Category: Forecast Models
Highlights:
- Strong to severe storms possible Tuesday afternoon/ evening
- Drier skies Thursday-Friday
- Weekend cold front
Forecast radar above (courtesy of Weatherbell.com) shows our next weather concern and that has to do with an upper air disturbance moving northeast tonight into Tuesday. This will likely ignite scattered strong to severe thunderstorms across the area Tuesday afternoon and evening. Remain weather-aware tomorrow for the possibility of these severe storms. Large hail is the big concern. Should we see morning sunshine of significance then that would “up the ante” for afternoon severe potential. We remain in a rather unsettled, warm, and humid pattern this week, but there will be plenty of dry time. Coverage of thunderstorms Thursday and Friday will be diminished from what we can expect tomorrow and Wednesday. A cold front will arrive over the weekend, helping to increase shower and thunderstorm coverage.
A blend of short and mid range computer guidance prints out an average of 1.5″-2″ of rain over the upcoming ten days. This is needed after what’s been several weeks in a row of a lack of widespread rains.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/strong-to-severe-storms-possible-tuesday-pm/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Indy 500, Memorial Day weekend, Rain, Spring, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather
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May 21, 2015
Highlights:
- Another chilly start
- Lots of weekend sunshine
- Rain chances continue to decrease for the Indy 500
- More humid times next week
An unseasonably chilly air mass continues to engulf much of the region (shown above). As we flip the page and head into the long holiday weekend, we’ll note moderating temperatures and increasing humidity levels once to race day. An isolated or widely scattered storm is possible Sunday, but rainfall coverage continues to diminish with each passing computer model run. Even if we do see a passing storm Sunday, it’ll likely arrive later in the evening. A more humid regime will build in here next week and we’ll keep mention of showers and thunderstorms, particularly during the afternoon and evening. We’ll highlight Tuesday and Wednesday as days with potentially the most widespread coverage of showers and storms.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/great-weekend-weather-ahead/
Just a quick update here this morning before we post our updated 7-day later this evening. Forecast models are trending drier for the weekend, which is sure to put big…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/a-word-on-the-weekend/
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Filed under Canadian Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, HRRR, Indy 500, Memorial Day weekend, Rain, Spring, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather
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May 19, 2015
Temperatures are more remenesant of early fall than late May and a stark contrast to the humid 70s to near 80 Monday. As we type this note both the 24…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/chilly-now-continuing-to-keep-a-close-eye-on-sunday/
With the combination of the race and Memorial Day weekend, a busy week is ahead. Here are a few weather headlines that have our attention as we open the week:…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/thoughts-on-the-big-week-ahead/
