Category: Forecast
Highlights:
- Greatest storm coverage and intensity this morning
- Turning much drier and cooler
- Reinforcing mid week cool air
Turning Much Drier This Evening…It’s been a wet and stormy time of things as of late. Locally heavy rain will continue to accompany stronger storms this morning, but we note greatest storm coverage should begin to shift ENE as the morning progresses into afternoon. Renewed showers will likely develop this afternoon as the cold front moves through the state. We’ll then enjoy a marked NW wind shift this evening and that will help push much drier and cooler air in to help create a true fall feel tonight. The second half of the weekend look beautiful- sunny and crisp!
Much needed dry time will be with us for the balance of the upcoming work week. We note a reinforcing push of cool air mid week that could spark a shower, but rainfall amounts don’t look impressive (the air will be much drier than the “soupy” feel we’ve been dealing with for the past week). A more significant rain-maker should arrive next weekend…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1″-2″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/10/drier-cooler-air-on-our-doorstep/
A “wavy” frontal boundary will be located over our region through the next 36-48 hours before getting a “shove” south from a cold front Saturday.
The combination of the stationary front along with a tropical-rich air mass in place will be enough in and of itself to produce periods of heavy rain today into Saturday morning. Add in a couple of disturbances moving along the boundary and the heavy rain prospects grow even higher. A strong to severe storm also can’t be ruled out-primarily this afternoon and again Friday afternoon.
Already this morning (6:30a) we note widespread showers and embedded thunder impacting IL and northern IN.
As mentioned, the air mass is plenty “juicy” to fuel locally heavy rain through the period. Precipitable water values (PWATs) will surge north of 2″ for all of central IN later today.
While it won’t rain the entire time, periods of heavy rain will remain in our forecast today through Saturday morning. Widespread 1″-2″ totals will be common, with locally heavier totals.
High pressure will build overhead Sunday and lead to quite the change. A much cooler and drier air mass will return along with brighter skies to wrap up the weekend.
Lows in the middle 50s will be common for the city, itself, Sunday through Tuesday mornings. Upper 40s to lower 50s are a good bet away from the metro.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/08/periods-of-heavy-rain-then-much-cooler/
Highlights:
- Sun-filled days
- Turning hot
- Storm chances return by mid week
Refreshing Temperatures (For Now)…High pressure and a dry northeast flow will continue to support refreshing conditions across the region. Plentiful sunshine along with low humidity values will create ideal weather to spend time outdoors as we go into the long Labor Day weekend. Perhaps a bonfire is in order this evening?
Eventually, our air flow will back around to the southwest and this will allow a much warmer and increasingly humid air mass to return. Sunday will be noticeably hotter, but the true push of humidity will arrive Labor Day into Tuesday. It’ll, officially, feel “oppressive” by mid week. That increased moisture will also help ignite scattered storm chances Wednesday into Thursday.
Looking just beyond the (7) day period shows the potential of a cooler period building back in next weekend…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/09/02/hot-weather-returns/
Highlights:
- Scattered afternoon storms
- Turning much drier and cooler tonight
- Refreshing into the weekend
Cold Front Inbound…We’re getting to that time of the year where cold fronts will begin to pack more and more of a punch, offering up increasingly cool to, eventually, cold air… An early fall-like front will surge south this evening. Ahead of the boundary, scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon into the evening- particularly from central into southern portions of the state. Storms will be moving relatively quickly this evening so flash flood concerns are limited.
Behind the front, much drier and cooler air will ooze into the region tonight and set us up for an absolutely delightful few days of weather, complete with dry skies and low humidity. Temperatures into the upper 40s wouldn’t surprise us Saturday morning for outlying communities.
Eventually the heat will return from Labor Day into most of next week. As moisture surges north, scattered storm chances will also return to our forecast by Tuesday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/31/refreshing-times-ahead/
Highlights:
- Scattered storm chances remain for now
- Drier and much cooler air on deck
- Dry, but hot Labor Day looms
Breath Of Fresh Air Awaits…Once we get through the next (48) hours, a much more pleasant, early fall-like, air mass awaits. Beforehand, we still have plenty of heat and humidity to deal with, along with the all-too-familiar mention of scattered (but heavy) thunderstorms. Thankfully, a cold front will push through the state Wednesday night into Thursday morning and usher in a much cooler and drier air mass to wrap up the work week and head into the long holiday weekend. High pressure will supply a refreshing northeasterly flow Thursday into Friday, supporting breezy conditions and much cooler air. It’ll be the type air mass that will make you take notice fall isn’t that far off, after all.
As we push closer to Labor Day, itself, our air flow will back around to the southwest and assist with a warmer and increasingly moist brand of air for the holiday, into the majority of the Week 2 period…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/29/well-earned-break-from-the-heat-humidity-on-deck/
Highlights:
- Scattered weekend storms
- Humid air mass
- Less storm coverage early next week
Air You Can Wear…A very warm, moist, and unstable air mass will remain in place across the region this weekend. While storms will be scattered, the moisture-laden air will help promote locally heavy storms at times. Get used to heat indices in the mid-upper 90s into early next week. Yuck!
Storm coverage will be on the decrease, overall, as we open the new work week. That said, we have to maintain isolated coverage. A weak boundary will slip through central IN the middle of next week and lead to scattered to numerous storms Wednesday.
In the tropics, Invest 99L remains at the forefront. There are many more questions than answers at this time, but if the disturbance (somehow, someway) can make it into the southeastern GOM early next week, conditions will be much more favorable for development.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.75″-1.25″ (locally heavier amounts)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/26/tropical-feel-this-weekend/
Highlights:
- Dry pattern continues today
- Mid week storms
- Questions abound this weekend
Heat And Humidity Return…High pressure will give way to an approaching cold front as we progress from early to mid week. Ahead of the front, a southwest air flow will transport an increasingly warm and muggy air mass northward. It’ll, unfortunately, feel much more humid Wednesday and Thursday. With the frontal boundary nearby and the increased humidity, expect scattered to numerous thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday (along with locally heavy downpours). A couple strong storms are also possible.
We still think drier air will press into central IN to wrap up the work week and head into the first half of the weekend. That said, moisture returns as early as Sunday and leads to a mention of thunderstorms, especially during the PM. Stay tuned as we continue to fine tune timing.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″-1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/23/its-still-summer-after-all/
Highlights:
- Cooler and mostly sunny
- Dry weather into the early parts of the work week
- Midweek storms
Early Fall Preview…A cold front swept through the state last night and was accompanied by strong storms and heavy rain. The unsettled conditions are now to our east and in return we’re left with a much cooler, drier, and breezy day. With low humidity, temperatures running significantly below normal, and a NW breeze in place, you have our approval to begin shifting thoughts to fall. 🙂
Dry and pleasant air will remain in place through early week before we back the air flow around to the SW. Increasingly muggy conditions will return Wednesday into Thursday and as a cold front interacts with the moist air in place, showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase Wednesday into Thursday. The good news? The front should slide to our south and result in dry and pleasant conditions next weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/21/an-early-taste-of-fall/
Highlights:
- AM fog burns off today
- Scattered storms
- Much cooler air coming
Afternoon And Evening Thunder…Morning fog (some dense) will eventually burn off and give way to a muggy day. As afternoon heating takes place, scattered evening thunderstorms are a good bet, especially north of Indianapolis. We’ll repeat this to wrap up the work week Friday.
A cold front will take aim at the region Saturday evening and scattered showers and thunderstorms will accompany this boundary as it moves through. A few storms could reach strong to severe levels Saturday PM as the front moves through.
Winds will shift to the NW and usher in a much cooler and drier brand of air for the second half of the weekend, continuing into the early portion of next week. Many will likely be craving fall by early next week coming off multiple mornings with lows in the 50s.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/18/scattered-storms-turning-much-cooler/
Highlights:
- Scattered Showers
- Saturday storm chance
- Early fall feel on deck
Drier Overall…It’s been a wet few days across the region. While we’ll begin to transition towards a drier regime to wrap up the work week, scattered showers and storms will remain in the forecast today and Thursday. Best concentration of storms will be located across north-central IN this evening. Rain/ storm coverage will be even less on Thursday.
Our next item of interest will arrive on the scene in the form of a cold front Saturday. Showers and a couple gusty thunderstorms are a good bet Saturday afternoon/ evening as the cold front sweeps through the state. Our winds will then shift to the northwest and help usher in a much cooler, drier time of things for the second half of the weekend. Stepping outside Sunday morning will provide a definite hint of fall, complete with a breezy NW wind.
Early next week will continue to feature dry and unseasonably cool times before we turn our attention to what could potentially be a heavy rain maker setting up just past the 7-day period…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-0.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/08/17/early-fall-feel-coming/
