Jul 20
Updated 07.20.24 @ 7:50a Simply put, we couldn’t ask for a better stretch of weather this time of year than what we’ve been blessed to enjoy the past couple of…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/07/20/stunner-of-a-weekend-rambling-on-about-a-return-of-rain-and-an-early-look-at-autumn-24-ideas/
Jun 29
Updated 06.29.24 @ 8:50a Talk about H-U-M-I-D! We’re certainly dealing with “air you can wear” out the door this morning, and this tropical feel is helping power our unsettled start…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/06/29/video-stormy-at-times-today-ahead-of-a-big-push-of-drier-and-cooler-air-to-open-the-holiday-week-fresh-independence-day-thoughts/
Jan 22
Updated 01.22.24 @ 6:23p
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2024/01/22/video-short-and-long-term-ideas-any-thoughts-of-winters-demise-premature-in-our-opinion/
Aug 28
Updated 08.28.23 @ 12:25p
A secondary cold front will drop southeast across the state Tuesday. While we’re not anticipating any sort of widespread significant rain and storms with this frontal passage, it will be the best opportunity for rain over the next 10-14 days, overall. Best chances of precipitation will come after 5p from a weakening line of showers and storms to our northwest.
Best chances of measurable rain will be to the northwest of immediate central Indiana.
Reinforcing dry, cool air will filter into the region as we close the work week and get set to head into the Labor Day weekend. Here’s a bit of advice: please be sure to make time to get outside and enjoy this pleasant airmass as major changes await over the weekend and into next week. Until then, our late week stretch will feature overnight lows dipping into the upper 40s and lower 50s.
The upper ridge will begin to build back northeast over the holiday weekend and with it will come another round of unseasonably hot, humid conditions. While it might not be quite as miserable as what we dealt with last week, chances are that we’ll have to contend with several days of 100°+ heat indices and “jungle-like” humidity with an extended period of rain-free days deep into the Week 2 timeframe. Buckle up.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/08/28/about-as-quiet-as-it-gets-another-round-of-major-league-heat-on-deck-as-we-move-into-early-september/
Jul 30
Updated 07.30.23 @ 11:25a
I. We can already feel a difference in the nature of the airmass this morning, but there’s a much bigger push of dry air inbound tonight. By Monday morning, dew points across central Indiana will fall into the 40s and 50s- a far cry from the oppressive “jungle-like” dew points from last week. Talk about a breath of fresh air. The good news in this pleasant airmass will hold through the middle of the week.
II. While we can’t totally rule out a shower this afternoon, most of the period will remain rain-free between now and Wednesday. Look for plentiful sunshine through this period as well.
Rain and storm chances will return towards the latter part of the week. While we’re not expecting any sort of washout, it’ll be a good idea to have a Plan B in mind from Thursday through the weekend in the event a storm cluster threatens from time to time.
III. Over the next couple weeks, the primary pattern drivers continue to look like a combo of the EPO and PNA- both of which will, for the most part, be in favorable phases to deliver seasonal to slightly cooler than normal conditions across our neck of the woods. At times, it’s appeared like the MJO will start to amplify, but that hasn’t been the case and doesn’t appear to be a big player in our pattern through mid August, at least. Bottom line, our idea is that August features seasonal temperatures, as a whole, with slightly above normal rainfall throughout central Indiana. (For perspective, the average high at IND in August is 84.3° with an average low of 65°. On average, we pick up nearly 3.5″ of rain during any given August).
The most anomalous and long-lasting heat should continue to be featured across Plains and points west with coolest anomalies across the Northeast.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/07/30/sunday-morning-rambles-much-less-humid-start-to-the-week-updated-thoughts-on-the-august-pattern/
Jul 29
Updated 07.29.23 @ 10:25a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/07/29/major-improvements-on-the-way/
Jul 28
Updated 07.28.23 @ 8a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/07/28/heat-takes-a-back-seat-to-an-unseasonably-cool-open-to-august-strong-storms-in-between-the-transition/
Jul 26
Updated 07.26.23 @ 7:15a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/07/26/video-analyzing-tonights-severe-threat-heat-levels-back-off-over-the-weekend/
Jul 17
Updated 07.17.23 @ 7:35a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/07/17/video-another-stormy-afternoon-evening-before-drier-air-builds-in-timing-out-additional-storm-chances-later-in-the-week/
Jul 15
Updated 07.15.23 @ 7:34a
Heavy rain fell overnight across northern ‘burbs and now a general rain is falling across central Indiana with some embedded thunder. This will continue for the next few hours before a bit of a break in the action.
We’ll then watch for some brightening of the sky and this should be just enough to allow a few stronger storms to fire up this afternoon into the evening hours. Coverage of these storms should be greatest for central and south/ eastern parts of the state.
Most of our Sunday should feature quiet weather conditions but our attention will need to shift to the northwest by Sunday evening. Higher resolution models are seeing a storm cluster initiating in the upper Midwest before potentially dropping into central Indiana late Sunday evening into the overnight hours. It’s a tricky setup but we’ll watch for consistency over the next couple models runs and update accordingly.
Beyond this period, most of the upcoming work week will feature a general drier brand of air blowing into the state. We’ll notice lower dew points and downright comfy conditions by late July standards early week (then as you’ll see below for late week).
The exception to the drier brand of air will be in the middle of the work week when dew points briefly return to the tropical 70° range and likely fuel resurgent storm coverage.
As of now, the early call on the latter part of next week is that lower humidity and reduced rain chances will help us kick off a pleasant stretch for the weekend. 🤞🏻
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2023/07/15/wet-morning-additional-storm-chances-ahead/