Category: Arctic Cold

Mar 01

All-Access Client Brief: Latest Thoughts Around This Weekend’s Snow…

Brief: Accumulating snow

Forecaster: McMillan

What: Accumulating snow

When: Late Saturday night into Sunday

Temperatures: Upper 20s to lower 30s

Wind: North 5-15 MPH

Blowing/ Drifting: Minimal

Overnight model trends are in overall better agreement, but still present notable differences- not only with the track, but overall strength and forward motion with the system. Saturday will be dry before clouds increase, lower, and thicken Saturday evening with snow overspreading the southern half of the state overnight. Mainly light to occasionally moderate snow (downstate) can be expected into the daytime on Sunday. The overall quick movement of this storm system will ultimately be a limiting factor in accumulation totals. Behind the system, much colder air will pour into the area Sunday night and Monday (single digit low and highs in the upper 10s to lower 20s).

Confidence: Low-medium

Next Update: This evening in video format

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/all-access-client-brief-latest-thoughts-around-this-weekends-snow/

Feb 28

VIDEO: Updated Thoughts Around This Weekend’s Winter Storm And The Pattern Through March…

Here’s our latest thinking around this weekend’s winter storm and a long range update through the month of March…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-updated-thoughts-around-this-weekends-winter-storm-and-the-pattern-through-march/

Feb 28

Reviewing The New JMA Weeklies; Do We Pull Out Of The Unseasonably Cold Pattern Later In March?

The updated JMA Weeklies are in and we wanted to take a moment to review those with you this morning. A more extensive long range post will arrive tonight. In addition, we’ll also have an updated video discussion around the potential (and increasing likelihood) of a winter storm this weekend later this evening.

Week 1


In agreement with the majority of the other data, the model overwhelms the pattern with unseasonably cold air. Note the anomalous pattern, including strong AK ridge that is helping “dislodge” the late season arctic air. The other item that stands out? The southeast ridge is no longer (for now).

Week 2

Cold is forecast to linger in the Week 2 timeframe, but it’s beginning to modify from the early month bitter shot. Secondly, the high latitude pattern has completely reversed from Week 1 (note the lower heights) and the southeast ridge is showing signs of re-emerging.

Weeks 3-4

Eastern ridging is shown during the mid to late month stretch and gives further reason to believe our mid month warm-up idea has merit. With this, the model also delivers an overall wetter pattern for the 2nd half of the month.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/reviewing-the-new-jma-weeklies-do-we-pull-out-of-the-unseasonably-cold-pattern-later-in-march/

Feb 27

Wednesday Evening Video Update On The Upcoming Weekend Winter Storm…

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/wednesday-evening-video-update-on-the-upcoming-weekend-winter-storm/

Feb 27

All-Access Video: Model Differences On Potential Weekend Winter Storm…

Is a weekend winter storm brewing?

You must be logged in to view this content. Click Here to become a member of IndyWX.com for full access.  Already a member of IndyWx.com All-Access?  Log-in here.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/all-access-video-model-differences-on-potential-weekend-winter-storm/