Nov 13
Snow showers continue to track down the I-65 corridor this evening. Don’t be surprised of a quick dusting of snow for portions of Boone County over the next hour. Short…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/mid-november-or-mid-january/
Nov 12
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Thr. |
Fri. |
Sat. |
Sun. |
Mon. |
Tue. |
Wed. |
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26/ 32 |
22/ 32 |
24/ 35 |
25/ 35 |
21/ 32 |
13/ 26 |
12/ 32 |
Wintry Feel Is Here…Hard to believe it’s only the middle of November with such an extended stretch of cold air. It’s not just the cold in terms of the absolutes, but the prolonged nature of the frigid early season wintry air that’s truly impressive. In any event, Thursday will feature the threat of a few snow flurries as reinforcing cold air blows into town. This will set the stage for a dry, but very cold close to the work week.
Complex Weekend…A complicated weather situation will unfold over the weekend that will provide at least two chances of accumulating snow across portions of the region. Let’s sort through the details:
After a dry daytime Saturday, a weak area of low pressure will scoot east across the central Plains states towards the Ohio Valley region. This will help spread an area of light snow across the state late Saturday night into the daytime Sunday. Light is the key word here and for the most part accumulations with this first system should be around 1″.
The second (more questionable) piece to the potentially snowy puzzle arrives on the scene Sunday afternoon into Monday morning. A vigorous upper level disturbance will round the base of a trough across the southern Plains and help ignite surface low pressure across the southern Mississippi Valley region that will track northeast.
This evening’s computer models are at odds with one another in regards to how far north the deep moisture makes it. If you take the more aggressive (snowier) solution, we’re looking at another round of accumulating snow Sunday PM. However, it’s important to also note the colder and more suppressed modeling as well. In fact, some data doesn’t even bring a flake of snow into the area Sunday evening. Gut feeling here is that the snowier solution may be the better way to lean, but time will tell (it’s never a bad thing to be on the northwest flank of precipitation with a wintry event still several days out).
For now, we’ll go with more of a blend and suggest additional light snowfall Sunday night into Monday morning. Note this is a low confidence forecast as of now and will require fine tuning as we move forward over the next day or two.
Bitter Air…Regardless of whether or not we see additional accumulating snow Sunday night, bitterly cold air will flow into the region to open the new work week. Lower teens are in our forecast Tuesday and Wednesday morning. Brrrr…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/3033/
Nov 12
Good morning and happy Wednesday! Just a quick post this morning, before a more extensive forecast update later tonight. We’re still eyeing the chances of snow in the short term.…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/upcoming-snow-chances/
Nov 11
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Tue. |
Wed. |
Thr. |
Fri. |
Sat. |
Sun. |
Mon. |
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34/ 58 |
27/ 37 |
24/ 32 |
20/ 32 |
21/ 37 |
27/ 34 |
18/ 34 |
Arctic Front Moves In…The arctic cold front will slice through the state later this afternoon. Showers will precede the front, but we’re not talking about any sort of heavy rainfall. Blustery southwest winds this morning will shift to the northwest and drive in the much colder, arctic, air this afternoon and evening with falling temperatures.
Cold Stretch…Temperatures will remain well below normal for the foreseeable future. Instead of November, it’ll feel more like January! Sunshine Wednesday will give way to scattered snow showers Thursday as upper dynamics act upon reinforcing arctic air. We’re back to dry skies to wrap up the work week.
Weekend Snow…We continue to monitor the chance of light snow developing Saturday night into Sunday as reinforcing arctic air blows in. For now we’ll forecast partly cloudy skies Saturday giving way to increasing evening clouds and developing light snow during the overnight into Sunday. We’ll fine tune in the days ahead.
Looking ahead, a “bigger” wintry event may loom the middle of next week…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/turning-much-colder-eyeing-snow-chances/
Nov 10
The more and more I look into the mid and long range data, the more impressed I become with what’s ahead. We’ve been hitting the drum since Halloween on the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/more-on-the-impressively-cold-snowy-pattern/
