Sep 10
The stage is set for a stormy evening across central Indiana. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Tornado Watch for all of central Indiana until 9pm. We covered…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/10/storms-intensify-coming-east/
Sep 10
A strong fall cold front will slice into an increasingly warm and muggy air mass across our region tonight. Associated surface low pressure will track into the Great Lakes region.…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/10/active-weather-day/
Sep 08
The Storm Prediction Center continues to outline our region for severe potential Wednesday. Early indications suggest we’re eyeing another evening and nighttime storm threat, but there remain questions in regards…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/08/stormy-rainy-wednesday-shaping-up/
Sep 02
I was out and about earlier today and taking note that local lawns are much greener than they typically have been over the past few years by early September. We can thank recent rains and warmth, but it’s been a wet year, overall, to date. Think back to all of the winter snows and then add the copious spring and summer rains. The end result so far? 2014 is running close to 2″ above normal precipitation at IND.
Overnight rains went close to forecast. We picked up 1″ on the dot in the city, including northern ‘burbs. (IndyWx.com HQ in southern Boone County also picked up 1″). Heavier rains and localized flash flooding took place down state.
A look at today’s rainfall:
Moving forward, the pattern over the upcoming (2) weeks appears wetter than normal.
In the shorter term, the GFS and Canadian paint a wet picture out by Days 7-10 (BTW- the European agrees).
Modeling suggests 2-3″ type rainfall is possible over the upcoming 7-10 day period. A transient pattern can be thanked for the overall wet forecast.
The CFSv2 also suggests precipitation runs 150%-200% of normal levels through mid September.
As harvest begins across some Hoosier farm lands, note the increased wetness in the pattern through the upcoming 14 days, or so.
The region will remain in an active pattern through the next couple weeks, at least, as we lie in the battle ground between a stubborn southeastern ridge and an increasingly active early fall northern stream. A wetter than normal mid west will ensue…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/09/02/wet-pattern-looks-to-continue-into-mid-month/
Aug 23
|
Sat. |
Sun. |
Mon. |
Tue. |
Wed. |
Thr. |
Fri. |
|
|
|
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|
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|
70/ 89 |
70/ 88 |
71/ 90 |
70/ 90 |
71/ 90 |
70/ 88 |
68/ 85 |
Steamy…Plan for plenty of heat and humidity this weekend. Sunshine can be expected both days, but evening and nighttime storms will be scattered about the region. We don’t anticipate as widespread coverage as compared to late last week, but some locally heavy downpours will be around Saturday and Sunday, including the chance of more localized flooding.
Hot, Hot, Hot…The ridge will expand early next week and this will essentially eliminate rain chances Monday and Tuesday (only isolated coverage at best). Additionally, this will allow temperatures to reach the lower 90s for many communities across central Indiana.
Late Week Cold Front…We forecast more unsettled weather to develop late next week as a cold front draws closer to the area and the ridge begins to break down. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms lie ahead once past mid week, with best rain chances in the forecast period above likely arriving Friday.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Highs may reach 90 in a couple spots today, but we forecast Indy’s official Saturday high at 89.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/23/continued-steamy-afternoon-storms-in-spots/
Aug 22
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Fri. |
Sat. |
Sun. |
Mon. |
Tue. |
Wed. |
Thr. |
|
|
|
|
|
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74/ 88 |
72/ 89 |
72/ 90 |
72/ 90 |
71/ 91 |
70/ 88 |
69/ 83 |
More Storms To Go…Our “ring of fire” pattern continues into the weekend and as disturbances ride the periphery of the heat dome to our south, periods of thunderstorms will be the result here. Locally heavy rain will be possible with each storm complex and localized flooding will result. Some extreme rainfall amounts of 5-8″ has been reported over the past couple days across north-central Indiana where training of storms has occurred.
After our current storm complex moves southeast, we think we deal with an additional couple of storm complexes late tonight into early Saturday and again Saturday evening. Overall coverage of storms will be on the decline as we go deeper into the weekend, but rain can’t be totally eliminated from your forecast.
Hot And Humid…While we may fall a degree or two shy of the polarizing 90 degree mark, it’ll still feel mighty hot and humid today and Saturday. As rain and storm chances begin to decrease, that’ll allow us to take temperatures up a couple notches late weekend into early next week. We forecast lower 90s Sunday through at least next Tuesday.
Late Month Relief…We still forecast a cooler pattern developing to wrap up August and move into September. Much more on this in the coming days. Right now, the big story remains the storm chances in the short term.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Another complex of rain and strong storms will rumble in tonight/Saturday morning.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/22/periods-of-storms-localized-flooding/
Aug 21
Another night, another round of storms! Our busy and stormy “ring of fire” pattern continues and will promote additional storm complexes Friday morning (followed by more stormy times Friday night/…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/21/more-storms-to-go/
Aug 10
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms continue to impact central Indiana, along with localized flash flooding (precipitable water values are currently above 2″ in spots and suggest localized very heavy…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/10/unsettled-couple-days-ahead-before-a-taste-of-fall-by-mid-week/
Jul 25
Concern continues to grow in regards to a possible enhanced damaging wind threat with an evolving complex of storms Saturday night. It wouldn’t surprise us to see the Storm Prediction…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/25/enhanced-damaging-wind-threat-saturday-night/
Jul 25
|
Fri. |
Sat. |
Sun. |
Mon. |
Tue. |
Wed. |
Thr. |
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54/ 77 |
64/ 87 |
70/ 84 |
58/ 70 |
52/ 73 |
49/ 78 |
52/ 79 |
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0.10″ |
0.50″-1.00″ |
0.50″-1.00″ |
– – – |
– – – |
– – – |
– – – |
We’re keeping a close eye on showers and thunderstorms to our northwest (across Iowa and Minnesota) this morning as these will continue to drop southeast with time today. We know we’ll see clouds increase locally from this complex of storms and some of the latest short-term model data brings in light rain during the afternoon as the complex drops southeast into IL and IN- though in a much weaker state. We’ll include mention of an afternoon shower due to this.
As we move into the weekend concern remains around the possibility of multiple thunderstorm complexes impacting our area. The Storm Prediction Center includes us in a Slight Risk of severe weather Saturday and Sunday, including the chance of some storms producing a damaging wind and hail threat. We target Saturday morning and again Saturday night and Sunday for the best chances of thunderstorm complexes. Saturday night/ Sunday morning may provide the greatest risk of severe storms, and we’ll continue to monitor. We also note high precipitable water values present this weekend suggesting the threat of some localized flooding where storms train. Widespread 1″ rainfall can be expected this weekend, but we do caution some areas will see locally heavier totals in excess of 2″.
A much cooler, drier and fall-like feel is still slated to blow into town early next week, setting the stage for an incredible close to July and open to August!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/07/25/stormy-weekend-before-another-push-of-autumn-weather/
