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Weekly AG And Severe Weather Update…

Forecast period: 09.02.19 through 09.09.19

7-Day Precipitation: Precipitation is expected to run well below normal through the forecast period.

7-Day Temperatures: Temperatures are expected to run below average through the forecast period overall.

Severe Weather Outlook: In what will be a quiet period, overall, we’ll keep an eye to our north Tuesday evening. The reason? A cold front will push south and a line of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to develop across northern Indiana tomorrow evening. Damaging wind is the greatest concern with storms across northern parts of the state. As the front continues to settle south, thunderstorms will weaken as they push into central Indiana between 8p and midnight. Otherwise, severe weather isn’t expected through the period.

Summary: The upcoming 7-days will be dominated by an overall cooler and drier than normal theme than we’d come to normally expect for early September. A couple of cold fronts will sweep through the state this week: Tuesday night and again Saturday. While there isn’t a lot of fanfare expected with these fronts from a precipitation perspective, they will serve to offer up a true fall-like feel mid week into the weekend. We’ll keep an eye on thunderstorms across northern IN Tuesday PM, but still expect these to be in a weakening state as they arrive into central parts of the state tomorrow night.

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VIDEO: Wet Sunday And Reviewing Our Official September Outlook…

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VIDEO: True Fall-Like Feel Blows Into Town Next Week…

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VIDEO: Sunday Storm Threat; Latest On Dorian, And Looking Ahead To A Cool Shift Next Week…

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Widely Scattered Light Showers Through Labor Day Weekend; Tracking A Strong Cold Front Late Next Week…

A frontal boundary will continue to settle south this morning and we’ll notice a much less humid feel tonight into Saturday morning as a northeast wind takes hold.

Dew points will fall into the 50s tonight into Saturday morning across the northern half of the state.

Widely scattered light showers will scoot across the state late tonight into Saturday morning.

We’re still not expecting heavy or widespread organized rain this Labor Day weekend- just widely scattered “nuisance” level showers at times. There will be many more dry hours than wet through the holiday weekend.

Most area rain gauges can expect to pick up between 0.25″ and 0.50″ by Monday afternoon.

The big story this weekend will be Hurricane Dorian. We anticipate Dorian to strengthen into a major hurricane later today. The latest official National Hurricane Center forecast brings Dorian into the southeast Florida peninsula as a major hurricane late Labor Day night or Tuesday. While confidence continues to increase on an eventual landfall along the Florida peninsula (before a hard turn right that would take Dorian either north across the peninsula or perhaps wobble back off shore), timing is much more uncertain as the majority of data has slowed the forward progress of Dorian this weekend. If you have interests across the state or loved ones in the path of the storm, it’ll be important to stay tuned for future updates.

Back here on the home front, quiet weather is expected through early week. The first of 2 cold fronts will pass Tuesday night or early Wednesday (little in the way of fanfare with that frontal passage).

The second front will be a bigger deal late next week. Though still rather moisture starved, it’s the drop in temperatures expected behind the frontal passage that will be impressive. We’ll notice an October-level chill next weekend as this front sweeps off to the southeast. We note the latest European data has highs only in the 60s next weekend with lows in the 40s.

Meanwhile, it’s very possible we’ll still be dealing with Dorian this time next week along the southeast US costal region…

Much more through the weekend, including updates on Dorian, the season’s 1st strong fall frontal passage, and our September Outlook.

Enjoy your Friday, friends!

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