Category: Forecast

Nov 17

Monday Forecast: A Calmer, Colder Week Ahead…

Updated 11.17.13 @ 8:46pm

Zionsville, IN Sunday was a violent day across central Indiana, including multiple tornado touchdowns (Lebanon and Kokomo, for example), heavy rain (widespread 1″+ totals), and damaging straight line winds (numerous trees and power lines down across the region, fueled by 70-80 MPH wind gusts).

Thankfully the new work week will dawn with a much calmer weather pattern in place, albeit much cooler.  High pressure will dominate our region, featuring dry and mostly sunny conditions both Monday and Tuesday.  Monday will still be a bit breezy and we’ll note a stronger push of cold air arriving Monday night, setting the stage for a seasonably chilly Tuesday and Wednesday.

Our next weather maker will arrive as we wrap up the work week. The culprit will be a cold front blowing through the Hoosier state and while model data differs significantly on precipitation totals in the Thursday-Friday time period, we’re confident in rain falling followed by a big blast of cold air for the weekend.

Looking ahead to Thanksgiving week, the threat is there for some wintry “mischief” as southern branch low pressure attempts to attack the cold high to our north… We have plenty of time to watch this, but just make a mental note in the back of your mind for now as you prep for Thanksgiving holiday travel.

Monday: Mostly sunny; 40/ 51

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Tuesday: Mostly sunny; 29/ 48

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Wednesday: Increasing afternoon cloudiness; 30/ 51

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Thursday: Cloudy and raw with rain likely; 43/ 49

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Friday: Cloudy with rain likely; 44/ 49

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Saturday: Mostly cloudy and colder; 30/ 39

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Sunday:  Mostly sunny and cold; 19/ 30

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/11/17/monday-forecast-a-calmer-colder-week-ahead/

Nov 12

Wednesday Forecast: A Bitterly Cold Start

Updated 11.12.13 @ 8:50p

Zionsville, IN After waking up to half an inch of snow, sunshine engulfed most of the region Tuesday. The vitamin D didn’t help temperatures moderate much as highs were more like mid to late December as opposed to mid November. We discuss a warming trend below, after a frigid start to your Wednesday.

Status-weather-clear-iconWednesday: Mostly sunny; 19/ 39

A strong area of high pressure will move overhead Wednesday and help supply a mostly sunny sky.  Despite the sun, it’ll be another unseasonably cold day.  Many outlying communities will begin the day in the upper teens before rising into the upper 30s to near 40 by afternoon- a solid 15 degrees below normal.

Status-weather-clouds-iconThursday: Partly cloudy; 28/ 49

The same high pressure that will be directly overhead Wednesday will begin to move east Thursday. This will put our region in a southwesterly air flow and allow temperatures to begin moderating. After another cold start, highs will push towards the 50 degree mark Thursday afternoon.

Status-weather-clouds-iconFriday: Partly cloudy; 35/ 52

We’ll wrap the work week up with a few more clouds and temperatures still slightly cooler than normal, though much milder than those we’re dealing with now.

 

Status-weather-showers-day-iconSaturday:  Turning cloudy with PM showers (0.20″); 40/ 59

Model data continues to hint at increasing clouds and the threat of afternoon light rain. We’ll initially have to overcome the dry air mass in place, but by afternoon/ evening we should have scattered showers beginning to impact central portions of the state.

Status-weather-showers-scattered-iconSunday: Cloudy with rain likely (0.45″); 52/ 60

More widespread rain will arrive for the second half of your weekend.  Highs will approach 60 and should we see any sunshine (not looking likely at this point), temperatures could go into the lower to middle 60s. While temperatures will be much warmer we’ll have to contend with rain Sunday.

Status-weather-storm-night-iconMonday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm (0.50); 34/ 63

A strong cold front will blow through the state Monday evening. Out ahead of the front, an impressive surge of warmer and more humid air will move north and encompass central Indiana during the day. In fact, latest model data suggests dew points reach the lower 60s Monday. The combination between the warmer, more humid air in place and an impressive surge of arctic air behind the front could team up to produce a clap or two of thunder with the moderate to heavy rain threat Monday afternoon as the front moves through. Temperatures will then crash Monday night.

Status-weather-snow-scattered-day-iconTuesday: Scattered snow flurries; 24/ 34

The big story Tuesday will be the much colder air mass rushing into the state on strong and gusty northwest winds. Just enough moisture may linger to create the chance of scattered snow flurries.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/11/12/wednesday-forecast-a-bitterly-cold-start/

Nov 12

A Closer Look At Tuesday

Hoosiers are awaking to roughly half an inch of snow across the majority of central Indiana. The forecast went as planned overnight and we’ll keep a close eye on the lake effect band of snow hammering the Indiana snow belt.  Short term, high resolution, data (below) suggests snow showers move back into north-central Indiana by late morning/ early afternoon- primarily north of the Indianapolis metro.

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Otherwise, it’s going to be a cold day with temperatures only rising into the middle 30s. This is much more like December as opposed to mid November and a solid 20 degrees below the average high of 54.

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We have another “fun time” ahead in the mid range and we’ll begin to discuss the next storm potential later tonight.  As you can see, the GFS and ECMWF are in all sorts of disagreement below…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/11/12/a-closer-look-at-tuesday/

Nov 10

Monday Forecast: Snow Develops By Evening

Updated 11.11.13 @ 8:30a Zionsville, IN Despite some wind (top wind gusts this weekend reached around 30 MPH) and a chilly Sunday, the weekend was a beautiful one, complete with…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/11/10/monday-forecast-snow-develops-this-evening/

Nov 08

Closer Look At Friday

*Your full forecast for the week ahead can be found below this post.

We’re starting the day off with cold and frosty conditions. Most are waking up to the middle to upper 20s with a heavy frost.

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With lots of sunshine, highs today will moderate, but remain well below normal, reaching the lower 50s for many.  Cooler air will reside northeast of Indy, noted by the high-resolution HRRR showing upper 40s for afternoon highs.

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A warm front will blow through the region this afternoon with an increase in evening cloudiness and a wind shift to the south tonight. This will lead to a milder night tonight and is only a prelude to what will be a very windy Saturday, despite warmer air in place.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/11/08/closer-look-at-friday/

Nov 06

Thursday Forecast: Eyeing Snow Next Week?

Updated 11.06.13 @ 10:26p Zionsville, IN For the most part, rainfall totals today have been under what model guidance suggested.  For an area still wetter than normal, that’s not a…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/11/06/thursday-forecast-eyeing-snow-next-week/

Nov 05

Wednesday Forecast: Rainy Midweek

Updated 11.05.13 @ 3:43p Zionsville, IN Clouds are hanging tough this afternoon and rain isn’t too far off. Rain will increase Wednesday, becoming widespread the second half of the day.…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/11/05/wednesday-forecast-rainy-midweek/

Nov 03

Monday Forecast: Tracking Another Storm

Updated 11.03.13 @ 3:30p

Zionsville, IN It’s been a beautiful fall weekend across central Indiana. Aside from a couple of quick-moving showers Saturday evening, the weather couldn’t have been more perfect!  While the work week will start off on a pleasant note, we’re tracking another storm and significant blast of chill later this week.

Status-weather-clouds-iconMonday: Partly to mostly cloudy; 38/ 58

The day should dawn with bright sunshine, however, we note the latest high resolution short-term model data suggesting mid and high level cloudiness will be on the increase through the afternoon hours.  It’ll be a dry day with seasonable temperatures.  Enjoy!

Status-weather-showers-day-iconTuesday: Mostly cloudy; nighttime light showers (0.10″); 44/ 61

We’ll be in between high pressure to our east and our next approaching storm system to our west. As a result, a return southerly flow of air will help begin to transport milder air northward, along with increasing moisture Tuesday evening. The daytime hours should remain rain-free, but we’ll introduce a couple of light showers into our forecast Tuesday night.

Status-weather-storm-night-iconWednesday: Showers and thunderstorms, especially at night (0.70″); 49/ 60

A significant cold front will approach the region Wednesday. Showers will be likely through the day, but we still believe the heavier rains and embedded thunder will hold off until Wednesday night (especially after dark).  While we’re still monitoring any threat of severe weather, the bigger threat at this time appears to be another round of heavy rain falling atop a waterlogged central Indiana.  Stay tuned as we continue to analyze the latest data and update things accordingly.

Status-weather-showers-day-iconThursday: AM showers and thunderstorms (0.40″);  38/ 55 (falling)

The cold front will blow through the region Thursday morning.  Showers and thunderstorms will end west to east during the morning followed by a sharp temperature decline through the day, coupled with strong northwesterly winds gusting upwards of 30 MPH.

Status-weather-clouds-iconFriday: Partly cloudy; 29/ 48

A much colder air mass will settle into central Indiana Thursday evening and result in a hard freeze Friday morning. After waking up to lows in the upper 20s, highs will reach the upper 40s with partly cloudy skies.

 

Status-weather-clouds-iconSaturday: Partly cloudy and breezy; 40/ 55

Our fast-moving weather pattern will remain next weekend.  We’re tracking another storm system that will blow through the Great Lakes region Saturday. Current thinking places the track of this low too far north to impact the region from a precipitation standpoint, but we’ll certainly note a strengthening southwesterly wind Saturday followed by another shot of cold air Saturday night/ Sunday.  Highs next Sunday will likely remain in the 40s…

 

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/11/03/monday-forecast-tracking-another-storm/

Nov 01

Saturday Forecast: Chilly Weekend; Eyeing Another Significant Storm…

Updated 11.01.13 @ 10:53p Zionsville, IN After a day filled with heavy rain and damaging winds, we closed the week out with chilly, but pleasant weather conditions.  We’ll enjoy a…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/11/01/saturday-forecast-chilly-weekend-eyeing-another-significant-storm/

Oct 28

Monday Forecast: Halloween Storm In The Works

Updated 10.28.13 @ 9:01a Zionsville, IN We’re opening the work week with cold and frosty conditions, but changes are brewing that will provide significant rain, strong winds, and thunderstorms by…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2013/10/28/monday-forecast-halloween-storm-in-the-works/

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