Jun 08
Updated 06.08.22 @ 7:27a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/08/video-detailing-todays-severe-threat-few-days-of-intense-heat-humidity-arrives-next-week/
Jun 07
Updated 06.07.22 @ 6:35p
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/07/video-severe-weather-episode-tomorrow-afternoon-1st-heat-wave-of-the-season-dialed-up-next-week/
Jun 06
Updated 06.06.22 @ 7:50a
Forecast Period: 06.06.22 through 06.16.22
After a calm open to our Monday, a storm system will blow in from the west and lead to an expanding area of storms this afternoon into the evening. From the area in and around Indianapolis and points south, some of these storms could become strong to severe (large hail and damaging winds being of greatest concern). Localized flash flooding is also possible due to the training nature some cells may take. Unfortunately, a rough evening commute is a good bet due to the timing of this storm complex.
After a quiet Tuesday, a similar setup can be expected of that from today on Wednesday. We’ll time the afternoon and evening hours for the arrival of the unsettled, stormy conditions. Additional chances of strong to severe storms will be likely, including threats that are similar to today.
Finally, another system will deliver a round of showers and storms Friday. The good news is that for the 3rd consecutive weekend, it appears as if the area will enjoy pleasant weather, including unseasonably cool, refreshing temperatures.
As we flip the page to next week, the week will open with a similar pattern dominating (northwesterly flow aloft) that will have to be monitored for the likelihood of additional storm clusters. Thereafter, models are in a bit of a disagreement on what takes place with building heat to our west. It’s possible this hot dome nudges far enough east to heat us up the middle of next week. With that said, indications are that even if this is the case, we wouldn’t see prolonged hot, humid times that our friends across the southern Plains and Southwest are contending with.
10-Day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5” to 2” (localized heavier amounts in excess of 2” will be likely where storms train).
Notes and Asides: Have been on the road the past few days. Travel day tomorrow but will be back at home base by evening. As such, please expect a delay in tomorrow’s post. We’ll have a client video posted towards late afternoon.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/06/weekly-severe-and-agwx-outlook/
Jun 05
Updated 06.05.22 @ 4p 1.) Our pleasant weekend will give way to an unsettled open to the work week as the first in a series of storm systems blows into…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/05/sunday-afternoon-rambles-4/
Jun 04
Updated 06.04.22 @ 7:08a
We sure are on a nice streak as of late with our weekend weather! If your plans don’t include outdoor activities this weekend, might I recommend a change in the schedule! Dry time will hold across central Indiana into the daytime Monday while we watch showers impact our friends to the north (a few showers will be likely Sunday for our far northern IN subscribers). Pleasant, refreshing air for this time of year will be an added bonus this weekend.
The next opportunity of rain, locally, will arrive Monday, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. Even this shouldn’t be a big deal though. At one time what will likely look like a formidable area of rain will likely diminish in rather quick fashion as it moves into the dry airmass in place across central IN.
This particular front will blow through Monday night and Tuesday morning. A northwesterly flow aloft will dominate next week. Mild temperatures will continue, especially by June standards. (We’ll have several days by the middle and latter part of next week in the 70s for highs and 50s for lows). The next chance of rain will arrive with a secondary cold front Wednesday.
Finally, the “caboose” in the series of systems next week will blow through Friday with another round of rain. It’s this system that appears to have the best chance of tapping into a higher moisture source so the early lean is that we’ll see the most widespread rain in the series to close the work week.
All total, rainfall amounts with the first 2 systems appear paltry at best (on average less than 0.25” from both). Early indications are heavier amounts of rain will fall with Friday’s system. We’ll bracket 0.50” and 1.5” of rain in the week ahead for the majority of central IN rain gauges.
In the meantime, continue to enjoy our pleasant early summer weather! We’ll keep an eye on the upcoming week’s trends and update accordingly moving forward.
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/04/nice-timing-looking-ahead-to-next-week/
Jun 03
Updated 06.03.22 @ 5a Confidence remains high in what will likely be a cooler than normal stretch of weather, overall, through the middle part of June. Wildcards thereafter include whether…
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/03/long-range-outlook-june-pattern-and-looking-at-meteorological-summer-as-a-whole/
Jun 02
Updated 06.02.22 @ 7:06a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/02/video-pleasant-close-to-the-work-week-lack-of-any-sort-of-significant-heat-for-the-foreseeable-future/
Jun 01
Updated 06.01.22 @ 5:56a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/06/01/video-unsettled-24-hours-before-drier-and-cooler-air-arrives-to-close-the-week-wet-times-of-things-next-week/
May 31
Updated 05.31.22 @ 7:30a
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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/05/31/video-midweek-rain-chances-before-pleasant-weather-returns-to-close-the-week/
May 30
Updated 05.30.22 @ 8a
With the official “unofficial” 🙂 start to summer upon us, it’s time we start to once again produce our weekly #AGwx reports. Each week, these updates will focus on the overall temperature and precipitation pattern over the upcoming 7-10 days, along with bigger severe weather or tropical items of note when needed.
Forecast Period: 05.30.22 through 06.09.22
Our weather pattern will start off very quiet as high pressure continues to dominate. We’ll notice a bump in humidity values daily leading up to a frontal passage Wednesday night and early Thursday morning. This front will deliver scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the Mid West and Ohio Valley Wednesday. While there could be a couple of stronger storms, the severe aspect of this system is expected to be greatly diminished when compared to what our neighbors in the northern Plains and upper Mid West will see over the next couple of days.
The frontal system will pass through rather quickly and we’ll get back to a much less humid, cooler airmass Thursday, continuing into the first half of the weekend. That’s when we’ll begin to track system #2 with eyes on our immediate area Sunday. Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected for the 2nd half of the weekend, but it won’t rain the entire time. This will likely set the stage for a more active period to close out the 10 day as a persistent southwesterly air flow dominates.
10-day Rainfall Forecast: 1.5″ to 2.5″
Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2022/05/30/weekly-agwx-and-severe-weather-outlook-tracking-2-cold-fronts-this-week/