Category: 7-Day Outlook
Highlights:
- Heavy rain returns
- Unseasonably cool
- Drier weather returns late in the weekend
Live Near A Body Of Water? Keep An Eye On The Level…Central Indiana will deal with an extended period of rain, occasionally heavy, tonight through Friday afternoon. With saturated soils in place, an additional widespread 2.5″-3.5″ (with locally heavier amounts) between now and Saturday morning, flooding concerns are very high. As the lead off states, please remain aware of water levels if you live near a creek, stream, or river. The other aspect of this storm will be unseasonably chilly air and gusty easterly winds that will shift to the north Friday night into Saturday.
The weekend will provide a drier trend, but the improvements will be slow to occur. Showers remain in our Saturday forecast before drier air finally wins out Sunday with sunshine. The worry once to Sunday and Monday mornings will be the potential of frost and freeze conditions- especially in communities away from downtown. Remember, no planting around these parts until after Mother’s Day! 😉
Shower chances return by the middle of next week!
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 3″ – 4″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/flooding-concerns-return/
Highlights:
- Limited sunshine
- Another big rain event awaits
- Prolonged period of chilly weather
Jackets And Rain Gear Needed…Without question, Tuesday appears to be the “pick of the week” across central Indiana as we get into some briefly drier air. Enjoy it, as a new storm system will deliver heavy, wind-driven rain and unseasonably chilly air as we progress through mid and late week.
Clouds will lower and thicken Wednesday morning and give way to an expanding shield of rain as morning wears into afternoon and evening. As the surface low tracks closer to the region, an increasingly strong and gusty easterly wind will develop and combine with the chilly rain to lead to a truly “raw” period of weather to close the work week. It’ll feel more like early-March than early-May around these parts. Unfortunately, it still appears as if this next storm will deliver hefty rainfall totals on our already water-logged landscape. Data paints a widespread swath of 2″-3″ totals with locally heavier amounts. Flooding, once again, appears likely and if you live near a body of water, it’ll be important to keep a close eye on water levels Thursday into the weekend.
Widespread rain Friday should slowly give way to improving weather conditions over the weekend: scattered showers Saturday and dry, cool weather Sunday. Speaking of cool, temperatures will continue to run well below average, and lows Saturday through Monday mornings’ may result in patchy frost in outlying areas…
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 2.50″ – 3.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/another-big-rain-maker-unseasonably-chilly/
Highlights:
- Widespread rain and strong storms today
- Falling temperatures, windy, and wet Monday
- Midweek storm brewing
Flooding Concerns Remain High…Another slug of moisture will lift north through central Indiana this afternoon into the nighttime hours. Locally heavy rain will result in big flooding concerns as saturated soils are in place and many creeks and streams are already out of their banks. Throw in an additional 1″-2″ with locally heavier totals and you have the makings of a dangerous flood situation into early week. If that wasn’t enough to be concerned about, we’ll also have to watch how things evolve closely this afternoon for the potential of severe thunderstorms. Damaging straight line winds are of greatest concern.
We’ll transition to a much cooler regime to open the new work week with gusty winds and showers continuing. Temperatures will fall through the 50s during the day. Jackets will be required!
Tuesday will provide a brief break from the wet weather and we should also introduce some sunshine for a while. Unfortunately, we won’t have much time to dry out as a wet, windy, and chilly storm is brewing Wednesday evening into Thursday. Widespread rain (some heavy) will combine with a raw easterly wind and temperatures in the 50s to lead to a rather miserable Thursday.
While shower chances remain early Friday, the theme heading into next weekend is a drier one and we should finally enjoy very pleasant weather by Saturday.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 1.50″ – 3.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/more-heavy-rain-and-storms-ahead-cooler-week-on-deck/
Highlights:
- AM showers then cooler and windy
- Stormy weekend ahead
- Cooler next week
Busy Times In The Weather Office…A cold front will sweep through the state this morning with lingering showers and an abrupt wind shift. Gusty westerly winds and cooler air (we’ve already seen our high for the day) will be with us this afternoon, along with a variably cloudy sky.
Unfortunately, we don’t have many changes to the ongoing idea of hefty weekend rains. A warm front will begin to slowly lift north Friday into Saturday and this will be the focal point for heavy rain and thunderstorms. Overall coverage and intensity of rain and thunderstorms will increase as we rumble through the second half of Friday. A couple of storms could be strong to severe- especially across southern Indiana Friday afternoon and night.
The aforementioned warm front will lift north and be located across the southern Great Lakes region Sunday. This will put our neck of the woods squarely into the warm and humid air mass Sunday. Though storm coverage will likely be more scattered in nature when compared to Saturday, heavy thunderstorms will develop, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. With a deep-rooted tropical connection along with saturated soils in place from early weekend rains, flood and flash flood potential will be high as we go into early portions of next week.
As we open up the work week, we’ll shift gears from a moisture-rich southerly flow to one that’s out of the northwest and much cooler. Showers will continue through Monday. Our next storm system will then set it’s eyes on the region by the middle of next week.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 2.50″ – 3.50″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/busy-weather-pattern/
Highlights:
- Unsettled times ahead
- Weekend heavy rain
- Much cooler and windy early next week
Enjoy The Dry Time While You Can…While most of Wednesday will remain rain-free, we do note the potential of a diminishing line of thunderstorms that could impact portions of far northwest sections of the state Wednesday morning. As mentioned, these should diminish relatively quickly and give way to a mostly dry day. A cold front will approach the state Wednesday night into Thursday morning and result in more widespread showers and thunderstorms during that time. Briefly drier air will arrive Thursday evening into Friday and we should wrap up the work week mainly dry.
We’ll take whatever dry weather we can get as the weekend still looks wet and stormy. We discussed the weekend setup this morning and thoughts haven’t changed a bit. Today’s model data continues to suggest we’re looking at periods of heavy rainfall with widespread weekend totals of 2″-3″ (locally heavier amounts possible). Of the two days, Saturday appears to offer up the most widespread rains, but we caution that the scattered showers and thunderstorms that develop Sunday will have the potential of depositing hefty totals in relative short order. Due to the projected steering currents, we’re also concerned for the possibility of “training” of heavy rain and that would quickly create a flash flood concern in localized areas. Stay tuned. Another item of interest is the possibility of “bust potential” with regard to the temperature forecast Saturday. Latest modeling wants to keep the warm front just south of the immediate region for most of the day now and, as such, we’ve trended cooler with Saturday’s temperatures before that warm southwesterly air flow wins out Sunday.
The warmth won’t last long as we quickly transition to a cooler west and northwest regime to open the work week. Along with the much cooler air, scattered showers and strong and gusty winds will be with us. We’ll finally begin to calm down with a very pleasant Tuesday expected.
Upcoming 7-Day Precipitation Forecast:
- Snowfall: 0.00″
- Rainfall: 3.00″ – 4.00″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/dry-time-is-limited/