Category: Arctic Cold

VIDEO: Memorable Winter Pattern The Next Couple Weeks; Longer Range Musings…

Updated 01.08.24 @ 7:54a One storm after another will impact our region through the next couple weeks, eventually followed by bitterly cold, arctic air. We’ll have to take each storm…

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Updated Thinking On Monday Night-Tuesday And Late Week…

Updated 01.07.24 @ 3:27p

While we’ll enjoy a quiet open to the work week, our next storm system is already organizing to our west and will deliver a heavy wind-whipped rain event, bookended by wintry precipitation Monday night into Wednesday morning.

Rainfall numbers will approach, if not exceed, the 1″ mark for most Indiana rain gauges with this system- the majority of which falls overnight Monday through the 1st half of Tuesday.

A wintry mix of wet snow and/ or sleet will likely be the predominant precipitation type along and north of I-70 at the onset of precipitation tomorrow night, but this doesn’t appear as if it’ll last long enough to create long lasting travel problems. In short, a quick transition to plain ole rain is anticipated after the onset of wintry precipitation. Safe to say, the Tuesday morning commute will be a messy one across the region.

Winds will also to around 40 MPH overnight into Tuesday morning as the area of low pressure lifts up to our west.

As colder air wraps back into the region Tuesday night, left over rain will transition to wet snow, continuing into Wednesday morning.

Just as soon as we finish with this system, attention will shift to a brewing winter storm as we close out the work week. While it’s impossible to get too specific on the all-important track of this system, it’s safe to say that this should be another potent area of low pressure, including more in the way of cold air to work with. With the arctic branch of the jet digging south, it won’t take much for this system to phase and actually be a more intense storm than its predecessor. That said, we have a long, long way to go before we can talk about where the heaviest swath of snow will set up in the Friday/ Saturday timeframe. It’ll be important to stay abreast of future forecast updates in the days ahead.

Bitterly cold, arctic air will be unleashed east through mid-January. Note the coast-to-coast arctic air taking up residence towards Day 10.

Our benchmarks have been set

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VIDEO: What A Pattern…

Updated 01.07.24 @ 7:32a Light snow will slowly come to an end through the morning hours and we’ll have around 24 hours, or so, to catch our breath before the…

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VIDEO: Light Snow Redevelops Tonight; Active, Wintry Pattern Only Ramping Up…

Updated 01.06.24 @ 7:57a An area-wide 1.5″ to 2.5″ (locally heavier) snow is greeting folks early this Saturday morning. It’s the type of wet snow that truly gives that winter…

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The Arctic Hounds Lurk…

Updated 01.05.24 @ 5:13p

High latitude blocking will continue to mature over the upcoming 6-10 day period. This will force a very stormy pattern underneath (across the Lower 48). After the light snow late tonight and Saturday morning (primarily grassy and elevated surfaces), we’re tracking 3 additional storms over this particular time period and each of these will deal out their own respective challenges that we’ll have to hone in on as the system(s) draws closer. Our daily posts and Client videos will handle those specifics.

Storm dates:

  • I. 01.08 – 01.09
  • II. 01.11 – 01.13
  • III. 01.14 – 01.15
A stormy pattern will eventually give way to bitterly cold, arctic air oozing east. The potential is present for cross polar flow to get going towards the 10-15 day period as well.

While we’re not looking at anything particularly noteworthy (in terms of relative to average) in the cold department over the next week, this begins to change by the 8-10 day period. Admittedly it’s been challenging trying to time when the arctic air sloshes east in this type pattern, but it’s becoming increasingly apparent that this should take place around mid-month. Note the cross polar flow developing towards the 10-15 day period, per this afternoon’s European ensemble update.

Just how cold are we talking? Subzero lows and highs around 10°F without a snowpack. Should we have a snowpack down by this time then the threat of a double-digit below zero low and highs in the single digits is on the table. The target date for this cold comes between the 14th and 18th. Wind chills will obviously be much colder.

The plot continues to thicken…

A bitterly cold airmass should engulf a large chunk of the country by mid-January.

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