Category: Forecast

Nov 19

First Flakes Of The Season…

screen-shot-2016-11-19-at-8-14-33-amHighlights:

  • Colder pattern taking hold
  • First flakes of the season
  • Wet, windy system on the big travel day

Pull Out Those Heavier Coats…Last night’s cold front hit with authority and will likely be looked back on as the “game changer” between the warm, quiet fall we enjoyed and colder, more active times ahead.  Today is much colder with snow flurries and scattered snow showers. Gusty NW winds will feature wind chills in the 20s through the daytime before falling into the 10s tonight.

Calm, cold weather will continue into early next week before our next storm system blows into town Tuesday evening.  Clouds will increase through the day Tuesday and rain will arrive at night.  The big travel day before Thanksgiving looks blustery and wet with showers (especially during the first half of the day).  We’ll get the system out of here to allow for a dry, chilly Thanksgiving.

Looking ahead, another system of “interest” is on deck late next weekend or early the following week.  Timing and details are far from etched in stone with this being 7+ days out, but the potential is there for this to feature a wintry component…

Upcoming Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: Trace
  • Rainfall: 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/19/first-flakes-of-the-season/

Nov 18

VIDEO: Stormy By Evening; Much Colder This Weekend…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/18/video-stormy-by-evening-much-colder-this-weekend/

Nov 17

Warm Today; Cold Changes Await…

screen-shot-2016-11-17-at-8-48-32-amHighlights:

  • Breezy and warm close to the work week
  • T-storms Friday evening
  • Cold weekend with Saturday flurries

Changeable Weather…If you don’t find a way to get outside today something is wrong.  Let the boss know IndyWx.com gave you permission to spend an extended lunch outdoors today. 🙂  Sunny skies and unseasonably warm temperatures will be with us through the day, along with an increasingly gusty afternoon wind.

Clouds increase Friday and showers develop Friday evening.  A couple of stronger thunderstorms are also possible as the front sweeps through the state.  While we’re not forecasting a widespread severe wind potential, one or two strong and gusty storms are possible.  The front will hit like a wall Friday night and feature an abrupt wind shift and plummeting temperatures.  That high Saturday in the lower 40s will be predawn as most of the day will be spent in the 30s with gusty winds and snow flurries.  Steadier snow squalls will be found across north and northeast IN.

Dry, chilly weather will be with us for the remainder of the weekend, continuing into the beginning of the Thanksgiving week ahead.  Our next storm system is slated for the big travel day Wednesday.  Expect showers and gusty winds followed by colder weather for Thanksgiving, itself.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: Trace
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 0.75″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/17/warm-today-cold-changes-await/

Nov 15

Big Changes Loom…

screen-shot-2016-11-15-at-7-47-52-amHighlights:

  • Mostly sunny and pleasant into mid week
  • Gusty SW winds usher in near-record warmth to close the work week
  • Friday night showers and storms
  • Coldest air and first flakes of the season ahead

Brace For Changes…The short-term remains very quiet and pleasant.  If you haven’t already, we suggest knocking out that remaining yard work for the season, or get a jump on the outdoor Christmas lights!  (Rude changes loom).

Winds will turn gusty out of the southwest Thursday, especially by afternoon.  These strong and gusty SW winds will top 40 MPH Thursday into Friday, but also serve to help give temperatures a boost.  Highs both Thursday and Friday will be near record levels.

We should remain dry through the daytime Friday, but a band of showers and embedded thunder will rumble through the state Friday night as a strong cold front passes through.  Behind the cold front, expect an abrupt wind shift to the northwest and falling temperatures through the day Saturday.  Heavier jackets and coats will be required as wind chills in the 20s fall into the teens Saturday night into Sunday morning.  Left-over, “backlash” moisture will fall in the form of flurries and scattered light snow showers.  Further north, light accumulations of snow are possible across northern IN snowbelt communities.

Cold, dry weather will continue into early next week.  Looking further ahead, another storm system looms around Thanksgiving.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″-0.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/15/big-changes-loom/

Nov 14

Taste Of Winter This Weekend…

A rather pleasant, benign week of weather will transition to a rude feel by the weekend.

A cold front will sweep through the state Saturday morning and will help the season’s first blast of true, winter-like air plunge southward over the weekend, into early next week.  Ahead of the cold front, a band of showers and perhaps a clap of thunder will track east.  As of now, rainfall totals don’t look particularly impressive (0.10″-0.25″).

Shower chances will increase Friday evening. Courtesy of weatherbell.com

Shower chances will increase Friday evening. Courtesy of weatherbell.com

Ahead of the front, winds will gust out of the southwest Thursday afternoon and Friday (in the 30-40 MPH range), but will shift around to the northwest Saturday (same 30-40 MPH potential) and drive a much colder air mass southeast.  Temperatures will fall through the day Saturday and temperatures will grow cold enough Saturday evening into Sunday to allow “backlash” moisture to fall as scattered snow showers and snow flurries.  Further north, in the snowbelt regions, heavier lake-generated snow bands and squalls will develop over the second half of the weekend.

The season's first true lake effect snow outbreak will occur this weekend. Courtesy of weatherbell.com

The season’s first true lake effect snow outbreak will occur this weekend. Courtesy of weatherbell.com

Wind chills will fall into the teens Sunday night into Monday morning.

gfs_windchill_indy_30

Longer term, data continues to suggest we continue to transition, overall, towards a colder and stormy pattern in the targeted Thanksgiving to Christmas period.  More on that later this week…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/14/taste-of-winter-this-weekend/

Nov 13

Frosty Mornings; Late Week Storm System…

screen-shot-2016-11-13-at-10-19-07-amHighlights:

  • Dry stretch of weather remains
  • Late week storm system offers up rain; t-storm chances
  • Much colder next weekend

Frosty Mornings To Start The Week…High pressure will dominate our weather pattern to open the new week.  As such, skies will remain mostly sunny and temperatures will be very pleasant.  Monday morning will feature the third morning in a row with sub-freezing air.  Expect another frosty start to the day, including outlying neighborhoods into the 20s yet again.

Looking ahead, our weather will remain rather uneventful until Thursday.  Dry conditions will remain, but southwest winds will become increasingly gusty by the afternoon.  This is in advance of an approaching storm system that will deliver showers, and perhaps a clap of thunder, Friday evening.  Timing will have to be fine tuned as we progress through the week.  Behind the boundary, much colder air will pour into the region on gusty northwest winds next weekend.  In fact, the air will grow cold enough to potentially lead to scattered snow showers Saturday night into Sunday in the left over “back lash” moisture.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/13/frosty-mornings-late-week-storm-system/

Nov 11

Chilly Weekend Ahead…

screen-shot-2016-11-11-at-6-58-12-amHighlights:

  • Dry and chilly weekend
  • First freeze of the season
  • Dry skies remain next week

Cold Air Blows In This Evening…We’ll wrap up the work week with plentiful sunshine, but reinforcing cold air will blow into town this evening.  After a high in the middle 50s, temperatures will begin to fall rather quickly by late afternoon into the early evening. Temperatures will grow cold enough to allow the first freeze of the season to greet many Hoosiers Saturday and Sunday mornings (many neighborhoods away from the city will drop into the middle/ upper 20s).

Dry skies will remain next week, but by the middle parts of next week, all eyes will be on our next fall storm system.  It’s still early, but the next best chances of rain appear to be slated for a late week arrival next week.  Colder air will follow.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

Snowfall: 0.00″

Rainfall: 0.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/11/chilly-weekend-ahead/

Nov 09

Weekend Freeze…

screen-shot-2016-11-09-at-7-06-07-pmHighlights:

  • Reinforcing chilly air blows in
  • Weekend freeze
  • Mainly dry

Dry; Reinforcing Chilly Air…We’ll wrap up the work week on a dry note, but a breezy one as reinforcing chilly air blows into town.

First thing’s first and that’s Thursday.  Frosty conditions will greet many out the door tomorrow morning before an increasingly breezy afternoon and evening.  This is ahead of a front that will sweep through here Friday and result in the coldest air of the fall season so far over the weekend.  In addition to our first freeze (many neighborhoods away from the city will fall into the 20s this weekend), highs Saturday likely won’t make it out of the 40s for most.

Despite an isolated shower chance Monday, it’s a dry 7-day, along with fairly seasonable conditions when you total everything up.  The potential is there for more active times just beyond the forecast period…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: Trace – 0.05″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/09/weekend-freeze/

Nov 08

Showers Today; Weekend Freeze…

screen-shot-2016-11-08-at-7-18-13-amHighlights:

  • Damp weather at times later today
  • Dry, cool weather returns
  • Weekend freeze

Election Day Showers…The morning is starting off dry across central IN, but showers will increase later today- especially this afternoon.  Rainfall totals won’t be impressive and most neighborhoods should check-in with 0.10″-0.25″ by evening. Drier, cooler air will work in tonight and set up a very pleasant mid week stretch as the cold front sweeps southeast.

Reinforcing cool air will blow into town Friday evening and result in back-to-back freezes this weekend.  Many away from the city can expect to dip into the upper 20s Saturday and Sunday mornings.  Highs will likely remain in the 40s Saturday.  Dry skies will continue through the remainder of the period.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/08/showers-today-weekend-freeze/

Nov 07

Election Day Showers; Unseasonably Chilly Weekend…

screen-shot-2016-11-07-at-7-38-28-amHighlights:

  • Dry, mild open to the work week
  • Election Day showers
  • Freeze likely this weekend

Enjoy Today; Changes Loom…High pressure will supply a beautiful open to the work week, complete with plentiful sunshine and highs close to 10 degrees above normal.  Find a way to get outside and soak in this pleasant late-autumn weather!

A cold front will sweep through the state on Election Day.  The day will open dry, but a band of light showers will move through the state during the afternoon-evening.  This won’t be a big event and “light” is the key word.  Chilly air will filter into the area behind the boundary for mid week.

Speaking of chilly air, the coolest air of the season thus far is slated for a weekend arrival.  Winds will shift to the north Friday evening and help usher in the season’s first freeze for many by Saturday morning (some upper 20s can be expected away from the city).  Dry conditions will remain this weekend.

Looking ahead, plenty of “fun and games” await by mid-month…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/07/election-day-showers-unseasonably-chilly-weekend/

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