Category: European Model

Oct 19

I Like It Euro…

We posted our annual IndyWx.com Winter Outlook last Saturday.  If you haven’t read it yet, or want some good material to put you to sleep :-), feel free to click here.

Tonight we see the latest seasonal long range European model shifting the Nino to more of a central-based El Nino as we rumble deeper and deeper into winter.  This is another indicator that mid and late winter could be cold.  In any event, here you go:

Nov, Dec, Jan

Screen Shot 2015-10-19 at 11.45.13 PMDec, Jan, Feb

Screen Shot 2015-10-19 at 11.45.28 PMJan, Feb, March

Screen Shot 2015-10-19 at 11.45.39 PMThere sure have been a lot of comparisons of this El Nino to that of ’97-’98.  That’s fine in talking strength, but the overall SST profile both in the Pacific AND Atlantic is vastly different.

Hmmm…time to go dream about snow storms.  – Combine a positive PDO with a central-based El Nino and there could very well be plenty of wintry “fun and games” in the months ahead.

Click here for more from the fantastic European Centre For Medium Range Forecasts site.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/19/i-like-it-euro/

Oct 01

Thursday Weather Notebook…

Good morning and happy Thursday! Your updated 7-day will arrive on-site this evening. Major hurricane Joaquin remains the big focal item across the weather community this morning, but there’ve been…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/10/01/thursday-weather-notebook-4/

Sep 21

Monday Morning; Extended Summer…

Posts will be a bit off schedule this week as I’m enjoying the beautiful beaches along the Florida Gulf Coast. That said, they will come. The weekend rain was a…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/09/21/monday-morning-extended-summer/

Aug 31

Monday Weather Notebook…

Cool August:    Despite the warm close to August, the month, as a whole, has been cooler than average across the Plains, Ohio Valley, and Tennessee Valley. Heat Expands:   …

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/31/monday-weather-notebook-2/

Aug 13

Thoughts Shifting To Fall And Winter…

We may only be in mid August, but the IndyWx.com office is busy putting together initial thoughts around fall and winter (it’ll be here before you know it)! The upcoming…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/08/13/thoughts-shifting-to-fall-and-winter/

Jul 25

Warmth & Humidity Build; Storms Return…

We’ve enjoyed a stretch of dry and pleasant air, but that will come to an end this weekend as warmth and humidity build and help fuel storms at times later…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/25/warmth-storms-return/

Jul 08

Cloudy, Cool Day; Rain Builds In Later…

We’re off to a cloudy and cool start, but at least things are dry this morning. The frontal boundary that delivered the rain and flooding to central IN Tuesday has…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/08/cloudy-cool-day-rain-builds-in-later/

Jul 05

Sunday Morning Catch Up…

We hope this finds you coming off an enjoyable Independence Day with friends and family! As we look at the snap shot of the opening to July we see that…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/07/05/sunday-morning-catch-up-2/

Jun 21

Sunday Evening Rambles…

Monday and Tuesday will serve to offer up a continuation of storm chances- some of which may reach strong to severe levels. Most of both days will be dry,  but…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/06/21/sunday-evening-rambles/

May 12

Cool And Dry Through Thursday; Weekend Changes…

The story through Thursday will be one summed up in two words: dry and cool!  High pressure will supply beautiful weather as we head into the latter portion of the work week.  (May be a good couple days to use some of that PTO :-))!

Temperatures both tomorrow morning and Thursday morning will fall into the 40s.  In fact, some neighborhoods away from the city, itself, may fall to between 38-39 just before sunrise Wednesday.  Unlike today, afternoon cloudiness won’t be an issue and winds will be much lighter.

Changes will ensue as we progress into the weekend thanks to our air flow shifting around to a more southerly and southwesterly direction.  This will pull increasingly humid air northward and we’ll introduce widely scattered showers and thunderstorms into the central IN weather picture Friday afternoon, continuing through the weekend.

1It should be noted, however, that modeling today isn’t nearly as wet and stormy as previous runs.  Will this be proven to be an anomaly, or is the drier trend the correct solution?  We’ll give it a couple more runs before taking things at face value, but feel confident in saying that while scattered showers and thunderstorms will be in the picture, many more dry hours can be expected as opposed to wet and stormy.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2015/05/12/cool-and-dry-through-thursday-weekend-changes/

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