Category: Ensemble Discussion

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Jan 06

“January Thaw” Is An Understatement…

• Filed under 10-day, Client, Ensemble Discussion, EPO, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Long Range Discussion, MJO, Spring Tease, Unseasonably Warm

• January 6, 2023

Updated 01.06.23 @ 7a

For some perspective on just how warm this January pattern is, the average high this time of year (in Indianapolis) is 36°. The average LOW to open up Jan ‘23 has been 42°. IND is currently running an amazing 19.2° above normal on the month.

Despite the MJO moving into the classic phases for eastern cold, the positive (and at times strongly so) EPO is looking to continue flooding the country with unseasonably mild air over the next couple weeks at a minimum. While 60° may be tough to come by, multiple 50°+ days are on tap in this pattern during the Week 2 time period as the EPO strengthens its positive hold.

The next (10) days overall will also feature drier than normal conditions across our neck of the woods.

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