Category: Client
We don’t see any reason to alter our thinking of how the upcoming (4) weeks plays out:
This week features a transitional pattern back to a predominantly colder and snowier than average period from 2/18 through 3/10.
The MJO continues to have Phase 8 on its mind.
To no surprise, the GEFS is going right to what a Phase 8 should yield:
Days 1-5
Days 6-10
Days 10-14
With widespread cold set to once again overwhelm the pattern, the active storm track will begin to take on an increasingly snowy theme in the aforementioned period. This is a type pattern that may once again challenge cold records somewhere in the late February or early March time frame. While likely not to the magnitude of the bitter blast a couple weeks ago, it wouldn’t surprise us in the least to head back to record daily cold territory before pulling out of this pattern and heading on towards spring.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/transition-period-set-to-give-way-to-a-big-finish-to-winter/
Brief: Accumulating snow and freezing rain
Forecaster: McMillan
What: Accumulating snow and freezing rain
When: Late morning into early evening
Temperatures: Lower 20s rising to around freezing by tonight
Wind: SE to S 5-15 MPH
Blowing/ Drifting: Non-existent
A weak disturbance will spread moisture into central Indiana as we close the weekend. Snow will reach Indianapolis and surrounding communities mid-to-late morning, continuing into the afternoon hours. Snowfall intensity will remain light with occasional moderate bursts. Banding potential will be highest north of the city, resulting in 2” totals being more common. As relatively milder air gets pulled north, a period of light freezing rain/ freezing drizzle is expected Sunday afternoon and evening.
Confidence: HighN
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/snow-arrives-by-late-morning/
Brief: Accumulating snow and freezing rain
Forecaster: McMillan
What: Accumulating snow and freezing rain
When: Late Sunday morning into Sunday evening
Temperatures: Lower 20s rising to near freezing by Sunday night
Wind: SE to S 5-15 MPH
Blowing/ Drifting: Non-existent
After a quiet Saturday, moisture will overspread central Indiana as we close the weekend. Snow will reach Indianapolis and surrounding communities mid-to-late morning Sunday, continuing into the afternoon hours. Snowfall intensity will remain light with occasional moderate bursts. As relatively milder air gets pulled north, a period of light freezing rain/ freezing drizzle is expected Sunday evening.
Confidence: High
Next Update: 6:30a Sunday
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/snow-arrives-sunday-morning-freezing-rain-follows/
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Filed under 10-day, Arctic Cold, Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Freezing Rain, MJO, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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February 9, 2019
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/saturday-morning-all-access-video-update/
Brief: Accumulating snow and freezing rain
Forecaster: McMillan
What: Accumulating snow and freezing rain
When: Late Sunday morning into Sunday evening
Temperatures: Lower 20s rising to near freezing by Sunday night
Wind: SE to S 5-15 MPH
Blowing/ drifting: Minimal to non-existent
After a cold and quiet open to the weekend, a disturbance will overspread moisture over the top of a modifying (still cold enough for trouble) air mass as we close the weekend. Snow will likely reach Indianapolis and surrounding communities late morning Sunday, continuing into the afternoon hours. Snowfall intensity will be light with occasional moderate bursts. As relatively milder air aloft gets pulled north, precipitation will end as light freezing rain Sunday evening. While we don’t anticipate heavy accretion, a light glaze will likely be noted on top of the freshly fallen snow Sunday evening.
Confidence: Medium to high
Next Update: 5p
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/snow-and-freezing-rain-for-the-2nd-half-of-the-weekend/