Category Archives: Client

01.15.21 Weather Bulletin: Periods Of Snow Into Early Next Week…

Updated 01.15.21 @ 7:58a

Snowy Periods Into Early Next Week…A big ole upper level low pressure system will swirl across the Ohio Valley and into the Northeast through the weekend. Individual spokes of energy will “pinwheel” through central Indiana between now and early next week. These will be efficient snow producers at times through the period. While we’re not looking at a widespread heavy snow, the persistent and rather long duration of this set-up will have most central Indiana neighborhoods accumulating between 1″ and 3″ by Monday morning. We still anticipate localized intense snow squalls to hit this afternoon and evening. If traveling during that period, please allow yourself extra time to reach your destination. We’ll have to keep close tabs on additional light snow accumulation chances Monday night into Tuesday morning as a final piece of upper level energy scoots through the state.

As for temperatures, we’ve already seen our high for the day. Temperatures will slowly fall to around freezing just after sunset. We’ll see little movement on the thermometer into the middle part of next week.

A bigger storm system looms late next week, but there are many more questions than answers right now regarding the track of this low pressure system. That picture will become clearer over the weekend.

More on all of this later today in our Client video update. Make it a phenomenal Friday!

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Client, Forecast Discussion, snow, Snow Squalls

VIDEO: Short And Long Range Update As We Head Into (At Times) A Snowy Weekend And Get Set To Traverse The 2nd Half Of Jan/ Open Feb…

Updated 01.14.21 @ 6:52p

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No Comments AO, Arctic Cold, CFSv2, Client, Ensemble Discussion, EPO, European Model, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Greenland Block, High-latitude Blocking, JMA, Long Range Discussion, MJO, NAO, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos, Weekly Outlook

01.14.21 Weather Bulletin: Wintry Conditions Return For The Weekend…

Updated: 01.14.21 @ 7:47a

One More Relatively Mild Day…A southwesterly air flow will combine with just enough early sun to help boost temperatures into the 40s for one more day. Enjoy as colder air arrives to close the week!

A cold front will pass through the state tonight. A broken band of showers will accompany the frontal passage later this evening. Light will be the key word (0.10″ or less). As colder air filters into central Indiana, scattered snow showers will develop by Friday morning.

Things begin to turn more interesting Friday afternoon as the upper level low pressure system drops south and individual spokes of energy ride into central Indiana. As this takes place, the combination of very cold air aloft and just enough instability (byproduct of daytime heating- yes even this time of year) will warrant conditions that should help heavier and more intense snow bursts (or squalls) develop. While we’re not talking about widespread heavy snow accumulation, these squalls will be intense enough to impact travel throughout the region when encountered. Please plan accordingly and give yourself extra drive time tomorrow afternoon/ evening if you have travel plans. Once the sun sets, the snow squall activity will quickly diminish in coverage and intensity.

Additional periods of light snow can be expected throughout the weekend as individual upper level disturbances cross through the area. At this time, Sunday appears to offer up the best chance of more widespread, organized light snow. We’ll also need to keep an eye to our northwest for one more trailing feature Monday PM into Tuesday (the “caboose,” if you will, in the seemingly unending weekend train of upper level disturbances).

By the middle part of next week, we’ll be able to catch our breath and await the potential of a bigger, moisture-laden storm system impacting the area late next week…

Make it a great Thursday! We’ll be back later this evening with an updated video discussion focused on the long range…

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Client, Forecast Discussion, Rain, snow, Snow Squalls

1st Wintry “Jab” Blows Into Town This Weekend In What Should Be A Stormy Finish To January…

Updated 01.12.21 @ 8:08a

Finally we can breathe a sigh of relief as the seemingly unending low cloud deck erodes and gives way to increasing sunshine today. Along with a return of the sun will be a moderating trend in the temperature department. Expect highs in the low 40s today and mid 40s Wednesday and Thursday as a southwesterly flow develops ahead of Friday’s cold front.

The cold front, itself, will swing through central Indiana late Thursday night and early Friday morning. While we still think this will be a mostly dry FROPA (frontal passage), models are becoming more robust with a “bowling ball” of an upper level low pressure system over the weekend.

Note how the upper low becomes almost cut off from the primary steering flow for a time Saturday across the Great Lakes region. Additional “spokes of energy” (upper level disturbances) will pivot south of the primary cut off low across the Ohio Valley Friday night through Sunday afternoon. This will help lead to enhanced periods of snow and snow showers throughout the weekend.

We’re still not looking at heavy snowfall, but the rather persistent nature of light snow this weekend will accumulate to an inch or two for some communities along with a much colder air mass. After Friday evening, temperatures won’t make it above freezing again likely until Tuesday afternoon.

When we look at the bigger picture, this will likely go down as the first “jab” of more exciting weather to wrap up the month of January.

While still not overly cold (doesn’t have to be this time of year for wintry issues to arise), the pattern does look very, very active through the 2nd half of January and to open at least the 1st week of February. While the Greenland Block continues to mature, note the change in the Pacific. We may finally be able to get a negative EPO to develop to align with the negative AO and NAO.

If this does, indeed, transpire we should see a rather expansive snowpack get laid down across the country during the last week to 10 days of January. It would then be this time into early February to look for the possibility of more significant arctic air to spread out and cover more of the Lower 48 (after initially likely being bottled up in western Canada and the northern Rockies).

At the very least, times are becoming more interesting. It’ll be a fun ride through the rest of the month and to open February.

No Comments AO, Arctic Cold, Client, EPO, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Greenland Block, High-latitude Blocking, NAO, snow