Category: 7-Day Outlook
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Break In Humidity Won’t Last Long…A briefly drier air mass will filter into the region tonight into Thursday, but won’t last long. Heat and humidity will return to wrap up the work week and move into the weekend. A couple of storms will be possible Thursday, but most should remain rain-free.
Better coverage of showers and thunderstorms will develop Friday through Sunday. We’re not talking about a weekend wash out by any means and there will be more dry hours than stormy.
Early Week Cold Front…A cold front will move through the area Tuesday evening and feature a cooler and drier brand of air for mid week. Stormy times continue beforehand with shower and thunderstorms in our Monday and Tuesday forecast before we dry things out Wednesday.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.50″ – 2.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
A briefly drier air mass will move into the region late tonight into Thursday. Humidity will return quickly to wrap up the work week.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/27/slightly-less-humid-still-cant-rule-out-a-storm/
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Frontal Boundary Leads To Better Shower And Storm Coverage…A cold front will slip through central Indiana later this evening. This will be a focal point in better coverage of showers and thunderstorms today, especially this afternoon and evening. Locally heavy downpours can be expected though rainfall amounts won’t be uniform (rarely are this time of year).
The boundary will move just south of the region Wednesday before stalling out. It’ll remain close enough to maintain mention of scattered thunderstorms into your mid week forecast with a drier forecast Thursday. Temperatures will slip backwards a couple of notches and humidity values will improve to a degree mid week.
Stormy Times Return…After a somewhat drier time of things mid week, unsettled times will return late week into the Labor Day weekend. No all day rains are anticipated, but there will be periods of storminess into and through the weekend.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.50″-2.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
We received a couple colorful sunrise pictures this morning from Boone County, highlighted by cloud shots from storms ongoing to our north. Thanks to John (T) and Paul (B) for these great photos this morning!
Rainfall totals will be far from uniform today, but more locally heavy downpours can be expected.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/26/front-moves-through-this-evening/
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Steamy…Plan for plenty of heat and humidity this weekend. Sunshine can be expected both days, but evening and nighttime storms will be scattered about the region. We don’t anticipate as widespread coverage as compared to late last week, but some locally heavy downpours will be around Saturday and Sunday, including the chance of more localized flooding.
Hot, Hot, Hot…The ridge will expand early next week and this will essentially eliminate rain chances Monday and Tuesday (only isolated coverage at best). Additionally, this will allow temperatures to reach the lower 90s for many communities across central Indiana.
Late Week Cold Front…We forecast more unsettled weather to develop late next week as a cold front draws closer to the area and the ridge begins to break down. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms lie ahead once past mid week, with best rain chances in the forecast period above likely arriving Friday.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1.00″ (locally heavier totals)
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Highs may reach 90 in a couple spots today, but we forecast Indy’s official Saturday high at 89.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/23/continued-steamy-afternoon-storms-in-spots/
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More Storms To Go…Our “ring of fire” pattern continues into the weekend and as disturbances ride the periphery of the heat dome to our south, periods of thunderstorms will be the result here. Locally heavy rain will be possible with each storm complex and localized flooding will result. Some extreme rainfall amounts of 5-8″ has been reported over the past couple days across north-central Indiana where training of storms has occurred.
After our current storm complex moves southeast, we think we deal with an additional couple of storm complexes late tonight into early Saturday and again Saturday evening. Overall coverage of storms will be on the decline as we go deeper into the weekend, but rain can’t be totally eliminated from your forecast.
Hot And Humid…While we may fall a degree or two shy of the polarizing 90 degree mark, it’ll still feel mighty hot and humid today and Saturday. As rain and storm chances begin to decrease, that’ll allow us to take temperatures up a couple notches late weekend into early next week. We forecast lower 90s Sunday through at least next Tuesday.
Late Month Relief…We still forecast a cooler pattern developing to wrap up August and move into September. Much more on this in the coming days. Right now, the big story remains the storm chances in the short term.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 2.00″ (locally heavier totals)
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Another complex of rain and strong storms will rumble in tonight/Saturday morning.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/22/periods-of-storms-localized-flooding/
Another night, another round of storms! Our busy and stormy “ring of fire” pattern continues and will promote additional storm complexes Friday morning (followed by more stormy times Friday night/…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/21/more-storms-to-go/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, GFS, Hail, Heavy Rain, NAM Model, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm
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August 21, 2014
Good morning and happy Thursday! This will be a quick post this morning before a more extensive update and 7-day outlook later this evening. The SPC highlights our region for…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/21/storms-and-heat/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, NAM Model, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Photos, Weather Rambles
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August 20, 2014
The combination of passing storms and the setting sun Tuesday evening provided sun incredible rainbows. Thanks to John Feister for sharing this photo taken near Whitestown. John Salewicz snapped this…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/20/wednesday-morning-rambles-2/
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Filed under 7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Hail, Heavy Rain, Rain, Severe Weather, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos
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August 19, 2014
Highlights of tonight’s video: Strong to severe storms Active pattern continues Serious weekend heat Tropics turn active PS: We continue to experience technical issues with a slight lag on audio/…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/19/strong-to-severe-storms-big-heat-and-tropics/
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Mostly Dry Start To The Work Week…Dense fog is around in spots this morning, particularly northwest of the city. Otherwise, a broad circulation around a departing area of low pressure may help spark an isolated shower or thunderstorm across east-central parts of the state this afternoon. The key word here is “isolated,” however, and most will remain rain-free today.
Better Rain/ Storm Chances…Details on timing are still murky, but we forecast better rain and storm chances Tuesday afternoon on through the mid week period. With all of the moisture in the air, locally heavy downpours can be expected. The nature of the showers and thunderstorms will be what you would expect this time of year- scattered, meaning not everyone will see beneficial rains.
Serious Heat And Humidity…Temperatures will reach the hottest levels of the summer late week into the weekend. Plenty of humidity will be in place as well and conditions may warrant watches, warnings, or advisories for the heat and humidity Friday-Sunday. In a summer that’s spoiled many of us with unseasonably cool conditions, we’ll make up for at least a portion of lost time over the upcoming weekend.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 0.50″-1.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
While today will be mostly dry, better chances of scattered thunderstorms lie ahead Tuesday.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/18/the-heat-is-on/
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More Like Summer…The upper air pattern this week will be unlike what we’ve seen the majority of the summer. A ridge of high pressure will expand across the southeast region and build northwest. Meanwhile, a trough and associated cooler air mass will impact the northern Rockies and northwest region.
Low pressure will dominate our sensible weather today with lots of clouds and widespread rain downstate. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will impact central portions of the state. As we progress into the work week, we’ll have to remain on our toes for thunderstorm complexes that may ride the periphery of the expanding hot dome to our south. This will keep things rather active and unsettled through the forecast period.
The other topic of interest will be our temperatures. Whether we crack the official 90 degree mark or not is yet to be seen, but it’ll certainly feel very hot and humid around these parts through the week, especially the back half of the week. “Air you can wear” will be the weather theme this week.
7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- 7-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.50″-2.00″
- 7-Day Snowfall Forecast: 0.00″
Cool shifts northwest this week while heat builds across the south and central.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2014/08/17/active-week-ahead/
