Category: Forecast
Highlights:
- Storms to start the work week
- Heat and humidity build
- Heat doesn’t last
Renewed Storm Chances Later Today…Alarm clocks weren’t needed today as a big complex of storms and heavy rain rumbled through the state during the pre-dawn hours. Many neighborhoods received a quick 2.5″+ during the overnight and predawn hours. As we write this, renewed thunderstorms are firing to our west and will impact portions of the state later this afternoon. Additional hefty rains are a good bet for some.
We’ll dry things out as we rumble through the mid week stretch and while isolated storms are possible to close the week, most folks should remain dry as a big ole’ upper ridge builds over the mid west. The big story will be intensifying hot, humid weather- centered on Friday-Saturday. Heat indices will approach 100-105 degrees during this time frame, as well. The good news is that forecast data points to the associated hot dome backing west and setting up shop over the Rockies to close the month and open August. Accordingly, the hottest anomalies will shift west, as well. We’ll be left with a NW flow aloft providing a cooler and unsettled stretch to close the month of July and open August.
The pattern to close July and open August should look rather familiar to what we’ve seen the majority of summer. NW flow aloft with frequent rain/ storm chances. Courtesy: TropicalTidbits
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/07/18/stormy-start-heat-builds-late-week/
Highlights:
- Dry and pleasant weekend
- Storms return late Sunday night into Monday
- Heat builds late next week
Refreshing Feel…A weak disturbance is tracking through central IN this morning with a band of clouds and a couple sprinkles. That said, sunshine will quickly return late morning into the afternoon and set up a beautiful day, along with pleasant temperatures and low humidity.
Our next round of storms will arrive from the NW late Sunday night into Monday. A few of these storms could be strong to severe and also include locally heavy rain.
Modeling disagrees on the magnitude of cooling and drier weather behind Monday’s front. The more aggressive GFS would imply another push of pleasant air for a couple days Tuesday-Wednesday, while the European isn’t as bullish. For now, we’ll split the difference and revisit tomorrow.
One thing that modeling does agree on is building late week heat. Expect a hot, humid close to the work week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″-1.25″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/07/16/pleasant-weekend-before-storms-return/
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/07/11/monday-morning-video-update-2/
Highlights:
- Dry weather continues
- Wet, active pattern returns mid week
Beautiful Sunday…High pressure will remain in control of our weather as we wrap up the weekend. As a result, we can expect lots of sunshine and comfortable temperatures, including low humidity levels. All-in-all, we really can’t ask for better weather this time of year.
Monday will remain dry, but the deeper we progress into the week, rain and storm chances will go up. While we include the mention of rain and storms in the forecast each day from Tuesday on, please know that it won’t rain the entire time and there will be many dry hours each day. That said, it does appear as if we’re entering another active stretch, and fine tuning will be required to pinpoint specifics around timing and track of storm complexes in the days ahead.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″-1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/07/10/wrapping-up-the-weekend-on-a-nice-note/
Highlights:
- Dry and pleasant weekend
- Moisture and storms return next week
- Another push of cool air next weekend?
Sunglasses Required…What a great feel we’re greeted with out there this morning! Low humidity and pleasant temperatures will be with us through the weekend, along with lots of sunshine. Sunday morning will feature many neighborhoods in the middle to upper 50s across central IN. Mid-July, what?! 🙂
Moisture will slowly return as we back our air flow around to the SW early next week. Additionally, we’re tracking multiple disturbances mid week that will promote increased chances of thunderstorms.
An early look at late week shows potentially another push of dry and cool air to set-up a beautiful close to the work week. We’re getting spoiled.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″-1.50″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/07/09/great-weekend-weather/
Highlights:
- Muggy times return
- Multiple storm chances mid/ late week
- Strong-severe storm potential
- Drier weekend
Air You Can Wear…A quick step out of the door this morning will quickly remind you that we’re in the heart of summer. A tropical feel will remain through the middle and latter portions of the work week. While an isolated shower is possible this afternoon, we should remain mostly dry across the state.
Better chances of showers and thunderstorms will return Wednesday, and we target the chances of two round of storms- morning and night. Some of these storms could be strong to severe, including damaging straight line winds. Don’t be surprised if updated Storm Prediction Center outlooks place a Slight Risk into portions of the state Wednesday.
Additional storm chances will be present Thursday and Friday before a drier air mass arrives in time for the weekend. With the drier air will also come cooler nights- lower 60s Saturday morning and upper 50s Sunday morning. After the warm, humid time of things the next few days, the drier air mass will feel quite refreshing.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1″ – 2″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/07/05/periods-of-storms-before-a-pleasant-weekend/
Highlights:
- Heavy rain
- Unseasonably cool
- Turning warmer
- Active, stormy time later in the week
Jacket And Rain Gear Needed…The first of two rounds of widespread, soaking rains is pushing across central IN this morning. Periods of moderate to heavy rains will develop later tonight as round two arrives on the scene. Localized flooding is likely tonight and Monday morning. The overall set-up is one that features a stationary front draped across the region with ripples of energy (low pressure) moving along the boundary. In addition to the wet weather, this will also set up quite the temperature gradient across the state today. Here across central IN, jackets will be needed all day with highs struggling to climb much out of the middle 60s. Downstate, temperatures will zoom into the 80s with a severe component added into the mix tonight for southern IN (with the focus primarily being straight line winds).
Showers and thunderstorms will continue Independence Day, but we’re still hopeful in thinking we begin to dry things out for the afternoon and evening. That’s great news for the fireworks and festivities planned tomorrow evening.
We begin to heat things back up and add storms into the mix for mid and late week as the region gets into an active NW flow regime. The potential is there for a couple of rather noisy storm complexes later this week. We’ll keep a close eye on things.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 3.5″-4.5″ (locally heavier amounts)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/07/03/unseasonably-cool-heavy-rains/
Highlights:
- Pleasant air in the short-term
- Storm chances Friday
- Widespread soaker
Looking Increasingly Wet For The Holiday Weekend…High pressure will supply continued dry times Thursday, but clouds will increase during the evening and give way to scattered showers and embedded thunder Friday. This doesn’t look like a huge deal, but don’t be surprised by rain and/ or a clap of thunder to close the work week. That said, there will be more dry time than wet Friday.
As we rumble into the long Independence Day weekend, confidence continues to increase for a widespread soaking rain to develop. Thankfully, Saturday still looks mostly dry, but we think clouds will be on the increase late in the day, followed by rain overspreading the region from west to east as Sunday afternoon approaches. Widespread rain should continue into Monday. We still have questions on timing and precise placement of heaviest rains (2″+ totals), but it’s safe to say most, if not all, of the region can expect a long-duration rain event developing Sunday. Stay tuned. It’ll also be cool. Areas where heaviest rains set up Sunday likely won’t climb out of the 60s.
Drier air will return late Monday into the middle of next week, but we caution that another wet weather maker appears to have eye on the region beginning next Thursday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.5″-2.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/29/enjoy-the-dry-time-while-we-have-it/
Cooler, more refreshing times are building in. Temperatures come mid week will have you asking “Is this late June?!”
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/27/monday-evening-video-update-8/
Highlights:
- Isolated PM storm
- Drier and much cooler air coming
- Late week storm chance
Much Cooler Weather On Deck…A secondary cold front will slip through central IN this evening. While most of today will be rain-free, an isolated to widely scattered shower or storm can’t be ruled out as the front moves through later this evening. Following the frontal passage, an unseasonably cool air mass will pour into the area and set up a very pleasant mid week stretch. Hard to beat lower-middle 50s at night and 70s during the day in late June.
Our next chance of rain and storms will arrive Friday. Early indications as of now suggest dry conditions and pleasant temperatures going into the long Independence Day weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/06/27/refreshing-feel-on-the-way/
