Category: Forecast Models

VIDEO: A Little Something For Everyone In The Week Ahead…

Updated 04.22.24 @ 7:58a

The work week will start pleasant but take an unsettled turn rather abruptly Tuesday. Clouds will increase and give way to showers and embedded thunder ahead of another unseasonably cool push of air just in time for midweek. The other item of note Tuesday? Strong southwesterly winds upwards of 40 MPH at times ahead of that cold front.

More of a true spring-like pattern takes hold going into the weekend, complete with increasing storm chances.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/22/video-a-little-something-for-everyone-in-the-week-ahead/

Midweek Cold Front Delivers Another Frost Threat; Warming Up And Turning Stormy Next Weekend…

Updated 04.21.24 @ 8:54a

It was a frosty start to the morning across central Indiana, especially in outlying areas. We’ll do it all over again tonight and Monday morning as temperatures dip back into the lower and middle 30s. The fine folks over at the Indianapolis National Weather Service office have hoisted a Frost Advisory from 1a to 10a Monday.

Widespread frost is expected Monday morning.

Otherwise, the work week will open with a continuation of the sunny skies we’ve enjoyed over the past few days.

That will all begin to change as a cold front arrives from the northwest on Tuesday. Clouds will quickly return and showers and thunderstorms will follow. We’re not talking about excessive rainfall with this system, but 0.25″ to 0.50″ is likely as the front moves through the Ohio Valley. Gusty southwesterly winds can also be expected, including up to 40 MPH at times Tuesday.

Rain and embedded thunder returns Tuesday.

This will be a fast moving system and dry conditions will quickly return overnight and into Wednesday morning. This FROPA we’ll also help to reinforce the chilly airmass and a renewed frost (and potentially even a freeze) threat looms by Wednesday and Thursday mornings.

Another round of frost is expected midweek.

As we roll into next weekend, an overall regime change is on the docket, including a much warmer and more humid airmass engulfing the region. Along with this transition to more of a tropical feel, heavier rain and storms will return as well. As of now, closing out April and opening May is looking to feature numerous heavier rain and storm events. This will all get kicked off Friday.

A return of active times is expected to close April and open May.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/21/midweek-cold-front-delivers-another-frost-threat-warming-up-and-turning-stormy-next-weekend/

VIDEO: Frost Develops Tonight; Tracking Our Next Storm(s) In The Week Ahead…

Updated 04.20.24 @ 9:45a

High pressure will dominate our weather this weekend, allowing for an extended dry, but cool stretch. Sunshine can be expected both today and Sunday and the overall pleasant theme will continue into the early stages of the new work week. Rain and storm return Tuesday and again on Friday of the week ahead. It’s just the beginning of another wet stretch as we close out April and head into May…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/20/video-frost-develops-tonight-tracking-our-next-storms-in-the-week-ahead/

VIDEO: Calm, Cool Weekend; New Systems To Track In The Week Ahead…

Updated 04.19.24 @ 7:45a

While our high officially today was in the middle 60s to lower 70s (location dependent) just after midnight, “daytime highs” won’t even make it out of the 50s. Get used to a cooler stretch through the weekend and into early next week. In fact, we’re even talking about chances of frost in outlying areas Sunday and Monday mornings (and potentially again the middle of next week). The next opportunity of rain, locally, won’t come until Tuesday.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/19/video-calm-cool-weekend-new-systems-to-track-in-the-week-ahead/

VIDEO: Storms Rumble In Tonight; Long Range Musings Into May…

Updated 04.18.24 @ 4:34a

The day will start off quiet, but won’t end that way. We’re monitoring the threat of strong to severe storms later this evening, continuing into and through the overnight hours. The good news? All of these will be off to our east prior to heading out the door to work or school Friday morning. Then we can concentrate on a refreshingly cool weekend with sunshine returning.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/18/video-storms-rumble-in-tonight-long-range-musings-into-may/

Rounds Of Storms To Close The Work Week; Chilly, But Dry Weekend…

Updated 04.17.24 @ 5:17a

While we’re still tracking storm potential today, there are a lot of questions around where these will initialize. Thinking here is right around the city, itself, and then points northeast (better chance of stronger storms for places like Fort Wayne and Muncie than Indianapolis-proper).


Storms should develop around or just after lunchtime (around 1p, or so) across central Indiana and then race off to the east. Damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern with the stronger storms. Non-thunderstorm wind gusts of around 40 MPH can also be expected today.

Instability levels are marginal at best today which, thankfully, should prevent widespread severe weather, locally.

A more stable airmass will quickly arrive tonight and remain in place through the daytime Thursday.

Our next round of storms, some of which will likely be gusty, will blow into town overnight into the predawn hours Friday.

High pressure is still slated to build in to allow for a much calmer (and cooler) weekend. Keep an eye on the potential for frost both Sunday and Monday mornings.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/17/rounds-of-storms-to-close-the-work-week-chilly-but-dry-weekend/

VIDEO: Gorgeous Monday Transitions To Unsettled Times; Cooling This Weekend Gives Way To Renewed Warming In The 10-15 Day…

Updated 04.15.24 @ 7:45a

We couldn’t ask for better weather to kick off the new work week. Plentiful sunshine, temperatures heading for the 80s, and a generally light, variable wind will make it tough to work indoors today. Rain and storm coverage will grow in the coming days…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/15/video-gorgeous-monday-transitions-to-unsettled-times-cooling-this-weekend-gives-way-to-renewed-warming-in-the-10-15-day/

VIDEO: Hang In There- Brighter Open To The Weekend Coming; Long Range Thoughts Into Late Month…

Updated 04.11.24 @ 7:39a Masters Thursday will be a wash-out up this way. Thankfully, down at Augusta, GA we’re talking about better weather- at least relatively speaking. 🙂 Additional showers…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/11/video-hang-in-there-brighter-open-to-the-weekend-coming-long-range-thoughts-into-late-month/

VIDEO: Heavy Rain Develops Later Today Into Thursday; Keeping An Eye On The Potential Of Strong Storms Early Next Week…

Updated 04.10.24 @ 7:40a We’re only dealing with a few light showers out the door this morning, but a heavier and more widespread area of rain will develop through the…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/10/video-heavy-rain-develops-later-today-into-thursday-keeping-an-eye-on-the-potential-of-strong-storms-early-next-week/

VIDEO: Gorgeous Weather Today; Wind-Whipped Rain Storm On Deck Midweek And Turning Much Warmer Next Week…

Updated 04.08.24 @ 7:40a Despite a few mid and high level clouds, we’ll enjoy absolutely stellar conditions today. Enjoy, friends! Unfortunately, we’ll have to trade off the gorgeous weather today…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/04/08/video-gorgeous-weather-today-wind-whipped-rain-storm-on-deck-midweek-and-turning-much-warmer-next-week/

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