Category: European Model

Updated 03.12.21 @ 7:38a

The cold front that delivered showers and thunderstorms to central Indiana Thursday is now off to our south. In general, rainfall amounts checked in between 0.50″ and 0.75″ to the north of Indianapolis and between 1″ and 2″ south of the I-70 corridor. Far downstate saw rainfall totals as high as 3″ in spots.

High pressure will nudge into central Indiana and keep us dry (including offering up sunshine) as we open the weekend.

Highs will top out in the middle 50s both today and Saturday across central Indiana with partly cloudy conditions. While lows tonight will be chilly, most should stay just above freezing (unless you’re viewing from northeast or far east-central IN).

Clouds will increase Sunday and a cold light rain will follow by late morning/ early afternoon.

Eventually this rain will increase in intensity as we move into Monday morning. At the same time, cold air will be drilling into northeast regions of the state. The combination of the two will lead to a period of mixed precipitation Monday morning into the afternoon hours across northeast Indiana. Since it’s been unseasonably warm as of late and temperatures will be only marginally cold (upper 20s to lower 30s), icing on area roadways isn’t expected. That said, elevated surfaces could accumulate a light glaze of ice Monday morning for areas along and north of a line from Muncie to Logansport.

Milder air will overspread the region Monday afternoon and allow everything to switch over to a plain ole rain that will continue into Tuesday.

Most of central Indiana can expect an additional 0.50″ to 1″ of rain with this early week feature.

We’ll have a brief break in the action for St. Patrick’s Day and then another storm system will roll across the Ohio Valley Thursday. Forecast models differ on the track of this system (GFS is colder and further south while the European is warmer/ further north). We’ll fine tune things over the weekend and update accordingly. From this distance, I’d plan on another round of rain and potential thunder Thursday.