Category: GFS

50/50 Split On Sunday Night Snow…

Quick-hitting Bullet Points:

  • Light snow Saturday night
  • Still questions around Sunday night snow potential
  • Even colder air invades early next week
  • Fun and games continue in the longer range

The afternoon model suite is in in it’s entirety and it leaves us with about as many questions as answers :-)…

Four of our more trusted short-term forecast models are split 50/50 on the outcome Sunday night.  In the snowy camp you have the NAM and European.  In the drier camp you have the GFS and GEM.  Past experience with this type event says the European and NAM solutions may have the better handle and we think the drier modeling will shift a touch northwest with time over the upcoming 24 hours.  The difference between camps would be a nice 2-3″ type snowfall for the Monday morning commute across central Indiana versus nothing more than a few flurries.  More as the details become clearer…

We still forecast light snow to overspread central Indiana Saturday evening and night.  While this won’t be a big deal, a dusting to 1″ of snow is a good bet across most of central Indiana, especially from the I-70 corridor and points north.  Roads may be slick in spots on your way to church Sunday morning.

One thing that’s a certainty is that another blast of arctic air will invade along with scattered snow showers early next week.  This push of bitter air will be even colder than this weeks.

In the longer term, plenty of wintry “fun and games” remain.  In fact, today’s 12z European has the look set to offer more meteorological headaches come late next week.  Ah, the season is only beginning… 🙂

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Mid November Or Mid January?!

Snow showers continue to track down the I-65 corridor this evening. Don’t be surprised of a quick dusting of snow for portions of Boone County over the next hour. Short…

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Weekly Outlook: Heading Straight Into Winter

November is off to a cold start, but a byproduct of the unseasonably cold pattern is a relatively dry one, as well. Brisk southwest winds are blowing this morning and…

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Quick Wednesday Evening Video Update

Quick Wednesday evening video update discusses the threats of rain, snow, and arctic cold in our future.

Showers will target the region along with gusty winds and colder air Thursday!

Showers will target the region along with gusty winds and colder air Thursday!

By the way, if you, or your business, can benefit from longer, more detailed video discussions and winter weather updates be sure to e-mail us about our personal and professional weather consulting services at bill@indywx.com.  Have a great evening!

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Weekly Outlook: Busy Times In The Weather Office…

October finished colder than average (-0.8°) and slightly wetter than normal (+0.05″). The full October summary can be found here: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=ind&storyid=104988&source=0 November has gotten off to a rip-roaring start if…

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