Watching Wednesday Closely.

Tue.	Wed.	Thr.	Fri.	Sat.	Sun.	Mon.

67/ 84	62/ 78	52/ 75	51/ 75	56/ 82	66/ 80	54/ 75
– – –	Heavy	– – –	– – –	Light	Light	– – –

After a heavy dose of rain across central Indiana Monday, today will be much quieter, AND increasingly sunny! A boundary will slip south through the afternoon hours and could ignite a shower or thunderstorm, but these will primarily be south and east of the city, itself. We’re going with a more optimistic approach to our forecast today for the greater Indianapolis region and points north. All eyes will then shift northwest to a blossoming complex of rain and severe thunderstorms this afternoon. We’ll watch this complex track south and east with time tonight and rumble into the region, especially from IND and points north, early Wednesday morning. Most of these storms will be below severe levels, but the storms are likely to be quite noisy and pack heavy rain, gusty winds, and small hail. A second round of thunderstorms will develop Wednesday afternoon and likely turn severe for some. You can read our thoughts from last night here and this continues to sum up our thinking for now. Widespread additional rainfall Wednesday will fall in the 1″-2″ range.

Get set to open the windows and welcome in a breath of fresh air as we wrap up the work week. Gone will be the warm and sticky air that we’ve dealt with through the early week and in return we’ll enjoy temperatures several degrees cooler along with unseasonably comfortable humidity levels.

Our next rain and storm threat will blow into town Sunday!

Bill McMillan June 3, 2014 No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Hail, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Windy

Monday Morning Video Update; Severe Weather Potential And Heavy Rain…

An active few days lie ahead though it won’t rain and storm the entire time, and many dry hours can be expected over the course of the next few days. The video covers the details below!

Tuesday is shaping up to be a very active severe weather day to our west.

Wednesday will feature severe weather chances across the Ohio Valley.

Bill McMillan June 2, 2014 No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Hail, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Weather Videos

Indy Weather Recap And A Look Ahead

Wednesday was a stormy day across central Indiana, including damaging wind and hail. Flooding was also a concern in some areas. Officially here at IndyWx.com HQ we picked up 2.21″ of rain Wednesday- most of which fell in a 3 hour time period. Here’s a cool image from the fine folks at Weatherbell Analytics showcasing the heaviest rainfall.

Despite a couple of showers (primarily south of the city) later this evening the upcoming three days will be beautiful and rain-free!

Temperatures are trending cooler when compared to 24 hours ago and as noted here by the 24 temperature difference, the cooler air to our north will continue to push south tonight.

Temperatures and humidity levels will be below normal levels the next couple days before warmth slowly builds Sunday. Lows Saturday morning will dip into the upper 40s for several communities.

True summer-like heat and humidity will lift north Memorial Day into Tuesday. Note the temperature anomalies do an about face from Day 1 to Day 5. Heat and humidity will be on the rebound for the unofficial start to summer, but, as noted above, should remain in the “comfy range” for race day.

With the increasing warmth and humidity will come a return of scattered shower and thunderstorm chances early next week.

As we look forward to early June, there are indications it could open on the warm side. Note relative agreement between the CFSv2 (Climate Forecast System version 2), NAEFS, and Physical Science Division model. Does the warm pattern stick and hold? Not so fast, my friend… 😉

Bill McMillan May 22, 2014 No Comments Canadian Model, Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Hail, Heavy Rain, Long Range Discussion, Memorial Day weekend, Race Weekend, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm CFSv2, PSD

Fantastic Weather Heading Into The Holiday Weekend!

Thr.	Fri.	Sat.	Sun.	Mon.	Tue.	Wed.

58/ 74	52/ 70	48/ 74	53/ 79	60/ 84	65/ 86	68/ 83
– – –	– – –	– – –	– – –	Light	Light	Light

After a stormy Wednesday that featured flooding, hail, and wind damage, today will be a refreshing change! The cooler, drier, and sunny start to the day is a sign of things to come for the long holiday and race weekend! A weak disturbance could add a few clouds tonight and a shower downstate, but most will stay dry. High pressure will then supply wall-to-wall sunshine and cooler air as we wrap up the work week and head into the long weekend. A hotter, more humid air mass will build in for Memorial Day, itself, and result in a muggy feel along with scattered showers and thunderstorms early next week.

Bill McMillan May 22, 2014 No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Flooding, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Hail, Heavy Rain, Memorial Day weekend, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

Damaging Hail Threat Looms For Central, Southern Indiana This Afternoon.

The morning is dawning pleasant and quiet, but things appear to get quite noisy and active around these parts later this afternoon. A cold front will slice into the warm and humid air mass in place across the region and thunderstorms will erupt in rather explosive fashion as early as the early to mid afternoon hours. Damaging straight line winds and large hail are of greatest concern.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) highlights the region for an enhanced risk of large and destructive hail this afternoon.

Here’s a look at what the simulated forecast radar may resemble this afternoon, as always, courtesy of Weatherbell Analytics:

Now it’s important to note not everyone will see destructive severe weather (as is usually the case with any severe weather outbreak), but signals point towards the possibility of a rather significant and large scale severe hail event across central and southern portions of the state this afternoon and evening. It’ll be very important to stay tuned to your favorite media and certainly heed all warnings that come out this afternoon.

We’ll clear things out nicely later tonight and Thursday and set the stage for an absolute beauty of a holiday and race weekend. We forecast bright, sunny skies each day along with cool temperatures that slowly warm to the upper 70s for race day, itself. We’ll introduce the next threat of storms for Memorial Day amidst bubbling true summer heat and humidity for next week.

Bill McMillan May 21, 2014 No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Forecast Models, Hail, Memorial Day weekend, Race Weekend, Severe Weather, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

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Category Archives: Hail

Watching Wednesday Closely.

Monday Morning Video Update; Severe Weather Potential And Heavy Rain…

Indy Weather Recap And A Look Ahead

Fantastic Weather Heading Into The Holiday Weekend!

Damaging Hail Threat Looms For Central, Southern Indiana This Afternoon.