Category: European Model

VIDEO: Storm Chances Return And Tracking Another Cool, Refreshing Pattern On The Horizon…

Updated 06.03.24 @ 7p It’s been a nice start to the work week! Unfortunately, storm chances will be on the increase as we navigate the next 48 hours. We dive…

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VIDEO: Pattern Evolution Into The 1st Half Of June…

Updated 05.28.24 @ 7:10a Most of today will be on the dry side. That is until we get to this evening when cool air reinforcements (secondary FROPA) will knock on…

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VIDEO: Long Range Musings To Close Out May And Open June…

Updated 05.10.24 @ 5a As we look ahead to the long range pattern for the 2nd half of May and early June we see a lack of heat and a…

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VIDEO: Talking Storms And Wetter Trends Next Week…

Updated 04.26.24 @ 7:19a

Our Friday is off to a pleasant start but a few showers and embedded thunder will push across the state later this afternoon and evening as a warm front lifts north across the region. This will place Indiana in an increasingly warm, moist airmass over the weekend and on into early and middle portions of next week. Rounds of heavier rain and storms are expected next week ahead of a brief push of cooler, drier air heading into the first weekend of May…

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Spring; #Plant24 Outlook…

Updated 02.10.24 @ 7:20a

Though we still have a few weeks left of meteorological winter, spring and the #Plant24 season will be here before we know it! The headlines that we anticipate to claim the coming months include the following:

  • El Niño likely continues to collapse; La Niña state by late spring/ early summer
  • Widespread wetter than average conditions anticipated for a large chunk of the country, including central Indiana. Opportunity for above average severe weather episodes during the March through May (meteorological spring) time period.
  • Time to prep for a hyper active hurricane season along the Gulf and Southeast US coastlines.

Long range, seasonal forecast models, continue to show the current El Niño collapsing and moving swiftly towards a La Niña late spring and early summer.

This transition will certainly have impacts on the anticipated precipitation and potential of a busier severe weather season this spring. We forecast a rather swift Nino collapse and subsequent onset of La Niña, which ups the ante for a wet spring, not only locally, but across a widespread chunk of the country. Undoubtedly, this could lead to plant24 impacts (delays) at times.

Seasonal products see the above average rain expected for spring 24.

European Seasonal Precipitation Anomalies March through May
JMA Precipitation Anomalies March through May

From a temperature perspective, we forecast widespread milder than normal temperatures as a whole for the season across the northern tier, including central Indiana. We caution though that the way we get to slightly (1° to 2° above normal on the season) milder overall may include wild swings through the season. For example, we forecast a colder than normal 1st half of March, the potential of a significant flip to warmer the 2nd half and a cooler pattern to return for the bulk of April.

European seasonal temperature anomalies March through May
JMA temperature anomalies March through May

IndyWx.com Spring/ #Plant24 Outlook for central Indiana:

  • Temperatures that average 1° to 2° above normal overall for the March-May period.
  • Precipitation that runs 125% to 130% of normal during meteorological spring.

Wishing the best of luck and positive vibes to all in the months ahead, especially our #AGwx partners. Happy spring!

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