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Category: Harvest19
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/31/video-rain-changes-to-snow-cold-open-to-november/
Oct 30
Halloween Snow Sets The Stage For What Lies Ahead…
Halloween morning will dawn with a cold rain. Coverage of rain will increase rather dramatically after midnight and continue through the morning rush before tapering off mid to late morning. An additional 0.50″ to 0.75″ will be common by the time this next round of rain moves out.
Colder air will begin to whip into central Indiana late morning into the early afternoon, accompanied by strong and gusty WNW winds. After a lull in the precipitation, snow flurries and scattered snow showers will develop across the area after lunch, potentially becoming a bit steadier (especially from Indianapolis and points north) during the 6p-8p time frame. Yes, trick-or-treaters (kids and adults alike) will need to be bundled up!
Snow will end rather abruptly between 9p and 10p and then the story will be the cold. By daybreak Friday, all of the region can expect to be in the middle 20s with wind chill values in the 10s.
With the MJO focused on rumbling into Phase 5 (and eventually 6), along with a deeply negative EPO and slightly positive PNA, it’d be wise to gear up for more “out of season” cold and potentially wintry conditions as we move through the 1st half of November…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/30/halloween-snow-sets-the-stage-for-what-lies-ahead/
Oct 30
VIDEO: Halloween Snow; Unseasonably Cold & Stormy Pattern Sets Up For The 1st Half Of November…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/30/video-halloween-snow-unseasonably-cold-stormy-pattern-sets-up-for-the-1st-half-of-november/
Oct 28
VIDEO: Weather More Of A Trick Vs. Treat This Halloween? Cold Open To November…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/28/video-weather-more-of-a-trick-vs-treat-this-halloween-cold-open-to-november/
Oct 27
Harvest ’19: Tracking Another Significant Storm This Week…
*Starting November 1st, our weekly agriculture and harvest updates will transition to weekly winter storm outlooks. We’ll maintain a lot of the feedback y’all have provided with the new weekly winter products. Come next growing season, the weekly agriculture and severe weather updates will return.
Forecast Period: 10.27.19 through 11.03.19
7-Day Precipitation: Average average precipitation is expected through the period.
7-Day Temperatures: Once the forecast period is said and done, below average temperatures can be expected, overall.
Severe Weather: Organized severe weather isn’t expected during the period.
Frost/ Freeze: The first frost and freeze of the fall season will likely take place next weekend across portions of the Deep South.
Drought Monitor: The latest drought monitor (taken before Friday and Saturday’s rain) shows abnormally dry/ drought conditions in place across southern IN into central OH. Thankfully, a long-term drought isn’t expected here. The pattern not only at present, but throughout the upcoming winter will feature plentiful precipitation, erasing any of the abnormally dry conditions that are currently in place.
Summary: We’re monitoring a couple of storm systems this week. The first system will scoot by to our northwest with a band of rain and snow from KS, IA, and into IL and WI during the early part of the work week. A second, stronger system will impact the region Wednesday into Friday. Another wind-driven rain will be the result, locally, Wednesday into Thursday before sharply colder air arrives to close the work week. The air will grow cold enough to support the potential of flurries or scattered snow showers late Thursday night into Friday. The first official freeze of the season is likely next weekend. Upcoming 7-day rainfall totals are expected to fall in the 0.75″ to 1.25″ range for most of immediate central Indiana.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/27/harvest-19-tracking-another-significant-storm-this-week/
Oct 26
VIDEO: Wet, Windy Saturday; Looking Ahead To Halloween And The Colder Pattern That Awaits…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/26/video-wet-windy-saturday-looking-ahead-to-halloween-and-the-colder-pattern-that-awaits/
Oct 25
VIDEO: Busy Time Of Things In The Good Ole Forecast Office…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/25/video-busy-time-of-things-in-the-good-ole-forecast-office/
Oct 24
VIDEO: Significant Fall Storm Brewing…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/24/video-significant-fall-storm-brewing/
Oct 23
VIDEO: Saturday Washout And Reasons To Buy The Cold Early November Idea; Winter ’19-’20 Chatter…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/23/video-saturday-washout-and-reasons-to-buy-the-cold-early-november-idea-winter-19-20-chatter/
Oct 23
Rain Chances Going Up This Weekend; Taste Of Winter Blows Into Town Before Halloween…
Dry weather will prevail today and the majority of Thursday across central Indiana (a light passing shower is possible across northern Indiana, but this won’t be a big deal).
Scattered light showers are possible Thursday night into the day Friday, along with an increase in cloud cover, but again, significantly more dry time is anticipated than wet. Some won’t see a drop of rain Friday.
As we rumble into the weekend, a vigorous upper level low in Oklahoma will “bowl” east across Arkansas and then shoot northeast across the Ohio Valley Saturday into Sunday. (Hint, you may want to get used to this kind of storm track over the upcoming winter). This will result in increasing aerial coverage of rain Saturday.
Rain will exit off to the northeast Saturday night and a drier second half of the weekend is expected. By the time all is said and done, a solid 0.50″ to 1″ of rain is expected (we’re currently siding with a blend of the aggressive European and lighter GFS).
After a wet 1st half of the weekend, all eyes will be set on a taste of winter that’s dialed up just before Halloween. A cold front will blow through the Ohio Valley early next week with the threat of rain followed by sharply colder air. As upper level energy rounds the base of the digging significant trough, the first flakes of the season can be expected across the region before Halloween (still will have to fine tune timing). This pattern will also serve up the first accumulating lake effect snow event of the season, including the Snow Belt regions of IN, MI, and OH.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/10/23/rain-chances-going-up-this-weekend-taste-of-winter-blows-into-town-before-halloween/