Category: 7-Day Outlook
Highlights:
- Needed quiet time today
- Stormy mid week; high-impact severe event possible
- Drier to close the week
All Eyes On Wednesday…Today is an easy one. Drier air will move into central parts of the state as we progress into the afternoon and evening hours, and we’ll also enjoy lots of sunshine. It’ll feel fantastic out come evening!
All eyes will remain locked in on Wednesday as we monitor the prospects of potentially two rounds of thunderstorms. Timing and track will have to be fine tuned, but we think the day offers up the possibility of morning thunderstorms, followed by a second round of storms during the afternoon and evening hours. All modes of severe weather are in play, locally, Wednesday- particularly damaging wind. Additionally, localized flash flooding will be likely where storms train. It’ll be an important day to have a means to get the latest watches and warnings. It wouldn’t be a bad idea to review your severe weather safety plan with your family at some point today.
After morning storms Thursday we should dry things out during the second half of the day and on into the first half of the weekend. Storm chances return Sunday-Monday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.5″-2.5″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/needed-breather-today-before-wednesday-severe/
Highlights:
- Front arrives late Monday
- Strong storms; heavy rain threat Wednesday
- Unsettled pattern
Busy Week Ahead…The overall pattern features the mean ridge position across the Four Corners region and sets up an active NW flow for our part of the country. It’s a pattern we need to get used to as it’ll remain intact to close the month and open July. Challenges are present in regards to specifics with timing and track of thunderstorm complexes we’ll deal with this week, particularly Wednesday.
In the shorter term, a frontal boundary will slip into central IN Monday night and a broken band of thunderstorms will accompany it. A few storms could reach strong to severe levels Monday evening.
Attention will then shift to Wednesday. Ingredients are coming together to present both a severe component (damaging wind the biggest threat) and localized flash flood threat. We’ll update our latest thinking Monday morning.
As we progress into late week, additional shower and thunderstorm complexes are possible, but we stress timing issues abound. It’ll be a warm and humid end to the week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″-2.00″ (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/stormy-at-times/
Highlights:
- Mostly dry and hot weekend
- Humidity levels on the rise Sunday
- Storm chances return
Put On That Sunscreen…High pressure will supply a beautiful open to the weekend, including mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, low humidity levels, and warm temperatures.
Our airflow will shift to the SW Sunday and help push a more humid air mass back into the state as the day progresses. An isolated thunderstorm could accompany the return of the humid air, but for now we’ll maintain a mostly dry forecast.
Better thunderstorm chances arrive Monday evening into Tuesday as a cold front pushes in from the north. A locally strong to severe storm is possible. As we move forward into the middle and latter parts of next week, models suggest a rather unsettled time of things.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1″-2″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/mostly-dry-weekend-before-storm-chances-return/
Highlights:
- Scattered strong-severe storm threat Wednesday
- Drier close to the week
- Next front arrives Monday PM
Keeping An Eye On Wednesday’s Storm Threat…Today’s rain numbers weren’t uniform in the least, but several neighborhoods picked up beneficial rains of over 1.5″. Wednesday will also feature the threat of showers and thunderstorms (again, some with locally heavy downpours). Some of these storms could also reach strong to severe levels during the afternoon/ evening, particularly if morning rain doesn’t “get in the way.” We’ll watch data overnight and update accordingly come morning.
We’ll turn drier and slightly cooler to close the work week and head on into the weekend. The heat will begin to crank again early next week, with highs around 90 Sunday and Monday. Our next weather maker looks to arrive Monday evening as a cold front pushes in from the north. We’ll feature shower and thunderstorm chances in our Monday PM forecast.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.50″-1.00 (locally heavier totals)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/strong-storm-threat-wednesday/
Highlights:
- Less humid open to the week
- Mid week storms
- Drier weekend
Warm, But Less Humid…As Sunday afternoon progressed into evening, notably drier air moved into central IN. That less humid feel will be with us as we open the work week, but will still warm quickly (upper 80s this afternoon).
An increasingly moist air mass will return Tuesday into Wednesday and will promote locally heavy rainfall within thunderstorms that develop. We expect isolated to widely scattered storm coverage Tuesday and scattered coverage Wednesday. While uniform significant rainfall isn’t likely, localized torrential downpours will be possible as precipitable water values (PWATs) increase. Additionally, strong to severe storms will be possible.
A drier air mass will return to close the week and head into the weekend. At one time, models suggested we’d deal with a slow-moving “cut off” low pressure system, but recent trends continue the drier theme.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 0.25″-0.75″ (locally heavier amounts)
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/mid-week-storms/
