Category Archives: 7-Day Outlook

Quiet Weather Continues; Busier Days Ahead Next Week…

Another day of sunshine is on deck with temperatures approaching the 50° mark for many central Indiana communities. Not bad at all by early December standards, huh?

Clouds will increase tonight and remain with us through the end of the work week. These clouds are associated with a system that will scoot by well to our south. Some light rain will likely impact areas south of Indianapolis Friday morning into the early afternoon, but central Indiana should remain precipitation-free.

High pressure will dominate our weekend weather, continuing to lead to quiet conditions along with a return of sunshine.

The next round of more widespread precipitation will push into the state Sunday night into Monday. Even this isn’t anticipated to be significant with most central Indiana reporting sites receiving rainfall amounts of half an inch or less by Monday evening.

As the surface wave pulls up to the northeast, MUCH colder air will whip into the region Tuesday. Light snow will develop as the moisture departs, but we’re still not expecting this to be a big deal in the snow department (dusting to less than 1″ type event as of now).

However, the cold is another story. Wednesday morning will feature lows in the lower to middle teens with single digit wind chill values. In the it could “always be worse” department, check out those temperatures our friends across the upper Mid West and northern Plains will have to deal with…

Much more later!

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VIDEO: Timing Out Storm Systems In The Upcoming Week; Colder Late Month Trends…

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No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Client, Ensemble Discussion, Fall Foliage, First Freeze, First frost, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Harvest19, Long Range Discussion, MJO, Rain, snow, Unseasonably Cool Weather, Unseasonably Warm, Weather Videos

Widely Scattered Light Showers Through Labor Day Weekend; Tracking A Strong Cold Front Late Next Week…

A frontal boundary will continue to settle south this morning and we’ll notice a much less humid feel tonight into Saturday morning as a northeast wind takes hold.

Dew points will fall into the 50s tonight into Saturday morning across the northern half of the state.

Widely scattered light showers will scoot across the state late tonight into Saturday morning.

We’re still not expecting heavy or widespread organized rain this Labor Day weekend- just widely scattered “nuisance” level showers at times. There will be many more dry hours than wet through the holiday weekend.

Most area rain gauges can expect to pick up between 0.25″ and 0.50″ by Monday afternoon.

The big story this weekend will be Hurricane Dorian. We anticipate Dorian to strengthen into a major hurricane later today. The latest official National Hurricane Center forecast brings Dorian into the southeast Florida peninsula as a major hurricane late Labor Day night or Tuesday. While confidence continues to increase on an eventual landfall along the Florida peninsula (before a hard turn right that would take Dorian either north across the peninsula or perhaps wobble back off shore), timing is much more uncertain as the majority of data has slowed the forward progress of Dorian this weekend. If you have interests across the state or loved ones in the path of the storm, it’ll be important to stay tuned for future updates.

Back here on the home front, quiet weather is expected through early week. The first of 2 cold fronts will pass Tuesday night or early Wednesday (little in the way of fanfare with that frontal passage).

The second front will be a bigger deal late next week. Though still rather moisture starved, it’s the drop in temperatures expected behind the frontal passage that will be impressive. We’ll notice an October-level chill next weekend as this front sweeps off to the southeast. We note the latest European data has highs only in the 60s next weekend with lows in the 40s.

Meanwhile, it’s very possible we’ll still be dealing with Dorian this time next week along the southeast US costal region…

Much more through the weekend, including updates on Dorian, the season’s 1st strong fall frontal passage, and our September Outlook.

Enjoy your Friday, friends!

No Comments 7-Day Outlook, Autumn, Client, Forecast Discussion, Forecast Models, Labor Day Weekend, Rain, Tropics, Weather Rambles