Category: Forecast Discussion
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74/ 88
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More Storms To Go…Our “ring of fire” pattern continues into the weekend and as disturbances ride the periphery of the heat dome to our south, periods of thunderstorms will be the result here. Locally heavy rain will be possible with each storm complex and localized flooding will result. Some extreme rainfall amounts of 5-8″ has been reported over the past couple days across north-central Indiana where training of storms has occurred.
After our current storm complex moves southeast, we think we deal with an additional couple of storm complexes late tonight into early Saturday and again Saturday evening. Overall coverage of storms will be on the decline as we go deeper into the weekend, but rain can’t be totally eliminated from your forecast.
Hot And Humid…While we may fall a degree or two shy of the polarizing 90 degree mark, it’ll still feel mighty hot and humid today and Saturday. As rain and storm chances begin to decrease, that’ll allow us to take temperatures up a couple notches late weekend into early next week. We forecast lower 90s Sunday through at least next Tuesday.
Late Month Relief…We still forecast a cooler pattern developing to wrap up August and move into September. Much more on this in the coming days. Right now, the big story remains the storm chances in the short term.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2.00″ (locally heavier totals)
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Another complex of rain and strong storms will rumble in tonight/Saturday morning.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/22/periods-of-storms-localized-flooding/
Another night, another round of storms! Our busy and stormy “ring of fire” pattern continues and will promote additional storm complexes Friday morning (followed by more stormy times Friday night/…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/21/more-storms-to-go/
Tonight’s video covers what’s likely to be another couple rounds of showers and thunderstorms that move through the region and provide embedded severe and locally heavy rain. PWAT values reach…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/21/another-couple-rounds-of-storms/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Hail, Heavy Rain, NAM Model, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm
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August 21, 2014
Good morning and happy Thursday! This will be a quick post this morning before a more extensive update and 7-day outlook later this evening. The SPC highlights our region for…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/21/storms-and-heat/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, NAM Model, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Photos, Weather Rambles
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August 20, 2014
The combination of passing storms and the setting sun Tuesday evening provided sun incredible rainbows. Thanks to John Feister for sharing this photo taken near Whitestown. John Salewicz snapped this…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/20/wednesday-morning-rambles-2/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Hail, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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August 19, 2014
Highlights of tonight’s video: Strong to severe storms Active pattern continues Serious weekend heat Tropics turn active PS: We continue to experience technical issues with a slight lag on audio/…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/19/strong-to-severe-storms-big-heat-and-tropics/
A look at some of the latest data hot off the press suggests we remain under fire for the potential of scattered strong to severe thunderstorms late afternoon into the evening hours. Initial activity could fire as early as 3-4 o’clock across western sections. The latest HRRR forecast radar (valid at 4pm) shows an advancing line of strong, and possibly severe, storms pushing east.
Again, the primary threat is damaging wind, but a couple hail reports will also be possible.
As of the 12 o’clock hour, a complex of thunderstorms sits to our west across western/ central portions of Illinois. We’ll keep a close eye on this complex as it continues pushing east and likely intensifies in a hot, humid, and unstable air mass over the next few hours. Please plan a way to keep abreast of the latest radar and local media this afternoon and evening as storms move in.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/19/still-focused-on-this-evening-for-severe-storm-potential/
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Filed under Canadian Model, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Heavy Rain, NAEFS, NAM Model, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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August 18, 2014
Tonight’s video update highlights:
- Tuesday severe threat
- Big-time weekend heat
- Cooler pattern to wrap up August
The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a risk of severe weather Tuesday across the state.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/18/severe-weather-threat-tuesday/
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64/ 83
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Mostly Dry Start To The Work Week…Dense fog is around in spots this morning, particularly northwest of the city. Otherwise, a broad circulation around a departing area of low pressure may help spark an isolated shower or thunderstorm across east-central parts of the state this afternoon. The key word here is “isolated,” however, and most will remain rain-free today.
Better Rain/ Storm Chances…Details on timing are still murky, but we forecast better rain and storm chances Tuesday afternoon on through the mid week period. With all of the moisture in the air, locally heavy downpours can be expected. The nature of the showers and thunderstorms will be what you would expect this time of year- scattered, meaning not everyone will see beneficial rains.
Serious Heat And Humidity…Temperatures will reach the hottest levels of the summer late week into the weekend. Plenty of humidity will be in place as well and conditions may warrant watches, warnings, or advisories for the heat and humidity Friday-Sunday. In a summer that’s spoiled many of us with unseasonably cool conditions, we’ll make up for at least a portion of lost time over the upcoming weekend.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
While today will be mostly dry, better chances of scattered thunderstorms lie ahead Tuesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/18/the-heat-is-on/
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67/ 79
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More Like Summer…The upper air pattern this week will be unlike what we’ve seen the majority of the summer. A ridge of high pressure will expand across the southeast region and build northwest. Meanwhile, a trough and associated cooler air mass will impact the northern Rockies and northwest region.
Low pressure will dominate our sensible weather today with lots of clouds and widespread rain downstate. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will impact central portions of the state. As we progress into the work week, we’ll have to remain on our toes for thunderstorm complexes that may ride the periphery of the expanding hot dome to our south. This will keep things rather active and unsettled through the forecast period.
The other topic of interest will be our temperatures. Whether we crack the official 90 degree mark or not is yet to be seen, but it’ll certainly feel very hot and humid around these parts through the week, especially the back half of the week. “Air you can wear” will be the weather theme this week.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.50″-2.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Cool shifts northwest this week while heat builds across the south and central.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/17/active-week-ahead/
