Category Archives: 7-Day Outlook

Freezing Fog This Morning; Unsettled Late Week Conditions…

Highlights:

  • Freezing fog this morning
  • Mid and late week rain
  • Briefly milder mid-month

Slow It Down…Freezing fog is creating slick travel in and around the city, itself, and points north.  Please allow extra time to reach your destination this morning and take it slow.  As we move into the afternoon, the low clouds and fog should slowly lift, but it’s likely not until we get to mid to late afternoon. With the longer period of fog and clouds, we’ve dropped forecast highs a few degrees today.

We should still get in on a sunny Tuesday before our first of a series of storm system begin to impact the area Wednesday.  Weak low pressure will result in increasing clouds and a narrow band of showers Wednesday afternoon.  Rain may mix with snow across north-central parts of the state.

As we look ahead, a slow moving (bigger) storm system spells periods of wet weather as we close the week and head into the weekend.  While it won’t rain the entire time, periods of moderate to heavy rain are possible during the period, along with gusty winds, and an overall “raw” feel.  Early thinking here is that we salvage the 2nd half of the weekend with at least a touch of sun.

7-Day Outlook, Forecast, Freezing Fog, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Windy

Cold Pattern Continues With Light Snow; Major Winter Storm To Our South This Weekend…

Highlights:

  • Light snow showers makes things slick in spots
  • Reinforcing cold air arrives with a band of snow Thursday
  • Watching a southern Winter Storm this weekend

Wintry Times…We’re waking up to light snow showers across central Indiana, thanks to just enough upper level energy interacting with the colder air. Coverage of snow showers will be greatest this morning.  As we look forward, reinforcing cold air will blow into town Thursday evening.  Ahead of this cold front, look for a band of precipitation to develop around, or just after, the lunchtime hour.  For central and northern portions of the state, this will fall in the form of snow with a rain/ snow mix expected across southern sections of the state.  A quick dusting to 1″ of snow is possible Thursday afternoon.  Areas of lake effect snow will then develop across the northern Indiana snow belt Thursday night.

We close the week on a dry note, but all eyes will be aimed to our south on a major winter storm.  The Southern Appalachians continue to look like the “sweet spot” for this storm- including snow amounts that will require a yardstick to measure by the time all is said and done early next week.  Back here on the home front, we remain confident the brunt of this storm will remain south of central Indiana, but the potential is there for a bit of snow to “sneak” into the forecast Sunday- courtesy of upper level energy on the tail end of the storm.  Stay tuned as we continue to review the data over the next couple days.  If you’re a skier, we suggest packing the bags and heading southeast to the mountains of NC for some tremendous early season skiing early next week in the wake of the storm.

Early next week will feature calmer conditions with moderating temperatures as high pressure returns.

7-Day Outlook, Arctic Cold, Forecast, Forecast Discussion, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Winter Storm

Looking At The Week Ahead: Strong Winds This Afternoon And A Wet Pattern Is On Deck…

I. Showers followed by wind: A fast moving storm system will sweep through the Ohio Valley as we close the weekend.  Showers will accompany the leading edge of this storm system (this morning), followed by strong and gusty winds (even stronger than this morning) this afternoon and evening. In some cases, winds will gust 45 to 50 MPH.  Hunker down!

II. Wet Halloween: A cold front will approach the state Tuesday evening into our Halloween. Widespread rain is expected Wednesday, BUT the silver lining may be that the bulk of precipitation will be shoved to our southeast before most trick-or-treaters take to the streets.

III. Chilly Open To November: Reinforcing chilly air will blow into town behind the cold front and set the stage for an unseasonably chilly open to November.  Generally, lows will fall into the middle 30s and highs will top out in the upper 40s for the first few days of the month.

IV. Raw Saturday: It’s a “rinse and repeat” scenario as next weekend opens raw and wet thanks to a new storm system moving through the region.  Gusty showers and unseasonably cool temperatures can be expected Saturday.  Note the possibility of wet snow to fall on the northern periphery of the storm system through IA, MN, and WI.  (Signs of the times).

V. Wet Pattern: After a long stretch of dry weather through the balance of October, a big shift in the pattern is taking place now and will continue to promote well above normal rainfall as we move through the first couple weeks of November.  In some cases, the upcoming (10) days alone may yield 3″ to 4″ of rain in some areas of the region.

7-Day Outlook, AG Report, Autumn, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Halloween, Harvest'18, Heavy Rain, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Windy

Mostly Dry Weekend; Active Times Return Early Next Week…

A summer-like feel will return as we move through the weekend. While the heat and humidity won’t be excessive by any means, you’ll certainly notice a different feel when compared to the cooler air we’ve enjoyed over the past 10 days, or so.  We forecast highs in the mid-upper 80s with plentiful sunshine through the weekend.  While an “isolated” thunderstorm is possible, most will remain rain-free until early next week.  That said, best rain and storm chances will be confined to northern Indiana Thursday evening and forecast radar products are picking up on a skinny line of showers and thunderstorms.

A thin line of storms may impact northern Indiana this evening. Image courtesy of weathermodels.com.

This area of thunderstorms is forecast to diminish before it would impact central Indiana.

Forecast radar 9p. Image courtesy of weathermodels.com.

The weekend will be highlighted by plentiful sunshine with only isolated storm coverage and an increasingly muggy feel.  Note the southwest air flow returning around an area of high pressure off the East Coast and our next approaching storm system to the northwest.

That storm system will settle south and begin to impact central Indiana early next week with storm chances increasing Monday into Tuesday.  With rich tropical moisture in place, locally heavy rain will be likely as the front moves in.

Models are in overall agreement of additional significant rainfall early next week (widespread 1″ to 2″).

7-Day Outlook, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Heavy Rain, Rain, Summer, T-storms, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm