Category: 7-Day Outlook

Aug 30

Widely Scattered Light Showers Through Labor Day Weekend; Tracking A Strong Cold Front Late Next Week…

A frontal boundary will continue to settle south this morning and we’ll notice a much less humid feel tonight into Saturday morning as a northeast wind takes hold.

Dew points will fall into the 50s tonight into Saturday morning across the northern half of the state.

Widely scattered light showers will scoot across the state late tonight into Saturday morning.

We’re still not expecting heavy or widespread organized rain this Labor Day weekend- just widely scattered “nuisance” level showers at times. There will be many more dry hours than wet through the holiday weekend.

Most area rain gauges can expect to pick up between 0.25″ and 0.50″ by Monday afternoon.

The big story this weekend will be Hurricane Dorian. We anticipate Dorian to strengthen into a major hurricane later today. The latest official National Hurricane Center forecast brings Dorian into the southeast Florida peninsula as a major hurricane late Labor Day night or Tuesday. While confidence continues to increase on an eventual landfall along the Florida peninsula (before a hard turn right that would take Dorian either north across the peninsula or perhaps wobble back off shore), timing is much more uncertain as the majority of data has slowed the forward progress of Dorian this weekend. If you have interests across the state or loved ones in the path of the storm, it’ll be important to stay tuned for future updates.

Back here on the home front, quiet weather is expected through early week. The first of 2 cold fronts will pass Tuesday night or early Wednesday (little in the way of fanfare with that frontal passage).

The second front will be a bigger deal late next week. Though still rather moisture starved, it’s the drop in temperatures expected behind the frontal passage that will be impressive. We’ll notice an October-level chill next weekend as this front sweeps off to the southeast. We note the latest European data has highs only in the 60s next weekend with lows in the 40s.

Meanwhile, it’s very possible we’ll still be dealing with Dorian this time next week along the southeast US costal region…

Much more through the weekend, including updates on Dorian, the season’s 1st strong fall frontal passage, and our September Outlook.

Enjoy your Friday, friends!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/widely-scattered-light-showers-through-labor-day-weekend-tracking-a-strong-cold-front-late-next-week/

Jun 28

Sizzling Temperatures Dominate Headlines Into The Holiday…

It’s been an easy going summer so far from a heat and humidity standpoint, but that’s all about to change as we move through the upcoming week leading up to Independence Day.

An upper level ridge will dominate our pattern into the middle of next week.

This will serve to eliminate widespread rain and thunderstorm coverage across central Indiana during the short-term. (Isolated to widely scattered coverage is all we can expect this weekend into the early part of next week). Additionally, the hottest air of the summer season thus far is on deck. We’re expecting 5 of the upcoming 7 days to feature highs around the 90 degree mark. Humidity will also build into early next week with overnight lows not falling lower than the lower 70s some mornings.

As we look ahead, the upper ridge will begin to break down by the middle of next week and with that will come increasing chances for better coverage of showers and thunderstorms.

Longer term, we still anticipate the pattern to progress in a manner that will allow cooler and wetter conditions to return before mid-month. Our reasoning can be found in last night’s video update in case you missed it!

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/sizzling-temperatures-dominate-headlines-into-the-holiday/

Jun 21

VIDEO: Timing Out Storm Impacts This Weekend; More July Chatter…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/video-timing-out-storm-impacts-this-weekend-more-july-chatter/

Jun 11

Unseasonably Cool; Talking Rain Chances Into Early Next Week…

We’re enjoying unseasonably cool and refreshing air this morning (to the tune of 10-15 degrees below average across central Indiana). The extent of the refreshingly cool air is impressive- spanning all the way into northern TX and parts of OK this morning!

A gorgeous day is on tap with plentiful sunshine and low humidity. Unfortunately, rain still appears to return to the picture on Wednesday. Scattered showers will be most numerous Wednesday afternoon, continuing into Thursday morning. Rainfall should average between 0.10″ to 0.25″ for most central Indiana rain gauges with a few heavier totals across eastern areas.

The cold front and upper level energy associated for delivering the Wednesday rain will swing through here early Thursday, resulting in a gusty northwesterly wind and fall-like air through the day. Highs will only top out in the mid-upper 60s and lows Friday morning will fall into the upper 40s.

High pressure will remain in control of our weather to close the work week, but as we’ve grown all too accustomed to over the past couple of months, we don’t expect prolonged dry time. Instead, our weather will turn unsettled yet again over the weekend into early next week. With a moist southwesterly air flow returning, periods of locally heavy rain can be expected in this setup.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/unseasonably-cool-talking-rain-chances-into-early-next-week/

Jun 02

Needed 48 Hour Break From The Rain; Unfortunately, Heavy Rain Returns Later This Week…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/needed-48-hour-break-from-the-rain-unfortunately-heavy-rain-returns-later-this-week/