Jul 18
The heat & humidity is the story currently, but short term models develop showers and strong to severe thunderstorms over the northern half of the state this evening. Futurecast valid…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/18/watching-for-more-evening-storms/
Jul 18
Highlights:
After another wild evening of storms and flooding across central IN it’s good to see the sun shining this morning. We think today will be a mostly dry day across the region, but will be plenty hot and humid. Certainly plan to take frequent breaks and drink plenty of water if you’re planning any lengthy outdoor activities today.
The break in the wet, stormy weather won’t last long as scattered to numerous thunderstorms return Sunday, including more hefty rainfall totals possible. A few storms may become severe with damaging wind and large hail.
Early next week will remain unsettled, but we’re keeping our fingers crossed for a drier regime by the middle of the week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 2.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/18/hot-stormy-weather-returns-sunday/
Jul 16
Right off the bat, we tend to lean more in the direction of the 12z GFS and its’ associated cooler look next week, rather than the warm European. It’s a…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/16/at-odds-with-some-of-the-modeling-in-the-mid-long-range/
Jul 16
Highlights:
We’re off to a pleasant start today, but clouds will increase this afternoon with a light shower possible, particularly from the city and points north. Most of today will be dry.
The big story this weekend will be a much more humid feel. While it’ll be hot, it won’t be anything out of the ordinary for late July around these parts. That said, factor in a dew point in the lower to middle 70s and it’ll feel extremely oppressive. A warm front will pass Friday morning with a thunderstorm threat, and then we’ll also mention a widely scattered thunderstorm during the afternoon/ evening through the weekend.
A cold front will move in Monday with more widespread showers and thunderstorms, along with a return to “average” temperatures by the middle of next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″-1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/16/nice-now-but-big-ticket-humidity-on-the-way/
Jul 15
July so far has been unseasonably wet and unseasonably cool for our part of the country (what’s new this summer)?! As we progress through the next couple days, refreshingly…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/15/wednesday-morning-rambles-5/
Jul 14
Highlights:
One more round of showers and thunderstorms will fire this afternoon, some of which may be strong to severe. Thankfully, needed drier (and cooler) air will build in tonight and help set up a very pleasant mid week.
With all of the rain, hot weather fans haven’t been able to enjoy much in the way of significant summer heat this summer; however, things will change (briefly) this weekend. Very humid air will expand into the region over the weekend, including true summer heat as highs go into the lower 90s both Saturday and Sunday. Showers and thunderstorms may accompany the push of hot, humid air, Friday but we think the weekend will be dry at this point.
The hot, humid weather won’t last long as a cold front moves in Monday with widespread showers and thunderstorms. A much cooler air mass will return next week behind the frontal boundary.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/14/pm-storms-cooler-and-more-pleasant-air-coming-for-mid-week/
Jul 12
Highlights:
A very active weather pattern will remain through the short-term. Overnight storms have exited to the southeast and we’re now dealing with dry weather and sunshine. A few storms could bubble up this afternoon in the very humid air mass, but the more widespread showers and thunderstorms will hold off until late tonight as another northwest to southeast moving complex rumbles in. Similar to early this morning, flash flooding will be a concern, along with the potential of damaging wind, and hail.
Perhaps more concerning is what we think will be a secondary thunderstorm complex Monday evening into Monday night. Furthermore, conditions appear to favor the threat of a couple super cells developing in advance of the big storm cluster. These individual super cells will have the potential of producing tornadoes and large hail. We’re then concerned of a widespread damaging wind threat with the large storm complex as it moves southeast. Torrential rains and flash flooding will also be a big concern.
Showers and thunderstorms will continue Tuesday, but there’s a light at the end of this wet tunnel by mid week. We forecast a few days of dry weather in the Wednesday through Saturday time period. As ridging expands, heat and humidity will build in a big time way. For those holding out for true summer heat, next weekend may be your time! That said, the long range pattern still supports a wetter/ cooler than normal regime quickly returning so enjoy!
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″-3″ with locally heavier totals
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/12/active-pattern-severe-weather-a-major-concern/
Jul 11
Good morning and happy Saturday, friends! After a prolonged stretch of clouds, rain, drizzle, and fog, today will feature a good deal of sunshine and very pleasant conditions. Unfortunately, the sunshine and pleasant weather won’t last long as storms and severe weather chances ramp up beginning Sunday, and continues through Monday.
A hot dome (high pressure ridge) will be centered over Texas and this will place our immediate region under a rather busy northwest flow. Multiple disturbances (highlighted in blue below) will rotate northwest to southeast around the periphery of the Texas ridge. Each disturbance will be capable of producing heavy rain and thunderstorms, including severe weather.
Sunday morning
Monday morning
Tuesday morning
The Storm Prediction Center has outlined the region for a risk of severe weather both Sunday and Monday, and they mention large hail, widespread damaging wind potential, and isolated tornadoes- particularly with Monday’s event.
Day Two Outlook (Sunday)
Day Three Outlook (Monday)
We’ll begin the action late tonight/ Sunday morning (forecast radar below is a time stamp series from 7a to 12p Sunday) with the first in the expected series of thunderstorms rumbling in from the northwest.
Moral of the story? Enjoy today’s sunshine, but get ready for more active weather in the coming days!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/11/multiple-rounds-of-severe-weather-beginning-sunday/
Jul 10
Well, here we go again: cloudy skies, rain showers moving in, and cooler than normal temperatures. Another gloomy and wet day is ahead for central Indiana as a couple waves…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/10/same-song-and-dance/
Jul 09
Highlights:
Scattered showers remain on the radar this morning, but drier air will work in from the west this afternoon and we may even see some late day sunshine! While we can’t forecast dry weather this weekend, it won’t rain the entire time and periods of sunshine can also be expected. That said, we’ll have to be on the look out for a couple waves of showers and thunderstorms- particularly Friday and again Sunday afternoon/ evening. Those storms Sunday may reach strong to severe levels. As of now, the most isolated coverage of storms looks to come Saturday.
Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ -2″ (locally higher totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/09/turning-drier-this-afternoon/