Category: Blowing/ Drifting

Evening Update: Snow/ Wind Trends, Icy Setup Early Next Week, And More On The Pattern Flip Ahead…

Updated 01.17.24 @ 5:22p

While we’ll still contend with a couple of rounds of accumulating snow to close out the work week, latest model guidance is trending drier with both systems- at least across most of central Indiana. The Thursday morning snow band will lead to a couple inches of powder across north-central and northern IN tomorrow morning, but the majority of this band should fall apart before reaching Indianapolis. We’ll continue to keep close eyes on overnight trends, but travel impacts aren’t likely until once north of Kokomo as of now tomorrow morning.

The next round of snow will arrive Thursday night- now likely well after the evening rush hour. While this still doesn’t appear to be a particularly heavy event (2″-3″ north of Indianapolis, including northern ‘burbs and 1″ to 2″ from Indy and points south), the cold surface will allow this light snow event to create slick road conditions overnight and into our Friday. Snow removal clients, we still recommend planning to activate salting and plowing overnight and through Friday.

We also continue to closely monitor a localized, but heavier snow band that will likely oscillate through a portion of central Indiana through the afternoon Friday. Localized heavier snow accumulations and gusty winds will be associated within this snow band and we’ll have to treat this more as a “nowcast” situation once that LES band gets organized.

Even outside of this LES band, gusty northwesterly winds of 20-30 MPH will lead to considerable blowing and drifting snow, especially on west-east roadways and in the open country. Drifting and blowing snow will continue through Saturday in these areas.

After another bitterly cold weekend, a significant warming trend will get underway next week. That’s not before we likely have to deal with a round of freezing rain Monday night and into Tuesday. Many times, forecast guidance can be too aggressive in dislodging true arctic air and I’m afraid that will be the case in this instance. Today’s trends have likely started to pick up on this icy threat to open the work week and while we likely aren’t talking about a true ice storm, travel impacts should be expected Monday night into Tuesday morning before we transition to a plain ole rain event.

A freezing rain event is becoming increasingly likely Mon evening into Tuesday.

Thereafter it’s “game, set, match” for much milder, but wet times through the rest of the week and on into next weekend.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/evening-update-snow-wind-trends-icy-setup-early-next-week-and-more-on-the-pattern-flip-ahead/

Bitter Cold Settles In; Looking At Snow Chances In The Week Ahead…

Updated 01.13.24 @ 6:57a

We’re waking up to light snow this morning in the wake of our departing strong storm. As a new (albeit much, much weaker) disturbance moves across the Ohio Valley tonight, snow will increase in coverage and intensity this evening, continuing into early Sunday morning. At times, snow may fall at moderate intensity. This is all a byproduct of maximizing every bit of available moisture as the true bitter arctic air rolls into town. We’ll also need to be prepared for blowing and drifting issues.

A fresh 0.5” to 1.5” (may see a couple local reports of 2”) of snow can be expected with this system.

By tomorrow morning, dangerous wind chill values of 20° to 25° below zero can be expected.

“Cold” is the word in the week ahead but we’ll also monitor a couple of quick moving opportunities of additional snow. While it still doesn’t appear that anything overly heavy is on the table, it won’t take much for these systems to overachieve in the bitter arctic air (“fluff factor” will be present in the upcoming week). With the cold, even light snow events will make a mess of area roadways, so be sure to allow extra time to safely reach your destination.

It continues to appear that the system Monday into Tuesday will take a more suppressed route. We don’t expect much, if anything, here across central Indiana from a snow standpoint. Our eyes continue to focus in on Thursday/ Friday. The jet may buckle just enough to allow energy to slow down and organize a bit more to generate a more widespread snow event across our neck of the woods, but even this is admittedly tricky from this distance- just something we’ll continue to closely monitor in the week ahead.

One thing is for sure, whatever snow does fall in this pattern won’t be going anywhere as frigid as we’re going to be. Stay safe (and warm), friends!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/bitter-cold-settles-in-looking-at-snow-chances-in-the-week-ahead/

VIDEO: Long Range Manifesto And Fresh Thoughts On Friday/ The Weekend…

Updated 01.11.24 @ 6:12p Busy times remain in the good ole forecast office! This evening we dig into not only new long range thoughts but look deeper into the latest…

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VIDEO: Another Snow Maker On Deck; Warmer, Wetter Pattern Evolves Next Week…

Updated 12.24.22 @ 8:40a

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VIDEO: Long Range Update And Short-Term Look At Our Next Snow Maker…

Updated 12.23.22 @ 7:58a

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