Category: GFS

Refreshing Start To The Weekend; Heating Things Up For A Time Next Week…

Updated 06.16.23 @ 7:50a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/06/16/refreshing-start-to-the-weekend-heating-things-up-for-a-time-next-week/

At Least It’s A Start…

Updated 06.08.23 @ 6:22p

Many areas across immediate central Indiana are running anywhere from 4” to 7” below normal rainfall since April 1st. Despite a few localized “splash and dash” events it’s been a dry and uneventful time of things in the good ole weather department. Thankfully, it still appears as if this upcoming weekend, namely Sunday into Monday morning, will offer up the best opportunity we’ve seen for a more widespread rain of 0.25” to 1” (localized heavier amounts) in quite some time. We note both the GFS and European are in relatively good agreement.

Most widespread rain should fall Sunday afternoon and overnight. At least it’s a start to what should be a more active 2nd half of June. Much more in the AM around this and the longer range pattern that includes early July.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/06/08/at-least-its-a-start/

VIDEO: Unseasonably Refreshing Week; Better Opportunity For More In The Way Of A Widespread Rain Event Over The Weekend…

Updated 06.05.23 @ 7:52a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/06/05/video-unseasonably-refreshing-week-better-opportunity-for-more-in-the-way-of-a-widespread-rain-event-over-the-weekend/

VIDEO: Brief Warm-Up On The Way; Unsettled Close To The Week And A Cooler Than Normal Close To April/ Open To May…

Updated 04.18.23 @ 7:33a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/18/video-brief-warm-up-on-the-way-unsettled-close-to-the-week-and-a-cooler-than-normal-close-to-april-open-to-may/

VIDEO: Ugly Open To The Work Week Ahead Of A Brief Spike In Temperatures; More Pleasant Weather. Hard Freeze Threat Early Next Week…

Updated 04.17.23 @ 7:45a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/04/17/video-ugly-open-to-the-work-week-ahead-of-a-brief-spike-in-temperatures-more-pleasant-weather-hard-freeze-threat-early-next-week/

VIDEO: Milder Air Arrives; Late Week Model Trends…

Updated 02.07.23 @ 5:37a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/02/07/video-milder-air-arrives-late-week-model-trends/

Light Snow Develops Today; Tracking Stronger Midweek Storm…

Updated 01.08.23 @ 9:55a

While the day has started off on a quiet note, light snow will overspread portions of central Indiana, including Indianapolis this afternoon. This won’t be a big deal by any stretch of the imagination but a light coating is possible along the I-70 corridor by evening as the light snow becomes more persistent. This is all part of the same weak, pesky system we’ve been tracking since about this time last week (yes, the same one that at times was modeled to be a much bigger deal). In any event, please keep us posted on what you’re seeing this afternoon into the evening hours.

The steadier light snow should end from west to east between 5p and 8p and give way to a quiet start to the work week. By this time, all eyes will be on a much stronger, more organized system that will move into the Ohio Valley. This should be a mostly liquid event, but we do note both the GFS and European models working enough cold air into the system to all the rain to begin mixing with and changing to wet snow Thursday PM.

European forecast model shows rain beginning to mix with and change to snow Thursday PM.
GFS model is also on board for the potential of rain changing to snow Thursday afternoon.

Of course timing is always an important part of changeover scenarios, especially on the tail end of the precipitation shield. However, given the 500mb pattern in eastern Canada, we should watch for the possibility of the overall solution trending colder with time over the next couple of days.

As additional upper level energy dives in behind the primary low, wind-whipped snow showers and squalls with additional light accumulation potential will be present to close the work week.

Side note, I’ve been without a Fiber connection since last Thursday (thanks to a main line cut). Trying to make do the best way possible, but hence a reason for the lack of videos the past couple of days. Hopeful things will get back to BAU tomorrow, but know your patience is appreciated greatly right now. Regardless, we’ll be back with another update this evening reviewing trends for mid-late week off the 12z suite.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/01/08/light-snow-develops-today-tracking-stronger-midweek-storm/

Potential Pre-Christmas Winter Storm; MJO Impacts On The January Pattern…

Updated 12.13.22 @ 9:48p

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/12/13/potential-pre-christmas-winter-storm-mjo-impacts-on-the-january-pattern/

Updated Data In On Our Thanksgiving Storm System…

Updated 11.16.22 @ 11:49p

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VIDEO: Gorgeous Weekend; Tracking A Cold Front In The New Week Ahead…

Updated 10.20.22 @ 7:38a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/10/20/video-gorgeous-weekend-tracking-a-cold-front-in-the-new-week-ahead/

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