Today is the day of a significant and more permanent transition from our “bonus” summer to a cooler journey ahead.

The ‘mean’ upper air pattern will feature a trough over the eastern portion of the country and associated temperature pattern more like we’d expect for early to mid October.

With the cooler air, we’ll also notice a more active pattern, as well. A model blend paints the potential of 0.50″ to 1.50″ of rain over the upcoming 10-day stretch. More specifically, we’re targeting dates for frontal passages on the following:

I. Thursday, 10.3

II. Sunday, 10.6

III. Friday, 10.11

The Sunday frontal passage and late Week 2 cold front will offer up better chances of more widespread precipitation.