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Weekly #AGwx And #Harvest21 Outlook…

Updated 09.26.21 @ 11:14a

A ridge will expand across the northern Plains and upper Midwest during the 7-day forecast period ahead. Meanwhile, a ‘mean’ trough will take up shop across the Northeast and the Pacific Northwest.
Well above normal (near record) heat will center itself across the central and northern Plains into the upper Midwest. Overall, a slightly warmer than normal period is ahead for a good chunk of the country, front loaded early week.
Well above normal precipitation is expected across the southern Plains and southern Rocky Mountain region, into the Four Corners. Widespread drier than average conditions can be expected across the East.
A weak system will approach our region late week with the potential of some light rain (0.10″ to 0.25″ type stuff). Otherwise, it’s a quiet pattern, locally.

Forecast Period: 09.26.21 through 10.03.21

A very quiet weather pattern will dominate the 7-day forecast period. Plentiful sunshine and warmer temperatures can be expected through the early and middle part of the work week before we cool closer to normal late in the period. While there’s plenty of disagreement, the GFS is a little more bullish on bringing in a weak storm system late in the period that could* produce a few showers Friday. If this does, indeed, take shape, it only appears as if we’re looking at 0.10″ to 0.25″ type rainfall. We’ll keep an eye on things. Otherwise, it’s a dry and very uneventful stretch ahead over the upcoming 7 days.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/09/26/weekly-agwx-and-harvest21-outlook-4/

VIDEO: Extended Quiet Stretch Of Weather…

Updated 09.25.21 @ 7:54a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/09/25/video-extended-quiet-stretch-of-weather/

VIDEO: Cold Front Moves Through Saturday Morning; Extended Dry Stretch Thereafter…

Updated 09.24.21 @ 7:31a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/09/24/video-cold-front-moves-through-saturday-morning-extended-dry-stretch-thereafter/

VIDEO: Improving Conditions To Close The Work Week; Changeable Week Ahead…

Updated 09.23.21 @ 7:44a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/09/23/video-improving-conditions-to-close-the-work-week-changeable-week-ahead/

VIDEO: Chilly With A Wind-Whipped Rain; Sunshine Returns Friday…

Updated 09.22.21 @ 7:34a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/09/22/video-chilly-with-a-wind-whipped-rain-sunshine-returns-friday/

VIDEO: More Of A November-Like Feel- Turning Wet, Raw, And Windy For Midweek…

Updated 09.21.21 @ 7:30a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/09/21/video-more-of-a-november-like-feel-turning-wet-raw-and-windy-for-midweek/

VIDEO: Transition To A Cooler Pattern Includes Big Midweek Questions…

Updated 09.20.21 @11:18p First, let me apologize for the later than originally planned update. (It’s been a Monday :-)). Having had a chance to look over the various updated computer…

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/09/20/video-transition-to-a-cooler-pattern-includes-big-midweek-questions/

Weekly #AGwx and #Harvest21 Outlook…

Updated 09.19.21 @ 9:04p

A trough will settle into the eastern portion of the country as we move into the 2nd half of the week. Meanwhile, ridging will expand across the West.
Warmer than normal conditions will dominate the period across the West and northern tier while cooler than average temperatures settle into the Ohio Valley and Southeast.
Well above normal rainfall is expected in the Ohio Valley into the eastern Great Lakes.
We forecast between 2″ and 3″ of rain to fall across central Indiana in the upcoming 7-day period- heaviest totals are expiated across far eastern parts of the state.

Forecast Period: 09.19.21 through 09.26.21

A much more active weather pattern will take control of the region during the above mentioned forecast period. An area of low pressure will track north into the Ohio Valley during the overnight and Monday morning which will help lead to an expanding area of rain and embedded thunder to kick off the work week. Rain is expected to be most widespread across the southern half of the state early in the day before making progress north. As this is taking place, a cold front will take aim on the region from the west, and should push through the Hoosier state Tuesday with a line of showers and thunderstorms. While there could be a couple of stronger storms widespread severe weather isn’t expected. Perhaps what will be a bigger “headache” will have to do with the evolution of things as the front is moving east across Indiana. A wave of low pressure is expected to develop to our south Tuesday before lifting north…

As of Sunday evening, two of our more trusted forecast models (GFS and European) differ with respect to exactly where the developing surface low will track (GFS is more progressive while the European is slower). Regardless, MUCH cooler air will pour into the region through the middle of the week. Should the slower European solution (our lean at the moment) come to fruition, then we’re looking at a midweek rain out, combined with October-like daytime temperatures. Chili weather, anyone?! Stay tuned for future updates as we fine tune things for midweek. High pressure will return in time for the weekend, allowing sunshine and pleasant fall temperatures to claim headlines.

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/09/19/weekly-agwx-and-harvest21-outlook-3/

VIDEO: Initial Thoughts Around Winter 2021-2022…

Updated 09.19.21 @ 10:20a

As the first strong autumn cold front takes aim on the region, it’s time to start thinking more about what lies ahead in the December-February time frame. This morning’s video dives in with some initial thoughts around just that. Is the CFSv2 seasonal precipitation projection an indication of the active winter storm track ahead? We think so…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/09/19/video-initial-thoughts-around-winter-2021-2022/

Those Special College Football Saturdays Return: Rolling Into A More Fall-Like Weather Pattern…

Updated: 09.18.21 @ 1a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/09/18/those-special-college-football-saturdays-return-rolling-into-a-more-fall-like-weather-pattern/

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