Thursday Morning Weather Rambles…

1.) We’re running 15°-20° colder this morning than this time yesterday. Wind chills in the upper 20s-lower 30s are being felt as winds remain gusty this morning.         2.)…

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Turning Windy And Cooler…

Screen Shot 2015-10-28 at 7.22.22 AMHighlights:

  • Increasing winds
  • Turning much cooler
  • Showers possible for Trick-Or-Treat

Low pressure is tracking into the Great Lakes this morning and the steady rain is ending from west to east.  Showers will remain in our forecast today until a cold front sweeps the region later this evening, but the all day, steady rains are coming to an end.  The other big story today will be strengthening northwest winds late.  Those northwest winds (gusts of 30-40 MPH) will help drive much cooler air southbound to wrap up the work week!

Our next weather maker will, unfortunately, arrive over the weekend and we must maintain shower chances during the all important Saturday evening Trick-Or-Treat forecast.  While heavy rain isn’t anticipated, it could be just enough to require rain gear when you’re out and about.

Ridging will develop over the eastern US early next week and be responsible for a nice stretch of “Indian Summer” weather.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.25″ – 0.50″

Heavy Rain Then Colder…

Today can be labeled as the so called “calm before the storm,” as sunny skies greet us out the door.  It’ll be a very pleasant Monday with highs in the middle 60s.  Sunny skies this morning will turn increasingly cloudy later in the day as moisture continues to stream north associated with Patricia’s remnants.

This morning’s satellite picture:

image7When we look at the weather picture tomorrow we note the remnant moisture of Patricia continuing to lift north while a cold front approaches from the west.  The “squeeze play” that will ensue over the region will be just what the doctor ordered as widespread rain develops during the daytime Tuesday before growing heavy Tuesday night.

8a Tuesday Futurecast

8am

8p Tuesday Futurecast

8pOvernight Tuesday-Wednesday morning Futurecast

overnightLocally heavy rainfall can be expected.  When you average (5) computer models at this point then you get the idea rainfall totals will be somewhere in the range of 1.5″-2″ inches, with locally heavier totals.

Modeled rainfall totals by Wednesday morning3The story after the big rain storm moves away?  A very windy and much cooler feel as a strong trough moves into the eastern portion of the country.  This will keep temperatures significantly below normal for the 2nd half of the week on into the weekend.

500mb

Feeling More Like Fall; Rain Builds In Tuesday…

Screen Shot 2015-10-25 at 10.29.14 AMHighlights:

  • Cooler and breezy
  • Soaking rain builds in Tuesday
  • Watching Halloween

A cold front moved through the area Saturday afternoon and evening and high pressure is now in control with dry skies, cooler temperatures, and breezy conditions.  All in all, a beautiful autumn day is on tap!  Enjoy!

Remnant moisture of Patricia will track north and team up with a cold front in the Tuesday-Wednesday time period.  Embedded thunderstorms and locally heavy rain can be expected.  This, of course, is much needed after what’s been a dry time of things the past couple months.

The cold front will sweep through the area Wednesday night and put an end to the rain.  Strong northwest winds will usher in a much cooler air mass to wrap up the work week.

We’ll continue monitoring the goings on for Halloween.  Models have varied from run to run over the past few days and timing issues will likely continue.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.25″ – 1.75″

Much Wetter; Cooler Pattern…

Screen Shot 2015-10-23 at 7.13.29 AMHighlights:

  • Rain moves in later today-Saturday
  • Cooler second half of the weekend
  • Heavy rain event next week

High pressure will give way to an approaching cold front later today and Saturday.  Showers will accompany the front and may spread into western IN as early as this evening before continuing to advance east tonight.  Most of the rain should fall through the first half of Saturday, but we’ll maintain a mention of showers up until the front passes Saturday night.

Cooler, drier air will move in Sunday and to open the new work week.  High pressure will supply a return of sunny, ideal fall conditions.

As we progress deeper into the week, another cold front will team up with moisture from the remnants of Patricia to provide a much needed soaking.  We forecast skies to cloud up Tuesday with rain developing by evening.  Periods of heavy rain can be expected Tuesday night into Wednesday before turning more “showery” in nature.  Much cooler air and blustery conditions can also be expected Thursday.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.75″ – 2.25″