Category: Forecast

Dec 03

Sunday Mix; Heavier Winter Gear Needed Next Week…

screen-shot-2016-12-03-at-9-48-58-amHighlights:

  • Sunday mix
  • Wet Tuesday
  • Midweek snow and turning bitter

Winter Awaits…Today is chilly and dry. Thankfully, we’ll finally get to see the sun.  Enjoy it into the afternoon as clouds will quickly increase yet again later in the day as our next storm system approaches.

Speaking of that next system, moisture will spread into the chilly air mass Sunday morning.  Across central IN, this will fall as a wintry mix of light snow and chilly light rain.  Further north, this will be a mostly snow event, including a light accumulation possible (slushy amounts under 1″) across far northern portions of the state.  All-in-all, this won’t be a big deal.

We’ll have a brief break in between systems Monday before rain returns at night.  This is courtesy of another wave of low pressure lifting out of the northwest Gulf of Mexico, tracking northeast through the TN Valley and into southeastern Ohio.  Central Indiana snow lovers know that’s a classic track for snow around these parts this time of year.  We’ll keep an eye on it, but as of now, the air mass doesn’t look cold enough (yet).

A much colder pattern looms by the middle of next week.  Along with the arrival of the arctic air mass, we also favor a wave of low pressure delivering accumulating snow prospects Wednesday night into Thursday.  (That high Thursday will come at midnight with temperatures crashing through the day).  We’ll turn bitterly cold to close the week, including wind chills falling to around zero.

This is only the beginning of a very cold and wintry period.  There are plenty of “fun and games” awaiting as we rumble through the next couple weeks…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 1″ – 3″
  • Rainfall: 0.75″ – 1.25″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/12/03/sunday-mix-heavier-winter-gear-needed-next-week/

Nov 30

Active Weather Pattern…

screen-shot-2016-11-30-at-7-09-07-pmHighlights:

  • Colder close to the work week
  • Late weekend wintry mix threat
  • Double-barrel storm next week

Feeling More Like The Season…Colder air began to press into central IN Wednesday afternoon.  That was a hint of what we’ll deal with to wrap up the work week.  While nothing too far from normal, it’s definitely going to feel colder when compared to the past couple days.  A sprinkle or snow flurry is possible Thursday- especially across northern portions of the state.  Friday and Saturday will be dry, but continued chilly.

Our next storm system will approach the region Saturday night into Sunday.  A wintry mix, including a period of snow, is a good bet Sunday morning before enough warm air advection leads to a transition to a chilly light rain or drizzle.  It’ll be a raw day.  Needless to say with model data still in disagreement, we’ll continue to keep a close eye on Sunday’s forecast and update accordingly.

Next week will continue the fast-paced time of things, with a double-barrel storm system taking aim on the region Tuesday into Wednesday.  Showers will push northeast Tuesday followed by another round of rain Wednesday.  The coldest air of the season looms just beyond this forecast period.  Though timing is an issue that will have to be fine tuned, our air mass should grow cold enough to allow for precipitation to transition to snow showers late Wednesday night.  Stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: Trace
  • Rainfall: 0.75″ – 1.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/30/active-weather-pattern/

Nov 30

VIDEO: Touching Base On Wednesday Morning…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/30/video-touching-base-on-wednesday-morning/

Nov 29

Colder Times Loom; Late Weekend System…

screen-shot-2016-11-29-at-6-18-37-pmHighlights:

  • Second half of the work week trends colder
  • Late weekend wintry system?
  • Next storm looms next week

Temperatures Trend Downward…Moisture will lift northeast late tonight into Wednesday and could push light showers as far west at the Indy metro late tonight and early Wednesday morning.  Better coverage of showers will be found across east and southeast portions of the state Wednesday morning.  While highs Wednesday should top out in the lower to middle 50s for most central IN neighborhoods, temperatures will begin to slip during the afternoon and evening hours as colder air slowly oozes in.  The cooler trend will continue as we wrap up the work week.

All eyes will then shift to the weekend and a potential storm system Sunday.  Model data continues to differ significantly on the all-important details.  For now we’ll spare you from the nerdy meteorological lingo 😉 and lean towards increasing clouds Saturday evening with a cold rain or a wintry mix developing Sunday afternoon.  Should more energy come out and “phase,” this will become a system that will require more attention in the days ahead.  Stay tuned.  Any early wintry mix will depart Monday morning and we’ll briefly dry out into Tuesday.

By that point, another storm system will require our attention later next week.  Additional wintry prospects loom along with the first true shot of Old Man Winter just beyond this particular forecast period.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: Trace
  • Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/29/colder-times-loom-late-weekend-system/

Nov 28

Periods Of Rain; T-storm Chance Tonight…

screen-shot-2016-11-28-at-7-57-02-amHighlights:

  • Rain turns heavy tonight; Storm threat, too
  • Trending colder to open December
  • Next storm arrives over the weekend

A Wet Kick-Off To The Work Week…Moisture is streaming northeast over the Hoosier state this morning and this is really just the beginning of a wet and, eventually, stormy open to the work week.  We may see a brief “lull” in the rain around the lunchtime hour, but heavy rain will increase in coverage this evening and continue into tonight.  Additionally, we’ll introduce thunder into the mix this evening.  In fact, some of the higher resolution, short-term, forecast models hint at a skinny line of thunderstorms that may impact central IN tonight.  Strong wind gusts are of biggest concern with this line.  Here’s an idea of what the radar may look like around 8p.

8phrrrConsiderable cloudiness will remain Tuesday and Wednesday, but both days will be much drier than today.  A secondary wave of low pressure will move northeast along a pressing cold front Wednesday.  Best rain chances Wednesday will fall across eastern sections of the viewing area.

The second half of the week will trend colder.  A sprinkle or flurry is possible Thursday.  The next storm we’re tracking will arrive over the weekend.  Clouds increase Saturday and Sunday offers up the next good chance of rain.  Though details are sketchy at this point, the prospects of a storm system with more wintry significance may arrive just beyond the 7-day period.  Stay tuned.  December is looking quite active and wintry…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: Trace
  • Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.00″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/28/periods-of-rain-t-storm-chance-tonight/

Nov 26

Sunshine Returns This Weekend; Heavy Rain Event Looms…

screen-shot-2016-11-26-at-8-16-29-amHighlights:

  • Sunshine finally returns
  • Big time rain maker early next week
  • Trending colder to open December

Sunshine Slowly Returns…We’ve been socked in with clouds, chilly conditions, and overall gloomy weather for the past several days.  Thankfully, sunshine will eventually return this weekend.  Today has started with overcast skies, but slow improvements should provide an increasingly sunny sky as the day wears on.  Seasonable temperatures can be expected today.

The second half of the weekend will feature more in the way of sunshine, but our next storm system will be awaiting on deck by this point.  Southwest winds will turn increasingly breezy by the PM and clouds will quickly increase yet again.  Those clouds will yield rain as early as the wee morning hours Monday (well before sunrise).  Periods of heavy rain can be expected Monday and even a thunderstorm by afternoon/ evening.

Most of the heavy rain will fall Monday, but we’ll maintain mention of showers in our forecast Tuesday and Wednesday. A second wave of low pressure will develop along a pressing front the middle of next week and spread moisture northeast. The “leader” storm system is much easier to forecast than the “follower” in this scenario.  The details are muddy at this point concerning the extent of how far west precipitation can make it.  Know that we’re keeping a close eye on things.  For the sake of this particular forecast, we’ll include mention of rain showers mixing with snow showers as colder air moves in Thursday.  Stay tuned.

The end of the week will feature a colder trend as we usher in December.

One final item on the agenda this morning- with this being Iron Bowl Saturday, we can’t leave you without wishing you an energetic WAR EAGLE!

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: Trace
  • Rainfall: 1.25-1.75 (locally heavier totals)

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/26/sunshine-returns-this-weekend-heavy-rain-event-looms/

Nov 24

VIDEO: Thanksgiving Day Weather Brief…

From our home to yours, we wish you a very happy, healthy, and blessed Thanksgiving!

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/24/video-thanksgiving-day-weather-brief/

Nov 23

Happy Thanksgiving; Time To Get Used To An Active Pattern…

screen-shot-2016-11-23-at-6-17-49-pmHighlights:

  • Foggy start to Thanksgiving; Chilly
  • Milder start to the week
  • Big storm next week

Happy Thanksgiving…Before we dive into the upcoming active period of weather ahead, we want to wish you and yours and very happy and blessed Thanksgiving holiday.  We here at IndyWx.com are so thankful for your friendship over the years and the countless weather reports and photos you send in on a daily basis.  Find time to relax and enjoy the important things in life this holiday season.

After a wet, raw, and dreary Wednesday, Thanksgiving will be drier.  Unfortunately, a large chunk of the day will likely feature low clouds, areas of fog, and drizzle, especially in the morning.  Reinforcing cool air will blow in as shoppers hit the stores Friday, along with gusty winds and a possible sprinkle.  Saturday will be chilly and blustery.  After a Sunday morning freeze, moderating temperatures will develop as we close the weekend and open the new work week.  This will be courtesy of SW winds ahead of a significant storm system that’s brewing next week.

Clouds will increase late Sunday and rain will follow Monday.  Rain will increase in coverage and intensity and we’ll also add in the potential of strong storms into the mix Tuesday.  (More details to come once we move closer, concerning strong to potentially severe prospects Tuesday).  Much colder air will pour into the region behind the storm system and allow precipitation to mix with wet snow Wednesday.

This is only the beginning of what looks to be a very stormy and increasingly cold weather pattern.  Longer-term model data suggests this will be the story throughout the majority of December.  Our call of a snowier than normal December remains…

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 2.50″-3.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/23/happy-thanksgiving-time-to-get-used-to-an-active-pattern/

Nov 22

VIDEO: Thanksgiving Weather; “Interesting” Open To December…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/22/video-thanksgiving-weather-interesting-open-to-december/

Nov 21

Busy And Chilly Thanksgiving Week…

screen-shot-2016-11-21-at-7-24-27-amHighlights:

  • Unseasonably cold, but dry to kick off Thanksgiving week
  • Next system blows in with showers Tuesday night
  • Dry Thanksgiving

Active Week…Some folks across central Indiana are waking up to temperatures in the upper 10s this morning (looking at you Crawfordsville) and most everyone else is being greeted by lower to middle 20s out the door!  It’s a very cold start to the day.  Thankfully, dry conditions will remain today and through the daytime Tuesday.  Clouds will be on the increase Tuesday, but we should hold off on rain until late at night.  Unfortunately, the big travel day Wednesday will feature periods of rain and blustery, chilly conditions.  It’ll be a raw day.

We’ll dry things out for Thanksgiving, itself, along with seasonable temperatures.  Reinforcing chilly air will blow into town Black Friday and our next storm system of interest will arrive Sunday.  Most of the day Sunday will feature dry conditions before rain arrives on the scene by evening.

Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:

  • Snowfall: 0.00″
  • Rainfall: 1.00″-1.50″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2016/11/21/busy-and-chilly-thanksgiving-week/

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