Updated 07.09.22 @ 9:20a
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Jul 09
Updated 07.09.22 @ 9:20a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/09/video-heading-back-into-a-dry-pattern/
Jul 07
Updated 07.07.22 @ 8:42a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/07/video-fingers-crossed-for-more-widespread-rain-tomorrow-longer-range-pattern-takes-on-a-drier-warmer-than-average-look/
Jul 06
Updated 07.06.22 @ 5:05p
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/06/video-looking-at-the-2nd-half-of-the-week-and-into-week-2/
Jul 05
Updated 07.05.22 @ 7:58a
A very busy mid-summer pattern will take up residence through the remainder of the week. Multiple storm clusters will ride southeast into the region, some of which will feature severe wind gusts. The Storm Prediction Center includes a threat of severe weather for Indiana today through Thursday (this will likely get extended into the Friday/ Saturday time period before drier, more stable air can work in here).
Localized flash flooding will also become a concern, especially towards mid and late week as these storm clusters track over the same areas. Juicy precipitable water values (2”+) will help feed these storm clusters, turning them into prolific rain makers at times. It should be noted that some central IN communities have missed out on recent rains, so rainfall rates of 2”+ / hour falling on rock hard soils will have no problem running off and leading to flash flooding at times.
Drier air will eventually build in here by the weekend and this will lead to a temporary pull back in rain/ storm coverage, and a much more pleasant airmass. Timing, yet again, is on our side.
Tomorrow is a travel day so please expect a later than normal client video post. Should have things online by mid evening, or so, Wednesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/05/and-then-came-the-rain-and-storms/
Jul 02
Updated 07.02.22 @4:45a
Thankfully, it continues to look like timing is on our side as we navigate the Independence Day holiday weekend.
A weak front moved through the region last night with scattered storms. While everyone didn’t get wet, some neighborhoods absolutely cashed in. That front will push far enough south (eventually stalling in the northern TN Valley) to allow, quieter and drier conditions to prevail today through the holiday, itself. All of those big outdoor plans should be executed without having to worry about Mother Nature throwing us any surprises (I know, famous last words, right?!).
With that said, the promised much more active (wetter) pattern is on our doorstep. The culprit? A retrograding ridge of high pressure. The GFS ensemble loop below shows this perfectly over the next couple of weeks.
This puts the Ohio Valley in a favorable position to cash in on multiple storm clusters that will ride the periphery of the hot dome well to our west. The pressure gradient between blazing hot conditions in the Plains, back into the Four Corners, combined with cooler shots of air blowing southeast from the upper Midwest and Great Lakes may “up the ante” for some of these complexes to include potential of damaging straight line winds.
Needless to say, for a region that hasn’t enjoyed widespread soaking rains in quite some time, this is good news as we approach what’s traditionally the hottest time of the year.
Guidance continues to paint a wetter than normal picture through the middle of July.
After the relatively quiet holiday weekend, the “excitement” will get underway late Monday night into Tuesday as the first in a series of storm complexes rides in from the northwest. While it most certainly won’t rain the entire time over the course of the next couple weeks, most will surely notice a significant difference in frequency of more widespread rain throughout central IN compared to of late.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/02/ring-of-fire-long-awaited-active-pattern-on-the-doorstep/
Jul 01
Updated 07.01.22 @ 6a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/07/01/long-range-update-looking-through-the-month-of-july/
Jun 30
Updated 06.30.22 @ 7:35a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/30/video-detailed-look-at-the-holiday-weekend-wet-pattern-takes-shape-next-week/
Jun 29
Updated 06.29.22 @ 7:24a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/29/video-another-couple-quiet-days-before-rain-chances-increase-1st-half-of-july-continues-to-look-much-wetter/
Jun 28
Updated 06.28.22 @ 6:58a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/28/video-quiet-now-better-chance-of-more-widespread-rain-late-week-followed-by-pleasant-weather-for-the-holiday/
Jun 27
Updated 06.27.22 @ 7:10a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/27/video-gorgeous-open-to-the-new-work-week-signs-of-wetter-times-as-we-move-through-early-july/