Category: Forecast
Highlights:
- Scattered flurries and snow showers Sunday morning
- Dry for Thanksgiving travels
- Rather boring week of weather ahead
November Or December?! A strong cold front is slipping southeast as we type this forecast Saturday afternoon. This will result in a much colder close to the day, along with wrap around moisture transitioning to wet snow later this evening across central and northern portions of the state. Sunday will start off with scattered flurries and snow showers before dry conditions quickly return. It’ll be an unseasonably cold and blustery day.
As folks begin to travel for the upcoming Thanksgiving Day holiday, high pressure will provide an extended period of dry and rather uneventful conditions. A dry cold front will pass through the state Tuesday and help reinforce the chill for Thanksgiving, itself. While we’ll notice gusty breezes at times this upcoming week, precipitation will be hard to come by.
Our next threat of precipitation will arrive this time next week as a cold front moves south. Expect showers Saturday, followed by a wind shift and coldest air of the season by the second half of next weekend.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Trace – Dusting
- Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.25″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/18/thanksgiving-week-opens-cold/
Highlights:
- Big changes this weekend
- Relatively calm Thanksgiving week
- Chilly Thanksgiving
Storms To Snow This Weekend…An approaching storm system will lead to an active open to the weekend. Beforehand, thankfully, we’ll close the work week out on a rather quiet note. The daytime hours will remain dry before moisture begins to return this evening. An initial round of showers will move across central Indiana (thinking between 8p-9p) before steadier and heavier rain and embedded thunderstorms blow into town Saturday. A strengthening surface low will move from the central Plains tonight and into the southern Great Lakes Saturday. This will lead to a briefly milder surge of air Saturday morning into the early afternoon before a cold front sweeps through the state and leads to a sharply colder close to the day. Right ahead of the cold front, a skinny, but potentially intense, line of thunderstorms will track across central Indiana late Saturday morning into early Saturday afternoon. Damaging wind gusts are possible as this thin line of storms advances across central and southern Indiana. Winds will then shift around to the northwest and help drive much colder air into the region through the afternoon and evening. In fact, we’ll turn cold enough to allow precipitation to end as a touch of wet snow Saturday evening.
We’ll wrap up the weekend and kick off Thanksgiving week on a much calmer note. Chilly high pressure will build in Sunday, allowing sunshine to return, but temperatures will run around 15° below normal. A dry cold front will pass through the state Tuesday. With the exception of a wind shift and a few more clouds we really shouldn’t expect much more in the way of “excitement.” This will allow unseasonably cool air to return for Thanksgiving, itself.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Trace – Dusting
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/17/weekend-of-changes-storms-to-snow/
Highlights:
- Wet Wednesday
- 2nd cold front Friday night
- 3rd cold front arrives Tuesday night
Busy Weather Pattern…Rain is pressing into central Indiana this morning ahead of the first of three cold fronts we’re tracking between now and early Thanksgiving week. Rain will be most widespread this morning into the early afternoon hours before diminishing mid to late afternoon. Reinforcing chilly air will blow into town tonight and we’ll be in between storm systems Thursday.
Our second storm system will lead to increasing clouds Friday afternoon with showers and thunderstorms arriving overnight into Saturday morning. Due to the slower timing of this storm, the late week severe threat has diminished significantly. Nonetheless, it’ll be a windy afternoon and we’ll notice rising nighttime temperatures Friday as the cold front approaches. Morning rain will continue Saturday before a sharp transition to much colder conditions with falling daytime temperatures. We’ll kick off Thanksgiving week on a dry and cold note.
Finally, yet another cold front will approach Tuesday night. Once this front sweeps through the state, the coldest air of the season will settle into the area just in time for Thanksgiving.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 1.75″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/15/multiple-cold-fronts-keep-us-busy/
Highlights:
- Calm open to the work week
- Two cold fronts impact the region
- Much colder air blows in this weekend
Calm Open; Busy Close…The work week will open with weak high pressure in control of our weather. This will result in sunshine returning along with unseasonably chilly conditions (average highs are in the mid 50s this time of year).
The first of two cold fronts will push through the state Wednesday. Clouds will increase Tuesday evening and showers will blow into town Wednesday morning. Breezy and chilly conditions will go along with the damp weather.
A second (stronger) cold front will impact the area to close the work week. Strengthening low pressure will move through the Great Lakes Friday evening and help pull a briefly warmer air mass into the state. Showers and thunderstorms will be widespread ahead of the approaching cold front and a few of these could be strong to severe. We’ll keep a close eye on things over the next couple of days and update accordingly. Strong and gusty southwesterly winds will reach 40 MPH+ before shifting around to the northwest once the trailing cold front sweeps through the region. This will drive a sharply colder air mass southeast and the potential is there for lingering moisture to end as a touch of wet snow late Friday night. The weekend will feature dry, windy, and unseasonably cold conditions.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Trace
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/12/tracking-a-couple-of-cold-fronts-this-week/
Highlights:
- Filtered sunshine today
- Raw and messy Sunday
- Fast-moving weather pattern next week
Bundle Up…Wake up temperatures are more like we’d expect in late December as opposed to early November, including lower to middle 20s across central Indiana. Filtered sunshine will eventually give way to a thickening cloud deck late. Those clouds will be a harbinger of things to come as moisture overspreads the region Sunday morning. Look for a cold, raw close to the weekend with periods of light rain (sleet may mix in with the rain during the onset early Sunday, but this won’t be a big deal).
We’ll open up the work week with dry and chilly conditions before a couple of fast-moving systems impact our mid and late week weather. Clouds will increase Tuesday and showers will arrive at night, continuing into Wednesday. Our next (stronger) storm will arrive to wrap up the work week. A southwesterly air flow will inject briefly milder air Friday morning and may be sufficient enough to create a couple of thunderstorms. We’ll then transition to a much colder, windy regime to wrap up Friday with falling temperatures.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/11/unseasonably-cold-weekend-ends-messy/
Highlights:
- Sunshine returns
- Coldest air of the season blows into town
- Wet and cold close to the weekend
Coldest Air Of The Fall On Deck…High pressure is building in and will dominate our midweek weather, including sunshine and unseasonably cool temperatures. We’ll add a gusty breeze into the mix Thursday afternoon as an early season arctic front approaches. Once that front passes by Thursday night, a much colder air mass will plunge into the region. If your travels take you north Friday, snowbelt regions can expect snow showers and embedded squalls as the early season arctic air helps ignite the lake effect machine. Our first average high of 37° is on December 20th, so we’ll be running well ahead of schedule Friday. Bundle up!
After a bright and sunny start Saturday, clouds will begin to increase during the afternoon and thicken up overnight as our next storm system approaches. That storm system will deliver light rain Sunday. Sunshine returns to kick off the new work week along with slightly below normal temperatures.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″ – 0.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/08/sunshine-returns-coldest-air-of-the-season-awaits/
Highlights:
- Sunshine works in today
- Weak weather maker Tuesday
- Chilly pattern turns downright cold to close the week
Have The Jackets And Coats Handy…After a rough Sunday filled with flooding and severe weather, we’re opening the work week on a much quieter, albeit much colder, note! An overcast start to the day should gradually give way to increasing afternoon sunshine. We’ve already experienced our high for the day (at midnight) and temperatures for most will remain in the 40s today, coupled with a brisk north breeze.
Our next weather maker will pass to our south Tuesday and this could spread a light shower as far north as central Indiana early Tuesday morning. Better rain chances will remain across southern portions of the state, but even here rainfall amounts will remain light.
Dry, unseasonably chilly conditions will prevail for midweek before a stronger blast of chill pushes in to close the week. This air mass will be of arctic origin and deliver the coldest temperatures so far this autumn. A hard freeze is expected Friday and Saturday mornings. Moisture will return over the weekend with light rain possible Saturday night into Sunday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.10″ – 0.30″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/06/unseasonably-chilly-pattern/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Hail, Harvest'17, Heavy Rain, Severe Weather, T-storms, Tornadoes, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm
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November 4, 2017
Highlights:
- Clouds more bark than bite today
- Stormy setup Sunday
- Trending colder next week
All Eyes On Sunday…The cold front that passed through the region Thursday night and setup the gorgeous close to the work week is lifting back north this morning as a warm front. This will result in overcast conditions today, areas of sprinkles or drizzle later in the day, and rising nighttime temperatures. Scattered thunderstorms will develop across central Indiana late tonight with a warmer and increasingly moist environment.
Sunday will certainly be a day to remain weather-aware. The overall setup hasn’t changed from what was discussed yesterday with a warm and moist southwesterly air flow in place ahead of an approaching cold front and associated area of low pressure. Additional ingredients in play suggest we need to monitor the threat of large hail, damaging straight line winds, and potentially tornadoes. Individual storms (potential super cells) are expected to fire across central and northern portions of the state Sunday afternoon into early evening. These will be capable of quickly pulsing to severe levels and include potential of large hail, as well as tornadoes (particularly in the vicinity of the warm front which is expected to be draped across north-central parts of the state). Individual cells are anticipated to “morph” into a squall line Sunday evening, including potential of a quick spin-up tornado, as well as damaging straight line winds. With a moisture-rich air mass in place (precipitable water values are expected to approach 2″ Sunday evening), locally heavy rainfall is also expected.
All of our “excitement” will come to an end overnight Sunday and we’ll trend much colder (and calmer) during the new work week ahead. Our next storm system will pass by to our south Tuesday, but may be close enough to spark a light shower across central portions of the state. Drier and colder conditions build in later in the week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 2.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/04/severe-weather-sunday-much-colder-next-week/
Highlights:
- Milder times
- Unsettled heading into the weekend
- Colder next week and remaining unsettled
Vitamin D Needed…While we’re going through a milder stretch of weather between now and the end of the weekend, it’ll come with considerable cloudiness and periods of rain at times.
Most of today will only feature light passing showers and mist, but a clap or two of thunder can be expected tonight as a cold front passes through the state. The air mass behind the front won’t be particularly cold and a seasonable day is on tap to wrap up our work week Friday.
A warmer southwesterly air flow will return this weekend and this will help boost temperatures to levels as much as 15° above average Sunday. Scattered showers can be expected Saturday into Sunday and we’re monitoring the potential of a stronger storm Sunday afternoon and evening. You’ll want to stay tuned for future updates on Sunday’s storm threat.
As we rumble into a new work week, the active and wet pattern will continue and we’ll add a colder feel to the equation, as well. Monday through Wednesday will feature a “step down” regime: seasonable conditions Monday before turning colder than normal Tuesday and Wednesday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.00″ – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/11/02/not-much-sunshine-in-this-forecast/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Forecast, Halloween, Rain, Sleet, snow, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Windy
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October 31, 2017
Highlights:
- Cold and blustery Halloween
- Unsettled, milder weather builds in
- Stronger cold front arrives early next week
Spooky Winds…Northerly breezes are strong and gusty and leading to wind chills in the lower-middle 20s across central Indiana this morning. Heavier winter coats will be a smart choice out the door! Otherwise, we’re a state divided from a cloud perspective: the southern half of Indiana will get in on the sunny act much sooner than the northern half of the state. As we look towards the all-important trick-or-treat weather tonight, anticipate dry conditions, lighter winds, and unseasonably chilly conditions continuing.
Our next storm system will approach Wednesday with showers. Rain may be mixed with wet snow or sleet Wednesday morning, but with temperatures above freezing, don’t look for any accumulation. Periods of showers and light rain will continue Thursday into Friday morning. Heavy rain won’t occur, but it’ll be damp at times. Saturday is a bit tricky- some solutions keep rain around, but we’re choosing the more “optimistic” approach for the purpose of this forecast update. Stay tuned.
Saturday will feature considerable cloudiness, slightly cooler air, and breezy conditions before a warmer close to the weekend. A southwesterly flow will help boost highs into the upper 60s Sunday afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front. That cold front will slide through here with showers and a couple claps of thunder Monday. Much colder air returns Monday night into Tuesday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: Trace
- Rainfall: 0.50″ – 1.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2017/10/31/a-cold-halloween-on-tap/
