Category: Forecast
Highlights:
- Dry feel turns much more humid
- Splash and dash storms, but many dry hours
- Warm, humid Memorial Day/ Race weekend
One More Dry Day…High pressure is scooting away from the region, but will remain close enough to supply central IN with dry conditions Tuesday. Though warm, we’ll enjoy one more day with dry air in place.
A SW wind shift will deliver an increasingly moist air mass for mid week, continuing into the long holiday and race weekend ahead. In fact, dew points will surge to readings around 70 (downright oppressive). While there will be times of scattered showers and thunderstorms, there will also be many dry hours, as well. We continue to keep an eye on Wednesday for the potential of a strong to severe storm.
As we continue to grow closer to the holiday and race weekend, questions continue to increase around the forecast specifics, and rightfully so. While we need to be prepared for an afternoon/ evening storm, these will be scattered and there will be “haves and have nots” when it comes to storm/ rain activity over the balance of the upcoming forecast period. Again, we want to emphasize there should be plenty of dry time.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/23/not-as-bad-as-it-may-look/
Highlights:
- Dry open to the week
- Warming up and turning humid
- Storm chances mid week on
Beautiful Open To The Week…High pressure and a dry air mass will result in lots of sunshine to open the week. After a chilly first few weeks of May, we’ll see improvements in the mercury this week. A dry air mass will still result in cool overnight lows through Tuesday morning, but we’ll shift to a much more humid regime for mid and late week. Additionally, temperatures will continue to climb into the lower 80s for highs. Prepare to sweat.
The increased moisture and an approaching frontal boundary will help ignite scattered showers and thunderstorms for the second half of the week. We also have a close eye on Wednesday for the potential of strong to severe thunderstorms. While it won’t rain the entire time, prepare for “splash and dash” showers and storms into the important Memorial Day/ Indy 500 weekend…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/22/feeling-like-summer-3/
Highlights:
- Showers arrive this afternoon
- Better finish to the weekend
- Wet pattern returns next week
Rain Gear Needed This Afternoon…The Friday-Saturday forecast has been a headache all week as models have been “waffling” back and forth between heavy rains and mostly dry weather. As it is, we’re actually going to end up “splitting the difference.” While it’ll rain at times this afternoon into Saturday, totals will be relatively light (0.10″-0.30″ for most).
A brighter second half of the weekend is coming as sunshine returns Sunday. That dry period of weather will carry us into the new work week, but we caution that wet and stormy weather will return by the middle of next week. Expect a much warmer and more humid time of things next week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/20/showers-build-in-this-afternoon/
Highlights:
- Isolated afternoon shower possible
- Extended period of sunny weather
- Moderating temperatures
This Is More Like It…An isolated shower chance is there this afternoon into the early evening hours, particularly across western sections of the forecast area. That said, most will remain rain-free today with increasing afternoon sunshine. This is only the beginning of a rather extended period of dry, sunny weather across the Hoosier state.
Earlier thoughts brought rain back to the forecast to close the week, but latest model trends keep this next storm too far south and east for impacts, locally. Instead, we’ll forecast a dry weekend with moderating temperatures. A string of 80s is on tap next week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/18/extended-period-of-dry-and-warmer-weather/
Highlights:
- Dry daytime before showers develop tonight
- Cool times continue
- Drier mid week
- Late week storm system
Cool Times Remain…The work week is off to a chilly, but dry start. While the cool times will remain, dry times, unfortunately, won’t. Rain will arrive on the scene tonight and continue into the first half of Tuesday. Heaviest rain totals will remain downstate, but on average we expect 0.25″-0.50″ across central IN. Tuesday will be a chilly day with clouds lingering most of the day (keep in mind our average high now is into the lower 70s).
We’ll enjoy some much needed dry time for the mid week period, including lots of sunshine. Temperatures will remain below average.
Our next storm system will push into the Ohio Valley late week. Clouds will be on the increase Friday with rain building in during the PM. Rain continues into early Saturday before we get back to drier conditions late in the day and into Sunday. The potential is there for a period of heavy rain, but we caution forecast models aren’t in agreement on the axis of heaviest totals. Stay tuned.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/16/rain-pushes-in-tonight/
Highlights:
- Sunday sunshine
- Early week showers
- Bigger storm for the weekend?
Dry, But Cool…High pressure will supply dry and sunny conditions to wrap up the weekend, along with a cool, crisp feel.
Our next storm system will push into the state late Monday with showers that will likely continue into Tuesday morning, especially downstate. Heaviest rain totals are expected across southern IN, with the potential of .25″-.50″ across central IN. We’ll “sure up” those rain numbers in the next 24 hours, or so.
We’ll get back to dry time for mid week, but a potentially bigger storm system looms for the weekend. Widespread rain looks to build into the Ohio Valley late Friday, continuing Saturday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/15/hello-sunshine-remaining-cool/
Highlights:
- Band of showers and t-storms arrives late tonight
- Very cool and blustery weekend
- Drier pattern developing
Unseasonably Chilly Weekend…A cold front is racing towards the region and will serve up a fresh batch of showers and thunderstorms overnight. The bigger story will be a gusty NW wind shift and falling temperatures late tonight. The chill will remain through the weekend with highs well below average and a patchy frost threat in outlying areas Sunday morning. Most of Sunday will be dry, but a widely scattered shower is possible during the afternoon hours.
The majority of the upcoming work week looks much drier when compared to recent. We’re watching a significant storm system, but general consensus of forecast model data at this point keeps the majority of significant rains to our south. We’ll keep a close eye on things. Slowly moderating temperatures can be expected as we progress through the week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/13/chilly-blustery-weekend/
Highlights:
- Scattered Showers And Storms
- Turning Much Cooler
- Unsettled Early Next Week
Have The Jackets Ready…The first of two cold fronts will sweep through the state this evening and help spark scattered strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening across mostly the eastern half of the state. A secondary cold front will move through here Friday evening with showers Friday night into early Saturday. It’s this second front that packs the much cooler air. Jackets will be required this weekend, and scattered light showers will remain in our forecast Saturday.
As we push into the new work week, things appear to be rather unsettled (what’s new)? An area of low pressure will push towards the region Tuesday into Wednesday and will increase rain and embedded storm chances. It won’t rain the entire time, but we’ll want the rain gear handy.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/12/scattered-strong-storms-this-afternoon-for-some/
Highlights:
- Warm and humid mid week
- Turning much cooler for the weekend
- Unsettled times remain
Jackets Required This Weekend…Wednesday’s coverage of showers and thunderstorms will likely be less than today, but will still require a mention of “scattered” coverage in our forecast. Some locally heavy downpours are possible, but like today, heavy rain totals won’t be uniform. Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will move in early Thursday in association with a cold front. Once that cold front passes, expect a northwest wind shift and a much cooler feel of things to wrap up the work week and head into the weekend.
A weak disturbance will provide showers late Friday into the early morning hours Saturday, but this won’t amount to significant rain totals.
Cool times remain into early and middle parts of next week, with our next chance of significant rain slated for Tuesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/10/turning-much-cooler-to-close-the-week/
Highlights:
- Scattered showers and storms continue
- Big cool blast looms
- Renewed wet stretch next week?
Active Times…It’s not so much the amount of rain that we’re seeing, but the overall duration of the gloomy, wet times. A stalled frontal boundary will remain draped over central parts of the state over the next 72 hours and this will help create periods of showers and thunderstorms through mid week. Localized heavy rain is possible, but the heavy rain totals certainly won’t fall in a “uniform” fashion. Tuesday afternoon and evening appears to still offer up a strong to severe thunderstorm chance.
Eventually a cold front will sweep the state Thursday and help usher in a much cooler air mass to wrap up the work week. An upper level disturbance will follow and provide a period of showers and light rain Friday evening. A spotty shower may continue Saturday with the much cooler air, but more widespread rains look to build in Sunday into Monday. There remains a great deal of disagreement on the forecast late in the weekend into early next week, so stay tuned as we fine tune things in the days ahead.
It’s a busy pattern, indeed, friends…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/05/09/busy-pattern-cool-blast-late-week/
