Feb 14
Updated 02.14.24 @ 7:51a Plentiful sunshine will be with us as we move through our Valentine’s Day along with unseasonably mild temperatures. A brief “jab” of arctic air will be…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-valentine-sunshine-brief-jab-of-arctic-air-and-snow-to-close-the-week/
Feb 12
Updated 02.12.24 @ 7:50a The feature we were watching for the potential of southern IN snow later tonight now appears to be even further south- dropping snow on our friends…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-tracking-2-systems-in-the-week-ahead-mild-signals-continue-to-mount-longer-term/
Feb 11
Updated 02.11.24 @ 3:31p
I hope this finds you enjoying a relaxing and fun Super Bowl Sunday afternoon! Before we talk longer range, trends this afternoon have been to shove the heavier snow banding potential further south tomorrow night. We’ll keep an eye on overnight model trends but the threat of accumulating wet snow is looking more likely to impact far downstate into portions of northern KY and even western and portions of north-central TN now.
While we’ll trend at least closer to seasonal levels in the upcoming 10-day period (also need to keep an eye on the potential of late week snow and a brief arctic “jab”), the impact of a lack of MJO amplitude into the colder phases (8, 1) and the positive trends on the EPO late month suggest the once cold idea during the period here will be a fail.
In fact, latest ensemble guidance in today shows a milder than normal pattern to return during the last week, or so, of February.
Just a couple quick updates prior to the big game! Enjoy, friends!
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/pre-super-bowl-rambles-cooler-week-ahead-but-milder-late-month-trends/
Feb 10
Updated 02.10.24 @ 12p We continue to monitor the opportunity for the threat of accumulating wet snow across southern Indiana Monday evening and Monday night. This afternoon’s video has some…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-prospects-of-accumulating-wet-snow-across-southern-indiana-on-the-rise-monday-evening-night/
Feb 07
Updated 02.07.24 @ 1:39p
Today’s midday computer guidance is trending more bullish for trailing energy to deliver heavier precipitation across central IN and the Ohio Valley. While there are many more questions than answers with respect to precipitation type, confidence is increasing significantly that a period of more significant precipitation will come at us in (2) waves this weekend into early next week: Saturday and again Monday.
Today’s ensemble guidance (12z total precipitation GEFS and EPS shown below) is showing a northward adjustment in more significant moisture into the Ohio Valley over the weekend into early next week.
We’ll continue to closely monitor the trends over the next couple of days but as of now, we feel confident enough to hit the prospects of rain harder Saturday (still nothing overly heavy but certainly more than guidance suggested over the past few days) and another period of widespread precipitation to open the new work week on Monday. As colder air works into the region over the weekend, this secondary wave of moisture may feature more in the way of wintry conditions across at least a portion of the area. Far too early for specifics beyond this overall idea for this time period, but should wet snow work into the picture for some, the recent warm ground and marginal temperatures would likely limit pavement impacts. As colder air becomes more significant and entrenched down the road, winter weather headlines will likely become more frequent late Feb into March…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/lunchtime-rambles-trends-for-the-weekend-and-early-next-week/