fan of the hot, humid weather, hang in there; next week will offer up a much different feel!

Before we discuss the cooler times that loom next week we still have to face several days of muggy weather and daily scattered storms.  With such a “soupy” air mass in place (precipitable water exceeding 2″), any storms will be capable of producing torrential downpours.  Similar to that of today, there will be “haves and have nots” over the next few days, but any storms that develop will have the potential of quickly pulsing to strong to severe levels and producing localized flash flooding.

Once to Sunday, a cold front will sweep through the state and finally wash all of the warm and humid air off to the southeast.  While scattered storms will remain in our forecast through the weekend, a drier and cooler air mass will arrive on the scene early next week.  Hang in there, friends!

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″ (locally heavier totals)
7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Heavy Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Hot And Humid; Storms Chances Return…

Highlights:

  • Dry conditions continue
  • Hot and turning humid
  • Storm chances return

Tropical Feel Develops…Pleasant air is on borrowed time and we’ll begin to notice an increasingly muggy feel to the air as early as this afternoon.  Dew points will reach oppressive levels Monday into Tuesday (70° and above).  With the increased moisture, isolated thunderstorms will develop Tuesday, but most should still remain rain-free.  Better shower and thunderstorm coverage will be noted Wednesday into Thursday as a frontal system moves through the state.  This won’t be a “uniform” rain, but locally heavy downpours can be expected in the stronger storms.  As dry as we’ve been, we’ll take what we can get.  It’s a start, at the very least, towards a more active second half of June.

We’ll dry things out briefly Friday before another storm system approaches next weekend.  Early indications would suggest next weekend’s storm system will provide more widespread shower and thunderstorm activity.

Tropics:  Interesting times appear to be looming in the Gulf of Mexico as we push into the last couple weeks of the month.  Models continue to paint various scenarios on potential early season tropical development and any one solution can’t be bought just yet.  That said, the overall pattern does seem to want to promote some tropical “mischief” in the coming 10 days, or so.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.75″ – 1.00″
7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Heavy Rain, Summer, T-storms, Tropics, Unseasonably Warm

Storms May Rumble In Later Today; Cooler For Midweek…

We’ve enjoyed a warm and beautiful weekend, and most of Sunday will follow that pleasant them.  However, a cold front will drop south into the state later today and this “trigger” mechanism, combined with the heating of the day, will likely spark a broken line of thunderstorms.  These storms will sink south into central Indiana later this evening, and a couple of storms could become strong.

Modeled radar shows how things may evolve later this evening, including time stamps at 5p, 8p, and 10p.

Most significant rainfall will occur across the northern half of the state, including a couple of 1″+ totals in the heavier storms.

As we push into the midweek stretch, cooler, refreshing air will take up residence across the region.  Temperatures will run significantly cooler than average, including lows in the upper 40s for some Wednesday and Thursday morning and highs only in the upper 60s to lower 70s.  Dry weather will continue, as well.

Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather

Cool And Increasingly Wet Today…

The morning is starting off dry across most of central Indiana, but that will begin to change as we progress into the afternoon and evening hours as rainfall grows in coverage and intensity.

10a forecast radar
2p forecast radar

Widespread rain will continue tonight as low pressure tracks north out of the TN Valley and slowly meanders across eastern IN and OH tonight before pulling off to the northeast Thursday.

Thankfully, rain will begin to diminish Thursday morning and we’re back to mostly dry conditions by Thursday afternoon.  Before dry weather returns, some neighborhoods can expect to accumulate between 1″-2″ of rain.

With the clouds and showers around, expect unseasonably cool conditions both today and Thursday.  Highs will only reach the mid to upper 60s both days.

As we look ahead, we think our dry Thursday afternoon should continue into most of Friday before scattered showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast Saturday and Sunday.  More on those details later today!  Make it a great Wednesday!

Forecast Discussion, Heavy Rain, Rain, Unseasonably Cool Weather