Category: Forecast Discussion

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May 24

Cooler, But Dry Time Holds…

• Filed under Client, Ensemble Discussion, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Indy 500, Memorial Day weekend, Rain, Summer, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm

• May 24, 2023

Updated 05.24.23 @ 12:26p

A dry cold front will pass through the state this afternoon. While we won’t see any precipitation from this frontal boundary, northeast winds will turn gusty into the evening and much cooler temperatures will greet us out the door Thursday morning. Some outside of the city, itself, might wake up to temperatures into the upper 30s!

Highs will top out in the middle to upper 70s as we close out the work week before creeping back up north of 80° over the weekend and Memorial Day, itself. Dry and sunny conditions can be expected through the period.

While we’re continuing to keep eyes on the upper low to our south, as of now, it still doesn’t appear as if it’ll have much, if any, impact on our weather, and we’ll maintain a dry approach for race day and the holiday, itself.

Heat should temporarily build next week, including the potential of a few 90° days, but we don’t envision this hotter pattern holding. Just past Day 10 eastern troughiness is already returning (image 2 below). This evolution will likely generate better rain chances in the Week 2 timeframe as well.

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May 20

Extended Period Of Dry Weather; Warming Trend Next Week…

• Filed under Client, Dew points, Forecast Discussion, Indy 500, Memorial Day weekend, Rain, Weather Rambles

• May 20, 2023

Updated 05.20.23 @ 6a

A cold front settled south across Indiana Friday evening. Most area rain gauges picked up anywhere between a tenth and 1/3 of an inch but a few lucky neighborhoods cashed in on up to half an inch. Whatever amount of rain you received last night, cherish it.

As we look forward, an extended dry period and quiet weather can be expected. This overall dry, calm pattern will prevail through the entire week ahead. As moisture levels slowly begin to increase over the holiday and all-important Indy 500 weekend, small rain chances may sneak back into the forecast, but even this is very unlikely from this distance.

High pressure will result in dry skies and plenty of sunshine in the week ahead (despite some haze from time to time, courtesy of those Canadian wild fires).

The focus is really just on temperatures over the next few days. The cool and dry airmass that reinforced itself behind our frontal passage will remain in control through Monday and then we’ll see moderating temperatures through the upcoming work week. Despite the temperature “uptick,” dry air will remain in place through the week. Great times for outdoor activities, no doubt, in the week ahead.

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