Category: Ensemble Discussion

VIDEO: The Setup For A Lengthy Period Of Moderate-Heavy Rain…

Updated 03.28.24 @ 7:31a While it’s quiet and cold now, we’ll notice an increasingly moist airmass returning about 36 hours from now. The first of a series of waves of…

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VIDEO: Line Of Storms To Develop This Afternoon; Busy Pattern Ahead To Close March And Open April…

Updated 03.26.24 @ 7:30a Wind is the story this morning, and that will continue through the afternoon and evening. A “big hair warning” is in effect today. 🙂 A bit…

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VIDEO: Batten Down The Hatches; Keeping An Eye On A Line Of Potentially Strong-Severe Storms Tuesday PM…

Updated 03.25.24 @ 7:25a While the work week will open on a quiet note today, we’ll really notice an uptick in winds by afternoon and these will only continue to…

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VIDEO: Weekend Sunshine; Tracking 2 Storm Systems In The Week Ahead And Looking At The Early-April Pattern…

Updated 03.23.24 @ 10:51a A quiet weekend will turn more active as we open the new work week. We’re tracking this system and another storm late in the week. Both…

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Friday Morning Rambles: More Long Range Chatter…

Updated 03.22.24 @ 7:56a

The ‘mean’ trough position will take up shop across the western portion of the country over the upcoming week before shifting into the East in the 10-15 day period. We reiterate while the balance of the upcoming 2 weeks will run cooler than normal, we don’t see anything significantly colder than normal on the horizon and also plenty of transitional warmth ahead of approaching storms.

Note how the trough shifts east late in the period.

Day 1-5
Day 5-10
Day 10-15

Back to the immediate term, we’ll only see a few light showers later this afternoon (trace to 0.10”). Greatest coverage should arrive after lunch, continuing into mid-afternoon. Again, “light” is the key word.

Colder air arrives for the weekend, itself. We can expect mid to upper 20s both Saturday and Sunday morning.

A new, stronger, storm will blow into town with more in the way of widespread heavier rain and thunder Monday night into the day Tuesday.

Another system will follow late week and next weekend.

1” to 2” is a good bet across the greater region by next Sunday. (The bulk of this falls with our Monday night and Tuesday system).

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