Category: Autumn
Colts v. Jaguars Forecast Prepared For:
The Indiana Sports Report
11.23.14
Happy game day Colts fans! A significant autumn storm system will lift north out of the southern region today into the Great Lakes Monday. This surface low will deepen as it pushes north and be responsible for a wet and windy Sunday afternoon.
Early tailgating should feature overcast skies along with an isolated shower (most, if not all, of the pregame should be rain-free). Best rain chances will arrive after kick off and feature embedded thunder, as well. Certainly plan on a wet commute home. Visit IndyWx.com for “Indy’s Behind The Scenes Weather” all season long! Go Colts!
Tailgate Weather
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Kickoff Weather
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Heading Home
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Cloudy |
Cloudy |
Heavy Rain |
Temp: 53-58 |
Temp: 58 |
Temp: 57 |
Wind: SE 10 MPH |
Wind: SE 10 MPH |
Wind: SE 10-15 MPH |
Precip: 0.00” |
Precip: 0.00” |
Precip: 0.50” |
Heavy rain will lift out of the south this afternoon. Forecast radar 2pm:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/11/23/indysportsreport-com-colts-game-day-forecast/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Arctic Cold, Autumn, Christmas/ Thanksgiving, Forecast, Rain, snow, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Windy
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November 22, 2014
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Thanksgiving
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30/ 52
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45/ 56
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30/ 54
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25/ 32
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24/ 39
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19/ 34
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14/ 29
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Wet And Windy Weekend…Some spots saw a touch of light freezing rain during the wee morning hours. That’s now long gone as temperatures have risen into the upper 30s as of this forecast package. Temperatures will continue to “warm” into the lower 50s today (today’s average high is 49) with scattered showers dotting the central Indiana landscape from time to time.
Much heavier and more widespread rainfall will lift north into the area Sunday afternoon and we forecast embedded thunderstorms along with strong and gusty winds for the second half of the weekend. Widespread 1 to 1.5″ rainfall is likely Sunday with locally heavier totals. As mentioned, the other big item of business will be the wind. Winds will likely gust towards 50 MPH in spots as strengthening surface low pressure lifts north Sunday night into Monday.
Colder Air Returns…The period of milder air will be very brief as temperatures return back to well below normal values Monday afternoon and continue through the big Thanksgiving week ahead. Some lingering wrap around moisture may lead to a few flurries or scattered snow showers Monday afternoon with falling temperatures and continued strong and gusty winds.
More Substantial Snow Maker For Thanksgiving? Details remain sketchy, but computer modeling continues to suggest we need to keep on our toes for the potential of light accumulating snow Thanksgiving. Snow or not, temperatures will be much colder than normal as the arctic hounds come calling yet again to set up a frigid Black Friday for shoppers.
Upcoming 7-day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.00″ – 1.50″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 1″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/11/22/windy-wet-sunday-ahead-back-to-winter-next-week/
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Filed under Arctic Cold, Autumn, Christmas/ Thanksgiving, Forecast Discussion, Freezing Rain, Rain, Record Cold, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weather Rambles, Windy, Winter thoughts...
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November 20, 2014
There’s a lot of weather to discuss over the upcoming 7-10 days, so in no particular order of most or least important, here’s what’s on our mind… 1.) Light freezing…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/11/20/thursday-night-rambles/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Arctic Cold, Autumn, Forecast, Freezing Rain, Rain, Record Cold, Sleet, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Windy
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November 18, 2014
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12/ 35
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14/ 27
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Light Snow…Light snow will fall across central Indiana Wednesday, especially from Indianapolis and points north. We’re not talking about significant accumulations, but a dusting to half an inch will be possible across the region Wednesday morning. This is part of reinforcing cold and wind that will once again have things feeling frigid come Wednesday evening. Southwest winds will shift around to the northwest come afternoon helping drive in the arctic air reinforcements.
Cold Close To The Work Week…We’re anticipating a dry close to the work week, but one that’s much colder than average. In fact, high temperatures both Thursday and Friday will be significantly colder than average lows this time of year. Brrrrrrr…. Keep the heavy winter gear handy.
Milder, But Wet And Windy…A big Mid West storm system will deliver a rainy and windy time of things Saturday into Monday. As precipitation moves into the region, a wintry mix of sleet and/ or freezing rain will be possible during the onset early Saturday. Otherwise, strong and gusty southerly winds will deliver a briefly milder regime come Sunday with periods of heavy rain. Early indications suggest weekend rainfall totals reach 1″ to 1.5″.
Turning Colder Again…Once our storm system lifts away from the region, colder than normal air will quickly come rushing back into central Indiana to open up the short Thanksgiving week. More details later in regards to a potential storm system brewing closer to Thanksgiving, itself…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: Dusting – 0.50″
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.00 – 1.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/11/18/mid-week-light-snow-and-reinforcing-cold/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Arctic Cold, Autumn, Forecast Discussion, GFS, NAM Model, Rain, Record Cold, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Weekly Outlook
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November 17, 2014
November continues to grow increasingly colder than average with each passing day. The prolonged nature of the severe cold is astounding for early and mid November. Average low temperatures this…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/11/17/weekly-outlook-amazingly-cold-and-wintry-pattern/
Snowfall totals through this morning are as follows: Whitestown: 3″ Zionsville: 3″ Muncie: 3″ Bloomington: 2″ Martinsville: 3.2″ Castleton: 3″ Indianapolis: 2.5″ All in all, this first storm behaved as…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/11/17/snow-total-catch-up-and-more-on-the-bitter-air-inbound/
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First Plowable Snow Of The Season…It may only be mid November, but we’re already talking about our first plowable snow of the season. Let’s get right to the bullet point details of what you need to know:
- Snow arrives into central Indiana around 2 o’clock
- Snow increases in intensity around sunset into the mid evening hours; periodically reaching moderate to heavy levels
- Uniform 2-4″ snow event tonight for central Indiana, but localized banding features could result in a 5″ report
Our snowfall forecast first issued Saturday morning remains. The falling snow should be east of the region before the morning commute gets underway Monday, but the damage will already be done. Our snow removal companies will be hard at work across the region. The big story Monday will be fresh arctic air invading through the day along with gusty winds and renewed snow showers developing Monday night.
Periodic Snow Showers; Reinforcing Arctic Air…If you haven’t realized another wintry week was upon us, now you will! Individual disturbances will move southeast into mid week helping to serve as arctic air reinforcements and snow shower producers. Another important note- wind chill values will be below zero Tuesday morning. Plan on severe cold.
Late Week Storm System…The details are “murky,” but a storm system will attack the cold air late week with a wintry mix of rain and snow. More around this in the days ahead. For now, the focus remains on tonight’s snow event.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 3″ – 5″
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.10″
Our snowfall forecast remains unchanged from Saturday morning, but we’ll include mention of isolated 5″ reports across central Indiana to account for banding potential.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/11/16/first-winter-storm-of-the-season/
Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. Fri. 16/ 36 24/ 36 19/ 28 9/ 22 12/ 36 17/ 30 18/ 35 Two Weekend…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/11/15/snow-chances-and-gearing-up-for-even-colder-air/
Quick-hitting Bullet Points:
- Light snow Saturday night
- Still questions around Sunday night snow potential
- Even colder air invades early next week
- Fun and games continue in the longer range
The afternoon model suite is in in it’s entirety and it leaves us with about as many questions as answers :-)…
Four of our more trusted short-term forecast models are split 50/50 on the outcome Sunday night. In the snowy camp you have the NAM and European. In the drier camp you have the GFS and GEM. Past experience with this type event says the European and NAM solutions may have the better handle and we think the drier modeling will shift a touch northwest with time over the upcoming 24 hours. The difference between camps would be a nice 2-3″ type snowfall for the Monday morning commute across central Indiana versus nothing more than a few flurries. More as the details become clearer…
We still forecast light snow to overspread central Indiana Saturday evening and night. While this won’t be a big deal, a dusting to 1″ of snow is a good bet across most of central Indiana, especially from the I-70 corridor and points north. Roads may be slick in spots on your way to church Sunday morning.
One thing that’s a certainty is that another blast of arctic air will invade along with scattered snow showers early next week. This push of bitter air will be even colder than this weeks.
In the longer term, plenty of wintry “fun and games” remain. In fact, today’s 12z European has the look set to offer more meteorological headaches come late next week. Ah, the season is only beginning… 🙂
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/11/14/5050-split-on-sunday-night-snow/
Fri. Sat. Sun. Mon. Tue. Wed. Thr. 17/ 32 22/ 34 24/ 37 19/ 29 16/ 23 14/ 34 21/ 38 Sunny, But…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/11/14/cold-but-sunny-close-to-the-week/