Category: Forecast

Feb 02

Stormy Evening…

Screen Shot 2016-02-02 at 7.24.07 AMHighlights:

  • Strong to severe storms this evening
  • Rain and snow showers Wednesday
  • Dry and chilly to wrap up the work week
  • Nice weekend ahead
  • MUCH colder next week

Stormy Evening…Tuesday is dawning nice and quiet with dry and chilly conditions in place.  A bit of fog has been reported just west and north of the city.  The quiet times will give way to a bumpy ride by this evening as a warm front passes, allowing a strong SW breeze to boost temperatures close to 60 (after dark high).

Scattered showers will develop this afternoon, but it’s the evening hours that we bracket (between 4-10p west to east) for the potential of strong to severe storms.  Some of these storms will be capable of damaging winds, and even a quick spin-up tornado can’t be ruled out.  Have a way to get the latest weather information this evening.

We turn cooler Wednesday with lingering moisture falling in the form of mixed rain and snow showers.  This won’t be a big deal.

Dry times will be with us to end the week and rumble into the Super Bowl weekend, with moderating temperatures.  The moderating trend won’t last long as models continue to suggest an arctic blast looms next week.  To go along with that cold, snow chances will also come.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/02/stormy-evening/

Feb 01

Strong To Severe Storms Tuesday PM…

Screen Shot 2016-02-01 at 7.03.14 AMHighlights:

  • Morning fog in spots
  • Strong Tuesday storms
  • Mid week snow showers
  • Quiet end to the week

Strong To Severe Storms Tuesday Afternoon-Evening…Today is a day in between storm systems. We’ll deal with morning fog in spots (some freezing fog is being reported north and northwest of Indy this morning) and mostly cloudy skies.  It’ll be colder when compared to the weekend, but still warmer than average.

All eyes for this forecast package remain locked on Tuesday.  It’s still shaping up to be an active day, with strong to severe thunderstorms likely.  We bracket 3p-11p for the most likely time frame of thunderstorms across central IN.  Damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern, but caution a few embedded cells will be capable of producing a tornado.

Things turn much colder Wednesday and with lingering moisture, a few snow showers will be a good bet.

We turn much quieter to wrap up the week and head into Super Bowl Sunday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/01/strong-to-severe-storms-tuesday-pm/

Jan 30

Taste Of Spring Today, But Winter Roars Back…

Screen Shot 2016-01-30 at 9.32.06 AMHighlights:

  • Active period of weather ahead
  • Spring-like now turns much colder
  • Storms in between
  • Snowy February ahead?

Taste Of Spring Today, But Winter Roars Back…A quick scan over the 7-day above shows the busy times that lie ahead.  Our suggestion to you?  Enjoy today’s sunshine and early taste of spring!  Let us worry about what lies ahead.  You’re welcome!  😉

We’ll add some mid and high level cloudiness into the picture later today and those clouds will lower and thicken tonight.  Tomorrow, though still warm, won’t be as nice.  Look for cloudy skies, scattered showers, and breezy SW winds.

We’ll be in between systems Monday with a generally dry day and a bit cooler, though still above average for this time of year.

A strong area of low pressure will quickly move from the central Plains Monday night into the Great Lakes Tuesday night.  We’ll be on the warm side of this storm’s track and will note a dramatic shift in our wind to the SW early Tuesday that will help temperatures zoom into the lower 60s Tuesday.  The downside?  We’ll have to monitor things closely for strong to severe thunderstorm potential.

The area of low pressure will swing a cold front through here late Tuesday night and send temperatures into a free-fall for mid week.  We’ll have to watch things closely as we’ll be in an active NW flow heading into next weekend.  You know the drill by now- models struggle picking up pieces of energy plenty capable of producing accumulating snow from this distance with that potentially active NW flow.

Longer term, winter fans should really like what we’re seeing.  We’ll have a more extensive post on this later in the weekend, but the pattern shaping up is one that’ll feature the more sustained cold pattern (relative to normal) in the middle of the country through most of February, including the Ohio Valley.  A busy interior storm track is also noted in the coming weeks.  Far too early for specifics, but it’s a pattern plenty capable of leading to above normal monthly snowfall in our neck of the woods.  Again, more later!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/30/taste-of-spring-today-but-winter-roars-back/

Jan 26

Colder Today With Flurries…

Screen Shot 2016-01-26 at 7.22.15 AMHighlights:

  • Breezy and colder with flurries
  • Fast-moving clippers to our north
  • Mild and increasingly damp weekend

Colder Today With Flurries…A cold front passed through central IN during the overnight and gusty NW winds are greeting us out the door this morning.  A few flurries or light snow will likely fly later this morning and this afternoon.

As we progress into mid week, we’ll eye a couple of fast moving clipper systems to our north.  For the most part, central IN will be left out of any impacts, aside from a gusty SW wind from time to time.  A few flurries may clip eastern parts of the state Thursday.

The upcoming weekend will be a warm one, considering we’re in late January.  Moisture will begin to increase Sunday with clouds and light rain the result.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/26/colder-today-with-flurries/

Jan 25

Evening Showers; Relatively Quiet Week…

Screen Shot 2016-01-25 at 7.43.54 AMHighlights:

  • Evening light rain
  • Clipper watch
  • Mild weekend ahead

Evening Showers…A weak cold front will press through central IN tonight.  Moisture return isn’t impressive with this system, but light showers will scoot through the area this evening.  Rainfall amounts won’t add up to much.

A few flurries may fly Tuesday morning as cold air moves back into the area.  Temperatures during the day time Tuesday will be below freezing for the most part after a predawn high.

Forecast models still disagree with the overall track of a clipper system Thursday.  The GFS and European models don’t suggest we deal with any snow, whatsoever.  Meanwhile, the Canadian model remains consistent on Thursday snow showers.  Either way, this shouldn’t be a big deal.  We’ll keep an eye on things.

The weekend will shift unseasonably mild as we get into a strong SW flow.  We’ll eye a developing strong storm across the Plains early next week…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/25/evening-showers-relatively-quiet-week/

Jan 23

Dry Weekend; Clipper Snow Next Week?

Screen Shot 2016-01-23 at 10.13.29 AMHighlights:

  • Cold, but dry weekend
  • Weak system delivers showers/ flurries early week
  • Models disagree on clipper track

Cold, But Lots-O-Sunshine…A major winter storm is hammering areas still from the southern Appalachians into the Mid Atlantic and Northeast.  Light flurries fell across central IN Friday evening, but drier air quickly built into the region overnight and sets the stage for a cold, but sunny weekend.  Gusty NE winds that were felt Friday and overnight will also begin to diminish today.

Our next weather maker will blow into town Monday, but will be weak.  Showers will accompany the frontal passage Monday evening before snow flurries/ light snow showers fly in the cold air advection Tuesday morning.  All in all, this won’t be a big deal.

The next potential “trouble maker” awaits for the middle part of the week, but caution model data is all over the board on the eventual track of this clipper system.  We’ll lean more towards the Canadian solution at this juncture (model of choice with clippers) and forecast snow showers to build into central IN Thursday.  From this distance, model solutions range from snowy (light accumulation) to dry and mild.  We wouldn’t have it any other way this winter. 😉

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/23/dry-weekend-clipper-snow-next-week/

Jan 22

Major Winter Storm Southeast to the Mid Atlantic…

A severe winter storm will track from the southeast today to the Mid Atlantic coast Saturday. Crippling snow will fall from the southern Appalachians northeast (the final product will be…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/22/major-winter-storm-southeast-to-the-mid-atlantic/

Jan 21

Action To Our South; Relatively Quiet Here…

Screen Shot 2016-01-21 at 7.38.55 AMHighlights:

  • Cold, dry, and increasingly windy
  • Heavy snow across far southern IN
  • Weak system Monday

Watching A Major Winter Storm To Our South…As busy as things will be for our friends to our south and east, the weather, locally, will be about as quiet as we can expect this time of year.  Hefty (and in some cases crippling) snows will fall to our south and southeast.  Here on the home front we can expect a day with mixed clouds and sun today before we turn mostly cloudy Friday.  We’ll feel the “outer impacts” of the major winter storm to our south Friday in the form of strong and gusty east winds that slowly begin to diminish Saturday.  Sunday looks beautiful and it’ll feel downright balmy when compared to the bitterly cold air of late.

Our next weather maker is looking less and less impressive and will deal a few showers Monday followed by cold air returning Tuesday and Wednesday with scattered snow showers.  – Doesn’t look like a big deal in the least from this distance.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/21/action-to-our-south-relatively-quiet-here/

Jan 20

Snowy Morning…

Screen Shot 2016-01-20 at 7.43.03 AMHighlights:

  • Snowy morning
  • Major winter storm impacts the southern Appalachians into the Mid Atlantic
  • Dry, cold weekend in store

Snowy Morning; Next Winter Storm Shifts South…This morning’s snow “behaved” as planned with a quick thumping across a large portion of central IN.  A quick scan of accumulation reports into the office this morning indicate amounts, on average, right around 2″ (some a bit more, some a little less).  We’ll recap later this evening, with an overlay of our snowfall forecast map.  Due to the timing of this event, this morning’s commute is a nightmare, as expected.

As we look ahead, the major winter storm (crippling for some) late week is trending further and further south.  Now, instead of the initial low tracking through the TN Valley (which would’ve argued for a reflection of the low up west of the mountains), it appears to stay so far south that it tracks along the northern Gulf states before the primary low takes over and delivers the “snowy goods” to our friends from the east TN mountains north and east.  By the way, this will be a monster event for the southern Appalachians (yard stick will be needed to measure the final product).  Back here on the home front, we’ll forecast a dry, cold stretch with a blustery Friday (east winds gusting 20-30 MPH).

Our next weather maker of note will come early next week.  More on that as we draw closer.

Safe travels and happy snow to all! 🙂

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/20/snowy-morning/

Jan 19

Busy, Busy (And Snowy)…

Screen Shot 2016-01-19 at 7.38.59 AMHighlights:

  • Another frigid start
  • Snow develops tonight
  • Watching late week winter storm potential

Snowy Commute Ahead Wednesday Morning…Back-to-back wintry events will impact at least portions of the region in the coming days.  Before we talk snow, we’ll enjoy sunshine this morning before clouds begin to increase, thicken, and lower later today.  Those clouds spell snow during the overnight and we still think snow will come down at a good clip for an hour, or two just before the morning rush (horrible timing, I know).  A couple inches still looks like a good bet in, and around, Indy, with heavier totals off to the south.

We’ll go through a break in the action Wednesday afternoon, but all eyes at that point will already be focused to our SW.  A developing winter storm will take shape in Texas Thursday and track northeast into the TN Valley Friday.  Eventually the energy will transfer to a new area of low pressure east of the Appalachians that will create blizzard conditions across the mountains, Mid Atlantic, and portions of the Northeast late week.  That said, enough of a reflection of the initial low should track up west of the mountains and help spread moisture far enough north to impact southern and southeastern parts of our region Thursday night into Friday.  (A slight continued NW jog is still possible).  It’s far too early to discuss amounts, but know that this could be an impactful event for some, particularly across southern and southeastern IN.

Dry and cold conditions will return for the weekend before we eye the potential of additional wintry “mischief” next week…

11912016SnowEvent2nd

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/01/19/busy-busy-and-snowy/

IndyWx.com