Feb 02
This morning’s video update takes a closer look at the individual storm systems that have our attention over the upcoming 10-14 days. We continue to expect our neck of the…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/02/02/timing-out-storms-in-what-will-be-a-very-active-upcoming-couple-weeks/
Feb 01
While we’re in the process of pulling out of the bitterly cold air mass, there’s no shortage of action when we look ahead at the upcoming couple of weeks.
Confidence remains high that the upcoming short-term period (Days 2-6) will flip to much warmer than average. A couple days that at least flirt with the 60 degree mark can be expected Sunday and Monday.
While rain will return to the forecast Monday, the milder air sure will be a nice change of pace from the bitterness of the past several days. Enjoy it!
With that said, there are continued indications that the warmth won’t hold.
As we look at the latest medium range ensemble guidance (Days 6-10), the GEFS and EPS are in relatively good agreement.
We note this is a pattern conducive for above normal precipitation during the period. With cold air likely to be “pressing” towards the region, it’s a pattern that has to raise an eyebrow for at least the potential of a wintry threat during this time frame. There should be plenty of low level cold air available late next week and next weekend. With the resistance shown from the SE ridge, potential “fun and games” are on the table during this timeframe as waves of energy likely ride along a slow (at times stalled) frontal boundary.
Keep an eye on the 2/7 through 2/10 window for possible wintry impacts, locally…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/02/01/6-10-day-update-active-times-ahead/
Feb 01
Snow is on the way out, but not after dumping a quick 3″ to 4″ for northern suburbs and other parts of north-central Indiana. As we look ahead, the moderating…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/02/01/snow-moves-out-time-to-look-ahead/
Jan 31
Brief: Accumulating Snow
Forecaster: McMillan
What: Accumulating snow
When: This evening into the predawn hours Friday
Temperatures: 15 to 18 F
Wind: ESE 5-15 MPH
Blowing/ drifting: Minimal
Attention will shift from the dangerous cold to an accumulating snow event across central and north-central Indiana this evening into the predawn hours Friday. We expect snow to begin reaching the surface (may take a little longer than models suggest due to the dry air in place initially) in western portions of the viewing area between 6p-7p and into central Indiana between 8p and 9p. Heaviest snow still looks to fall during the hours of 10p and 3a. Banding may result in periods of moderate to heavy snow during this time frame. Light snow will be ongoing across southeast Indiana around 7a Friday before departing the state shortly thereafter.
Confidence: High
Next Update: 6:30p Thursday
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/01/31/snowy-thursday-night-early-friday-morning-on-tap/
Jan 30
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/01/30/bitter-now-accumulating-snow-inbound-tomorrow-evening/
Jan 30
Brief: Accumulating Snow
Forecaster: McMillan
What: Accumulating snow
When: Thursday evening into the predawn hours Friday
Temperatures: 15 to 20 F
Wind: ESE 5-15 MPH
Blowing/ drifting: Minimal
Dangerous cold is the story now, but we still expect an accumulating snow to pile up to the tune of a few to several inches across n-central and parts of central Indiana Thursday evening into the predawn hours Friday. Heaviest snow should fall during a period between 8p and 1a. Snowfall intensity will likely reach 1″/ hr at times as banding develops. We expect all accumulating snow to be over before sunrise Friday morning.
Confidence: Medium to high
Next Update: 6:30p Thursday
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/01/30/snowy-thursday-evening-friday-morning/
Jan 29
Brief: Accumulating Snow
Forecaster: McMillan
What: Accumulating snow
When: Thursday evening into the predawn hours Friday
Temperatures: Mid-upper 10s
Wind: SE 5-15 MPH
Blowing/ drifting: Minimal
Cold will grab the headlines over the next couple of days, including dangerous wind chill values, but attention will then shift to the potential of a “thump” of snow Thursday evening into early Friday. A disturbance will dive southeast into the state during this time frame and early indications would suggest the “sweet spot” for snowfall accumulations will encompass the heart of central and north-central Indiana (early idea would place a 2” to 4” swath of snow in this area).
Confidence: Medium to high
Next Update: 6:30a Wednesday
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/01/29/accumulating-snow-thursday-evening/
Jan 29
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/01/29/dangerous-cold-now-accumulating-snow-by-thursday-evening/
Jan 28
The first of two cold fronts is sweeping through the state this evening. Temperatures are turning cold enough to combine with leftover moisture and light snow showers to result in…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/01/28/severe-arctic-blast-looking-ahead/
Jan 28
We’re tracking two cold fronts as we open the new work week. The first will pass without a whole lot of fanfare this evening. However, the second boundary (the true arctic front) means business Tuesday afternoon/ evening.
We notice a band of mixed precipitation moving into central IN before sunrise. This will swing through the state, changing to rain as it does so, through the morning and into the early afternoon. The reason? Just enough mild air working in on southwesterly breezes ahead of the frontal boundary.
The front will pass through the city around or just after rush hour. Gusty winds and falling temperatures are ahead this evening.
By morning, most of central Indiana will awake to temperatures in the single digits.
The second front (true arctic boundary) will be barreling towards the state at this time and will pass Tuesday evening. It’ll hit like a “wall” with gusty winds, brief, but intense snow squalls, and plummeting temperatures.
Central Indiana will be greeted with temperatures nearing 10° below zero and wind chill values of 30° to 40° below zero Wednesday morning.
Please take this cold seriously and complete preparations today. Thankfully, milder times are ahead as we head into the weekend…
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2019/01/28/tracking-two-cold-fronts-dangerous-cold-arrives-tuesday-evening/