Category: Flooding

Jun 23

Nice Weather Moves In For A Couple Days; Severe Storms Late Wednesday-Thursday…

Screen Shot 2015-06-23 at 7.41.11 AMHighlights:

  • Turning less humid with increasing sunshine this afternoon
  • Next round of strong to severe storms arrive late Wednesday night-Thursday
  • Cooler, drier weekend ahead

A frontal boundary will slip through the region today and provide an increasingly sunny sky this afternoon along with less humid conditions.  A disturbance may provide a shower or storm across far southwestern IN Wednesday, but we think the day will remain dry for the majority of the region.  The next round of strong to severe thunderstorms for our particular part of the region will come late Wednesday night into Thursday morning.  Similar to past thunderstorm complexes, damaging wind and localized flash flooding will be greatest concerns.  Scattered storms continue Friday, but the cold front should sweep the state Friday night and help provide a very nice weekend, including cooler and drier air.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1″ – 1.5″

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/23/nice-weather-moves-in-for-a-couple-days-severe-storms-late-wednesday-thursday/

Jun 19

Friday Morning Rambles…

1.) A wet day is ahead for central & southern IN as the combination of a stalled front and Bill’s remnant moisture work in. Rain has already been heavy just…

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Jun 18

Thursday Evening Video Update…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/18/thursday-evening-video-update-3/

Jun 16

Tuesday Evening “Catch Up!”

Rain and embedded thunder returns after a drier day, overall: Tuesday was a much drier day, overall, and sunshine built into central IN this afternoon to make for a very…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/16/tuesday-evening-catch-up/

Jun 15

Humid, Stormy Times Continue; Watching The Tropics…

Screen Shot 2015-06-15 at 7.39.21 AMHighlights: 

  • Humid feel continues
  • Strong to severe storms possible Tuesday
  • Watching tropical remnants closely

We’re waking up to similar weather conditions that we dealt with to close the weekend- scattered heavy downpours and very humid. It certainly won’t rain the entire day, but scattered storms will bubble up again as we progress into the afternoon and evening.  With the humid air mass locked in, any shower or storm that develops will produce torrential downpours.

A frontal boundary will slip into the region tomorrow and provide enough lift to present a strong to severe thunderstorm threat Tuesday.  We’ll continue to keep a close eye on things.  This front will stall out near the area and serve as a focal point for thunderstorm development through the upcoming few days.

The tropics continue to be of interest later this week, but we stress that forecast models are really struggling with handling the details.  Solutions range from a flood threat presented by the European and Canadian; however the GFS would suggest the tropical remnants don’t get involved in our pattern.  We’re leaning more towards the Euro/ Canadian blend as of now as we feel the SE ridge will help steer the tropical remnants northeast into the Ohio Valley late week (timing may have to be find tuned as we draw closer).  Again, stay tuned.

Upcoming 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2″ – 3″ (locally heavier totals)

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/15/humid-stormy-times-continue-watching-the-tropics/

Jun 14

Busy Times In The Forecast Office…

Today is the beginning of several active days around these parts. Over the course of the next few days severe weather and heavy rainfall will keep us on our toes…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/14/busy-times-in-the-forecast-office/

Jun 07

Very Active Night Ahead…

An active and noisy night is on tap, friends, as multiple storm clusters move through central Indiana.  Initially, the concern is hoisted for severe weather, including damaging winds and hail. As the night progresses, the growing concern will be flash flooding as storms train over the same area, potentially leading to 3″+ rains in localized areas.

We’re currently eyeing convection firing to our northwest and these storms will push southeast this evening.  They will move into a very warm, humid, and unstable environment and will likely strengthen as they ride into north-central IN later this evening.  Here’s a snap shot of the radar valid at 8p:

8pNote as we progress into the overnight, additional storms are likely and flooding concerns are on the rise due to this. Radar valid at 3a:

3aRainfall totals of 1″-2″ will be common tonight across central IN, but some localized reports of 3″-4″ can’t be ruled out where storms train.  Here’s a look at potential rainfall numbers through 5a:

hrrr_t_precip_indy_16We note PWATs (precipitable water values) pushing close to 2″ overnight and this increases our confidence on the heavy rainfall potential, as well:

hires_pwat_indy_20Stay weather-aware tonight, friends!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/07/very-active-night-ahead/

Apr 08

Busy 48 Hours Ahead…

A very busy 48 hours lies ahead with multiple storm clusters that will traverse the region. Severe weather will be possible with each storm complex and torrential downpours may lead…

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Apr 03

Friday Morning Thoughts…

1.) First and foremost, our thoughts and prayers go out to our neighbors to our south this morning as a serious flood situation is underway.

Unfortunately, more rain is ahead today and will include our region across central Indiana.  Waves of rain and embedded thunder will continue into the evening.

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2.) A much colder air mass will arrive this afternoon and evening along with a gusty northwest wind.  Wind chills will fall into the 20s by evening.  Eventually we’ll bottom out in the upper 20s Saturday morning.

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3.) Easter weekend will feature beautiful weather across the area, thanks to high pressure.  Though it’ll be cold Saturday morning, lots of sunshine will warm us quickly.

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4.) Wet and stormy times return next week, including multiple days of heavy rain potential and possibly strong to severe thunderstorms.  In short, a very active week is on deck.

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/04/03/friday-morning-thoughts-2/

Mar 13

Rain Gear Needed; Push For 70° Next Week!

Good morning and happy Friday! A wet day is on tap as moisture streams north from the Gulf of Mexico. Periods of heavy rain will be a good bet, especially…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/03/13/rain-gear-needed-push-for-70-next-week/

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