Category Archives: European Model

Weekly #AGwx And #Harvest21 Outlook…

Updated 09.26.21 @ 11:14a

A ridge will expand across the northern Plains and upper Midwest during the 7-day forecast period ahead. Meanwhile, a ‘mean’ trough will take up shop across the Northeast and the Pacific Northwest.
Well above normal (near record) heat will center itself across the central and northern Plains into the upper Midwest. Overall, a slightly warmer than normal period is ahead for a good chunk of the country, front loaded early week.
Well above normal precipitation is expected across the southern Plains and southern Rocky Mountain region, into the Four Corners. Widespread drier than average conditions can be expected across the East.
A weak system will approach our region late week with the potential of some light rain (0.10″ to 0.25″ type stuff). Otherwise, it’s a quiet pattern, locally.

Forecast Period: 09.26.21 through 10.03.21

A very quiet weather pattern will dominate the 7-day forecast period. Plentiful sunshine and warmer temperatures can be expected through the early and middle part of the work week before we cool closer to normal late in the period. While there’s plenty of disagreement, the GFS is a little more bullish on bringing in a weak storm system late in the period that could* produce a few showers Friday. If this does, indeed, take shape, it only appears as if we’re looking at 0.10″ to 0.25″ type rainfall. We’ll keep an eye on things. Otherwise, it’s a dry and very uneventful stretch ahead over the upcoming 7 days.

No Comments AG Report, Client, Ensemble Discussion, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Harvest21

VIDEO: Initial Thoughts Around Winter 2021-2022…

Updated 09.19.21 @ 10:20a

As the first strong autumn cold front takes aim on the region, it’s time to start thinking more about what lies ahead in the December-February time frame. This morning’s video dives in with some initial thoughts around just that. Is the CFSv2 seasonal precipitation projection an indication of the active winter storm track ahead? We think so…

No Comments Christmas/ Thanksgiving, Client, EPO, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, High-latitude Blocking, Jet Stream Discussion, La Nina, Long Range Discussion, MJO, PNA, Rain, snow, SST Discussion, Weather Rambles, Weather Videos, Winter thoughts...

VIDEO: Extended Stretch Of Early Fall-Like Weather As We Welcome In Meteorological Autumn…

Updated 09.01.21 @ 5:26p

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No Comments Autumn, Client, Ensemble Discussion, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Harvest21, Labor Day Weekend, Long Range Discussion, MJO, Rain, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weather Videos