Category: Forecast
Highlights:
- Nice open to the week
- Mid week winter storm for parts of the area
- Wind and heavy, wet snow
Mid Week Snow Storm For Parts Of The Area…Today is easy! Weak high pressure will supply dry skies and a quiet time of things, but trouble’s lurking for mid week.
Clouds will increase Tuesday and rain will move in Tuesday evening as a developing storm system lifts northeast out of Texas, into the TN Valley, and into the eastern Ohio Valley. Long term Hoosiers know that’s a classic track for a snow hit here across central IN and that will likely ring true for portions of the area Wednesday evening into Thursday. We forecast rain to transition to a heavy, wet snow from northeast to southwest Wednesday afternoon into the evening. There’s still fine tuning ahead, but as things stand now, this could be a significant event (6″+) for some central and northern IN neighborhoods. Stay tuned.
The other component of this storm will be a strong and gusty northeast wind that eventually shifts to the north and northwest Wednesday into Thursday. Cold conditions will be with us to wrap up the work week as the big dig begins for some.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/22/mid-week-snow-storm-for-parts-of-the-area/
Highlights:
- Beautiful finish to the weekend
- Mid week storm brewing with many questions
- Snow potential for some
- Colder pattern developing
Nice Finish To The Weekend; Mid Week Storm Brewing…A disturbance responsible for overnight/ early morning thunderstorms and heavy rain across southern IN is tracking east. Drier air is working in now and we’ve dialed up a beauty of a close to the weekend across central IN.
The work week will get started on a quiet note, but trouble is brewing for mid week as a big storm system lifts out of the southern Plains and into the lower Ohio Valley. We forecast a lowering and thickening cloud deck Tuesday followed by rain developing. As colder air gets pulled into the system, rain will begin to transition to a heavy, wet snow across portions of the area. Exactly who sees the transition and when remain in question and will have to be fine tuned as time goes along. That said, the potential is there for a heavy, wet snow “thump” across a portion of our area. Stay tuned.
This storm will set things into a much colder and rather active time to close the work week and head into next weekend.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/21/nice-finish-to-the-weekend-mid-week-storm-brewing/
Highlights:
- Freezing drizzle to start the day
- Watching another storm system Tuesday
- Mild and windy close to the week
Messy Monday Morning Commute; Watching Tuesday…After the snowy Valentine’s Day across the region, we’re concerned freezing drizzle will develop and add to what already will be a slick commute in spots overnight and Monday morning. Allow extra drive time and take it slow.
Attention will quickly shift to Tuesday as a vigorous piece of upper level energy dives southeast. We have to fine tune the track later Monday, but this has the potential to spread a swath of accumulating snow over portions of the state Tuesday afternoon and evening. Stay tuned.
We turn windy, but much milder to wrap up the work week. Friday and most of the weekend will feature a taste of spring as a strong SW flow takes hold and helps pump well above normal temperatures into the area. Don’t get used to the mild air, as cold will return to wrap up Feb and head into March.
Interested in our consulting services? E-mail bill@indywx.com for more information.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/14/messy-monday-morning-commute-watching-tuesday/
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/13/snowy-valentines-day-on-the-way/
Highlights:
- Bitterly cold
- Light accumulating snow Sunday
- Active pattern continues, but with questions
Bitterly Cold; Accumulating Sunday Snow…We label the cold that we’ll deal with Saturday “hurt your face” cold. It’ll be a bitter day with lows in the lower-mid single digits (even some areas below zero), a biting NW wind, and AM lake-generated snow streamers across eastern portions of the state. Bundle up, friends!
We still track accumulating snow for Valentine’s Day. Clouds will lower and thicken Sunday morning and snow should overspread the area as we progress into the late morning hours. The potential of a plowable snow still looks good from this distance, and we’ll have our initial snowfall map out later Saturday (want to get a look at the full 00z suite before issuing).
Right on the heels of Sunday’s snow maker will be another disturbance Tuesday. Modeling differs on the track (surprise, surprise ;-)), but the potential is there for additional accumulating snows Tuesday into Wednesday. Stay tuned.
After a final disturbance Wednesday (with light snow potential), we’ll see a marked wind shift to the south to close the week, followed by a brief, but impressive, surge of milder air.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/12/bitterly-cold-accumulating-sunday-snow/
Two snow events are lined up to impact at least parts of central IN over the next few days. Friday Light Snow: We still expect an area of light snow…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/11/taking-a-moment-to-level-set/
Highlights:
- Scattered snow showers continue
- Reinforcing arctic air arrives Friday-Saturday
- Winter storm brewing for some Sunday-Monday
- Moderating temperatures next week
Very Cold; Eyes On Sunday-Monday…We’ve been dealing with snow showers for over 48 hours. As expected, accumulations haven’t been uniform, but range, on average, from 1″ to 3″ across central IN. Morning snow showers continue before drier air will invade from the west and shut the snow production off this afternoon.
Tomorrow will be a dry, cold day before arctic reinforcements arrive Friday into Saturday. Snow showers will accompany the arctic express to close the work week.
Saturday looks brutal. Very cold and windy with below zero wind chills most of the day.
Focus continues on Sunday and Monday and we forecast snow to overspread the area late Sunday night, continuing into Monday. It’s still early, but this may be a “more important” event, locally. This will actually come on the “tail end” of the arctic air mass that will have engulfed the region over a week by that point. We think next week is much milder before we reload the cold to close February and head into March.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/10/very-cold-eyes-on-sunday-monday/
Highlights:
- Embedded Tuesday squalls!
- Fast moving NW flow!
- Bigger winter threat to close the week and again late weekend?
Busy, Cold Winter Pattern…The short term will continue to be dominated by a slow moving upper low over the region. Individual “spokes” (disturbances) of energy will rotate around the upper low and provide enhanced snow showers and embedded heavier squalls through Tuesday night. As promised, there will be “haves” and “have nots” with this system and, in general, we still like the idea of most folks in the 1″-3″ range with a few isolated heavier totals.
This is a challenging northwest flow and can wreck havoc on the timing front. Our best idea right now takes a disturbance southeast Wednesday, but this should remain a touch too far west to prevent much more than our southwest tier counties from seeing much, if any, snow.
A stronger clipper may deliver accumulating snow to wrap up the work week and then we also have our late weekend winter event to fine tune. Get the idea we’re locked into a busy time of things? 🙂
Interested in our detailed consulting services? E-mail bill@indywx.com for further details.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/08/busy-cold-winter-pattern/
Highlights:
- Long duration snow shower event
- Heavier snow squalls possible Monday night-Tuesday morning
- Another push of snow late week
- Bigger winter storm potential at the end of the period
Long Duration Snow Shower Event…A cold front will move through the area late tonight and may be accompanied by a shower or sprinkle as it moves through the region. Colder air will filter in behind the boundary after midnight and snow showers will begin to blossom Monday morning. This will be the beginning of a solid 48-60 hours of snow falling across most of central IN. We think heavier snow bursts and embedded squalls are a good bet Monday night into Tuesday morning as the true arctic air begins to push into the area. With so much upper level energy around, snow showers will continue into Wednesday.
As far as accumulation goes, we think the majority of central Indiana will accumulate 2″-3″ during the early week event, but this won’t be a uniform snow at all (there will be “haves” and “have nots”). Locally, there will also be a few 4″ reports.
Though timing is a challenge in this fast, active northwest flow, we think we’ll be dry and cold Thursday before snow returns to close the work week as another disturbance and reinforcing arctic air move south.
Well below normal cold remains entrenched across the region for Valentine’s weekend, and we note wintry “fun and games” brewing to our west Saturday night into Sunday. We’ll forecast a lowering and thickening cloud deck here Sunday with snow developing during the afternoon and evening. Early indications continue to suggest this could be a storm of “importance” around these parts… Stay tuned.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/07/long-duration-snow-shower-event-hope-you-like-winter/
Highlights:
- Nice close to the work week
- Enjoy a mild weekend
- Much colder next week with snow
Not A Bad Weekend; Winter Returns Next Week…Weak ridging will be with us as we close out the work week. This will supply a very nice Friday, after some freezing fog concerns in spots early.
The upcoming weekend will feature a weak weather maker scooting through here Saturday and that could have just enough “umph” to produce a flurry or sprinkle. Otherwise, look for mild weather for Super Bowl weekend. Enjoy it!
A cold front will push through the region late Sunday. A band of moisture will likely accompany this front- rain to snow type deal. As we move into early and mid next week, the weather pattern will be dominated by strong western ridging and a significant eastern trough. Models will likely continue to struggle handling the specifics concerning timing and strength with the individual disturbances and we’ll have to keep a close eye on early to mid next week moving forward. As it stands now, we think most widespread snow showers/ squalls come Monday into Tuesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/02/04/not-a-bad-weekend-winter-returns-next-week/
