October 2021 archive

November Opens With A “Hint” Of What May Be Lurking, But Pattern Likely Not Ready To Lock-In Just Yet…

Updated 10.31.21 @ 3:06p

First and foremost, here’s wishing you and your family a very happy, safe, and fun Halloween. Late October can sure deliver “tricks” in the weather department around these parts, but thankfully we’re going to be treated to very pleasant conditions this year as the kiddos hit the streets this evening.

As we look ahead to November, unseasonably chilly air will settle into the East through the week ahead. The MJO is not a factor presently and is forecast to remain in the “null phase” through the upcoming couple weeks (at least). As such, we’ll lean heavier on the EPO/ PNA tandem to drive the pattern. For a moment, these teleconnections will help power widespread unseasonably chilly air as they are aligned in such a manner (- EPO and +PNA), but as we head towards Week 2, note how both teleconnections head towards warmer phases.

Ensemble guidance sees the chilly short-term pattern moderating in the Week 2 time period and we agree.

Overall, the upcoming (10) days should also feature a much drier regime than what we’ve seen over the past few weeks. Rainfall is forecast below normal through the first 1/3 of November.

While the growing season will come to an end in the week ahead and we continue to believe this chilly short-term pattern is a “hint” to what awaits towards the 2nd half of November, that PNA/ EPO combo suggests we’re not quite ready for the more sustained, and potentially dramatic, pattern change just yet…

Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/10/31/november-opens-with-a-hint-of-what-may-be-lurking-but-pattern-likely-not-ready-to-lock-in-just-yet/

VIDEO: Chilly Open To November…

Updated 10.30.21 @ 7a

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VIDEO: November Pattern Discussion…

Updated 10.29.21 @ 6:45a

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VIDEO: Unsettled Close To The Week Gives Way To A Pleasant Halloween; Colder Next Week…

Updated 10.28.21 @ 7:51a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/10/28/video-unsettled-close-to-the-week-gives-way-to-a-pleasant-halloween-colder-next-week/

VIDEO: Unsettled Close To The Week; Colder Pattern Emerges Next Week…

Updated 10.27.21 @ 7:14a

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VIDEO: Frosty Start Wednesday; Next System Awaits…

Updated 10.26.21 @ 7:20a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/10/26/video-frosty-start-wednesday-next-system-awaits/

VIDEO: First Widespread Frost On Deck Wednesday Morning; Tracking Storm System #2…

Updated 10.25.21 @ 7:51a

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VIDEO: Tremendous Temperature Gradient Today; Monitoring Threat Of Stronger Storms Tonight…

Updated 10.24.21 @ 11:15a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/10/24/video-tremendous-temperature-gradient-today-monitoring-threat-of-stronger-storms-tonight/

VIDEO: Tracking Multiple Significant Storm Systems In The Coming Days; Pattern Change On The Horizon?

Updated 10.23.21 @ 10:40a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/10/23/video-tracking-multiple-significant-storm-systems-in-the-coming-days-pattern-change-on-the-horizon/

VIDEO: Very Active Pattern In The Week Ahead…

Updated 10.22.21 @ 6:45a

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Permanent link to this article: https://indywx.com/2021/10/22/video-very-active-pattern-in-the-week-ahead/

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